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No Balls Like Snow Balls

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Everything posted by No Balls Like Snow Balls

  1. I don't bother taking my magnifying glass and scrutinising every 1 mile shift North and South, do you know why? - its because tomorrow it will be different again and the scrutinizing and over analysis and stressing the previous day would have been a waste of time. No matter how much we all think we know in reality neither us or the models really have a clue what will happen until it slaps us across the face.
  2. The next generation of the NWP. In laymans terms we can look forward to more advanced pap.
  3. A good set of model runs overnight. Very cold by day and some severe frosts by night where cloud clears. As for snow clearly no one at this stage can have a accurate answer to whether there will be widespread snow next week, not even the pros at Exeter, but at least we have 1 of the 2 important ingredients in place for snow and that is the cold, next stop precip LOL.
  4. Fantastic ECM run, did anyone expect anything less. Winter is gonna go out with a bang. Snow can turn up anywhere with embedded troughs etc so everyone should stay positive, its much healthier for the mind.
  5. Wow i read this last page first this morning and think the models are looking bad. I go back one page and find out they are actually looking amazing. Talk about chalk and chesse and undue hysteria for the wrong reasons.
  6. I like the look of the HP on the UKMO @ T96. It has a very pleasing shape.
  7. There doesn't seem much change on the GFS upto T144, still the risk of light snow flurries / showers on the East Coast and perhaps turning up anywhere later in the week. The main interest is from the end of next week onwards with LP pushing up against the block, so obviously could be a good deal of snow for someone depending how far the LP gets. Of course this far out there may not even be LP shown this time next week, so all taken with a pinch of salt.
  8. The current models and huge potential they may bring make the old chocolate star fish quiver with excitement, although in the back of mind i do hold the failed Easterly of December.
  9. In other words the Easterly isn't gonna be as good as we would all like it to be . Obviously subject to change though as always, especially this far out
  10. The short ensembles are out. It looks like the op could turn out much colder than the mean in the extended. IMO that was to be expected.
  11. It's a really good run from the GFS upto T144. Shame it is a load of old rubbish though with the credibility of a Findus lasagne (sorry Findus thats a bit harsh to compare you with the GFS)
  12. It's an upgrade over the 00z in the mid term with the cold air making it over the UK quicker
  13. The worlds leading weather model has the cold air incoming fast Tuesday evening with some light wintry/snow showers on the East coast.
  14. A slight frost overnight. There were still some snow patches left on the Chilterns last night.
  15. Yes one thing that has disappointed me this winter is the lack of ice days in my neck of the woods and even more so the very cold nights, normally where I live I could look forward to severe frosts on a lot of occasions but this winter i could count them on 1 hand. Hopefully this high pressure spell can put that right.
  16. For those stressing about warmer uppers than we may like see below from Twitter 850mb temps maybe misleading next week. Airmass could be particularly cold below 850mb (5000ft) given dry, continental airmass. Personally I think we can look forward to some very cold days and nights.
  17. From experience the majority of us know that major freezes will always be shown outside the reliable and then gradually be watered down as we come closer to the actual event, this has happened over many years. We also know that we quite often see small upgrades within the T72 period which quite often prolongs our cold and even deepens it.
  18. At this time of year i.e. 2 weeks before the official start of spring i believe any cold spell of any length and strength is most welcome. Of course it would be amazing to finish on the amazing Easterly that the models have teased us with for so long . Keep the faith.
  19. The ECM upto T144 looks great. ECM maywell go downhill at the end of the run if cold uppers is what you are after but the end of the run is never the gospel.
  20. Or the majority could just be enjoying themselves. Come on there is a ramp inside everyone. We are coming to the end of winter so lets ramp it up
  21. Only yesterday the MOGREPS was showing SW/W in the extended time frame. Today MOGREPS sided with the ECM Easterly. Things can upgrade or downgrade in the blink of an eye that is what we can be certain of.
  22. Blimey not good?, seriously you cant have everything, next your be wanting diamonds falling from the sky.
  23. The GFS went to the doctor yesterday because he was feeling unwell. The doctor asked how the GFS knew this. The GFS replied because I am starting to think I am a world leading global weather model - The doctor immediately raised his eyebrows, I agree he said you are unwell and instantly condemned the GFS to the nut house for urgent treatment.
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