Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

No Balls Like Snow Balls

Members
  • Posts

    2,978
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    3

Everything posted by No Balls Like Snow Balls

  1. This is automated over the weekend with no human input however it could be a sign of change to a more blocked Atlantic with a ridge being thrown up towards Greenland - has been shown in some model op runs to. This is the first run where any of the 500mb anomalies have shown this so it can't be taken as gospel just yet.
  2. The weather has and always will do something unexpected and go against all the rules, a computer model will never be able to expect the un-expected, there is nothing greater than mother nature. There has been numerous occasions where a forecast 24 hours prior to an event has been wrong, the weather "owns the models" not the other way round so to speak. I stand by my statement.
  3. Low of 3.2c overnight, think the skies cleared quite quickly, been lovely today.
  4. And quite easily it could be something different by this time next week, pinch and salt spring to mind.
  5. I would say quite simply that the error is caused by erm!!, wait for it........... THE WEATHER BEING THE WEATHER The weather will always be one step ahead of the models and that will never change no matter how much science evolves.
  6. These met updates change more times than a hoe's knickers though, I tend not to take much notice of them nowadays.
  7. At T120 the GH is strong no?, stronger than than the UKMO and ECM, this can only be a good thing. I don't understand how this is not considered blocking?????
  8. Good to see that it's possible xmas day won't be to mild, still a way to go though but fingers crossed models will show temps gradually getting colder.
  9. Low of 6.8c overnight, lots and lots of surface water around this morning.
  10. IMO I think the models look good this morning for a potential cold spell from the North in between xmas and new year, certainly better than looking for a Easterly that never comes lol
  11. A displaced bartlett can go in the same silly bin as faux zonal, oh and faux cold, I swear people make things up to appear clever lol
  12. I find the De Bilt ensembles pretty useless to be honest when De Bilt is at least 200 miles East of the most Easterly point in the UK. As we all know we are quite often the last stopping point for cold air and even more so we are in the middle of the battle of the mild atlantic air and cold European air, and it's quite apparent that De Bilt is more often than not likely to be in the cold european air, while us in the UK miss out.
  13. Do you mean we will find out it wasn't santa drinking the sherry and eating the mince pies after all
  14. On the GFS 12Z it looks like a East / West split in relation to the surface temps. the far South and SW get the mild double figure temps while further East remain in single figures. Still no clue what is going to happen but IMO we won't see no Easterly from this.
×
×
  • Create New...