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cobbett

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Everything posted by cobbett

  1. cobbett
    The Paris ens show a marked mean increase around the 1st so indicating I would have thought a more N/E trajectory of that low at the end of the week
  2. cobbett
    Odd choice of word on the Meto warning Heavy snow showers are expected on Wednesday. There is the potential for travel delays on roads, with some stranded vehicles and passengers, and passengers ? Well I suppose you could have a stranded vehicle without passengers after they've left before being stranded or.maybe it means that the passengers can't walk after being left stranded due to their car being stranded - hmm i must be bored - need to get outside
  3. cobbett
    Hmm looks like snow to rain next weekend for SE viewing 6z and of course told friends and family about the possible mega dumping last night - I never learn
  4. cobbett
    Oh i'll be out enjoying it no worries - nothing better than trudging to the local pub in a blizzard (hopefully)
  5. cobbett
    My area is probably too far west for the real fun and games Mon/Tues and too far east for Friday's. Hoping to actually get to use some snow chains I bought years ago but could be waiting another year then ...sigh
  6. cobbett
  7. cobbett
    and so it starts ... https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert
  8. cobbett
    Weatherbell looking at comparison to 1962 - Europe discussed around 6:10 in the daily update vid https://www.weatherbell.com/
  9. cobbett
    well at least if does all go t^ts up , metoffice will have some explaining to do
  10. cobbett
    Downgrades must surely start tomorrow...
  11. cobbett
    I suppose this time everybody incl models and weather agencies seems to singing from the same hymn sheet- just a question of how cold now and for how long
  12. cobbett
    Incredible -16 850 hitting the east coast on the 18z. No way that will happen but worth another vino to take to comtemplate how awesome that is
  13. cobbett
    Thats the spirit - will leave it there then...
  14. cobbett
    Well true you're no more biased than anyone else but it was the inference on the previous comment that somewhow you're less biased than others. Obviously you can't really have bias in the short term model analysis
  15. cobbett
    Unbaised ? haha a classic
  16. cobbett
    Typical - thought southern areas were most at risk from snow but luckily as GFS precip are a load of tosh this far out I won't take much notice - yet Edit just seen 222hrs - you're forgiven !
  17. cobbett
    You'd think that at least one weather app would actually have a snow symbol or some actual cold showing on them for this time next week (for the south) and into next but nada, bit fat zero, zilch on any of them and with daytime temps around 5-7c.
  18. cobbett
    The period 21-24 has the mean below -5 - the 6z was above. Quite a noticeable change at that range
  19. cobbett
    Need to order the snow chains
  20. cobbett
    I expect an emergency update to this afternoons met outlook forecast then
  21. cobbett
    Why do we still get comments on the Mod thread re complaining about differing opinions on a model run...Er because it's a forum and people have differing opinions so why not check the models yourself and reach your own conclusion. If you don't know how go to the learning section !
  22. cobbett
    The metoffice update is correct in that there is 'potential' for a significant event but looking at the latest ens it's clear that divergence occurs around the 21st - with the control and op on the milder side I'd bet on a downgraded next update unless mogreps is seeing something different
  23. cobbett
    It was more the metoffice info that falling and slipping on ice can cause injuries - just warn that its icy and to take extra care
  24. cobbett
    So according to the Metoffice weather warning for the NW... Some injuries are possible from slips and falls on icy surfaces. Blimey I never knew that falling on an icy surface could be so dangerous. You live and learn eh. Best warn the kids asap
  25. cobbett
    Now this is encouraging....
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