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cobbett

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Everything posted by cobbett

  1. cobbett
    So Liam replies The 06Z and 18Z runs of the GFS are never worth taking much notice of because they include fewer observations in the initialisation than the main 00Z and 12Z runs. As a result, the reliability of the output isn’t particularly good. And, it’s the GFS... Is that correct ? Seems a sweeping statement to just disregard these runs
  2. cobbett
    Quite heavy snow here in Farnham - very unexpected !
  3. cobbett
    Mod thread now reads like the old bbc snow watch page - I remember a guy on that forum called crazysnowfan - think he'd feel right at home there now
  4. cobbett
    So for the south - rain clearing by Thurs next week to be replaced by some chilly weather and dry at least away from coastal regions for the rest of the GFS 12z run....zzz
  5. cobbett
    Looks like I picked the right day to arrive in IOM - should get v interesting later on and good opportunity for some decent pics by the promenade !
  6. cobbett
    The band should be about here around 945 - and met app just updated to show light snow around that time
  7. cobbett
    Mainly north and east early Jan
  8. cobbett
    Quite an impressive update from the metoffice - if you Ike cold of course ! Pretty much below avg thru Jan
  9. cobbett
    I think most peoples expectations were low pre winter but then all the signals around the PV being shredded and this winter is going to be so different to 2015 etc etc and we still end up with the same old rubbish . Early days I know..but
  10. cobbett
    Looks like December will end on a dull/mild note as usual for the UK. No sign of any cold on the ensembles so thankfully off somewhere warm pre Xmas and leave this tedious weather behind. All these positive signs pre winter not surprisingly way off the mark as usual. Yeah I know only 9 days into winter but cant help but feel this isn't going to be a noteworthy winter
  11. cobbett
    Aren't we supposed to be at the start of a coldish period - been out without jacket and it was glorious and looking at the ensembles the temp doesn't look like dropping too much from today for the foreseeable. Hoping for a bit more interesting winter weather to come but hedging my bets that this will be Dec at the earliest
  12. cobbett
    Should never have been a warning in the first place - was never warranted imho
  13. cobbett
    not wishing to be pedantic but it does display the snow symbol - thats the bit I was referring to....there is a separate warning for ice. Anyway gripe over ..
  14. cobbett
    Must be one of the daftest warnings i'v seen - 1-2cm above 200m is just embarrassing. I think even those estimates are overcooked as cant really see too much settling going on
  15. cobbett
    Ok thanks - will be gone by the 12z then !
  16. cobbett
    Well this shows a snow event but no idea which model this based on (assume GFS) so bound to be totally misleading ! http://www.myweather2.com/synop/player.aspx?synop=2
  17. cobbett
    ah well it appears the MOD thread is now regressing to the rather uninteresting - shame as has always kept me amused over the last few months. The last few winter diehards still on there remind me of the band still playing on the Titanic as it edged closer to its watery end
  18. cobbett
    Quite agree - wouldn't even label it transitory. Shows the desperation I suppose
  19. cobbett
    I blame the BBC for starting it with that daft tweet the other day
  20. cobbett
    If Mr Ferguson appears talking about some possible 'bothersome' snow amounts then I'll be interested
  21. cobbett
    oh for just one amber warning of snow for this winter please - at least that may result in a pleasant work from home day and a trudge thru the snow to the local pub at lunchtime. Not too much to ask for is it in this dire winter
  22. cobbett
    as in whats deemed appropriate to be posted - so the poor folks on here dont get wound up, led up garden path and anything which you consider 'childish'
  23. cobbett
    Well i'm sure you'd like to be responsible for filtering out model related discussion which didn't fit in to your narrow model remit but luckily... Anyway enough of this nonsense
  24. cobbett
    Yes boring was incorrect but it's the "I know better than you " attitude so don't bother posting that gets irritating. So much easier to skip a post than make snidey remarks. whats wrong with fantasy chasing anyway - same thing happens in summer looking for that long awaited heatwave but suppose that's not on either
  25. cobbett
    If the winter forum was just populated with the 'ever so serious' and 'i'm totally impartial' types it would be as quiet and boring as it is in the summer months. Then again I'm sure you can't wait !
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