-
Posts
2,978 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
3
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Everything posted by No Balls Like Snow Balls
-
Whilst March could well turn out below average temp wise the ECM 32d day certainly doesn't suggest a mega March freeze. Any low level snow i feel would be reserved for North England upwards, maybe on the odd occasion over the highest hills of Southern England. March could also turn out be wetter than average (the wetter further South you go).
-
I have been searching for some verification stats for the GEM and JMA and came across the below:- If I am reading this right then at the last verification date the best rated model is as follows (this is for America only I believe) 1, ECM 2, UKMO 3, GFS 4, GEM 5, JMA Hopefully I am not reading it upside down. It made me wonder why the METO hold the JMA in such high regard.
-
GFS has daytime temps no higher than 5c for most parts right upto the end of the high res part of the run. ECM shows a slight warm up over the next 2 weeks but never getting above average. It would kind of feel like no mans land with temps not cold enough for snow but not warm enough for it to fell like spring either
-
I see height's over Greenland both on ECM and GFS, but mostly blue's and Purple's which means it is only surface pressure and can quite easily be shifted by any LP's heading that way (this is what the more knowledgeable told me last year when i commented on exact same thing). It is only way out in FI on the ECM that you see the proper greens and Yellows pushing into Greenland