No Balls Like Snow Balls

I think the chances of some significant snowfall crossing the country Mon night into Tues are increasing with every model run

It's French I think.

From M Hugo on twitter Details aside 31 of the 51 EC ensemble members show a synoptic pattern similar to that of the midday ECMWF for next week = cold n wintry. 12 members out of the 51 bring in the Atlantic that's all...

It's all the silly things like GFS is right no it's not, yes it is, no it's not, yes it is, not it's not, yes it is. Told you so, no you didn't, yes i did, no you didnt etc etc etc LOL

All this point scoring and arguing in the mod thread is doing my nut in , I am going to have to start putting 100's of people on ignore LOL.

What am I looking for Nick?

Its the new sexy word of the week, highly in fashion, only to disappear in a weeks time for something else.

Currently the best performing model @ day 5 and 6 is the UKMO, just above the ECM. The accuracy is not correlated on who spot's the trends first but who verifies the most on what day.

I remember her in the Euro Vision contest, Useless she was.

He is just saying what the ensembles are showing. Is that un-reliable in your head LOL. Isn't it the ensembles that are un-reliable rather than the human????

Apparently METO HQ in Exeter is split into 2 halves, the mild camp and the cold camp, quite often violence flares

The below is from Twitter Australia BOM had to adjust their temperature scale for extreme heat wave event - colours for 50-52°C & 52-54°C added LOL, I reckon the GFS will be adjusting it's temperature scale to -50 850 temps by the time this SSW has panned out

But equally you could ask them questions about a mild weather pattern and the answer would still be no. So what you are spouting on about is a load of old cobblers really because the simple fact is that no one really knows for certain what will happen. I appreciate that you have been looking at the models for many years. I have been playing football for many years, but that doesn't make me Wayne Rooney does it!!!

With the SSW happening no outcome can be favoured because the consequences of this are unknown, from which i understand, the research into SSW is still in it's infancy. Maybe in winters with no SSW this is the case, but with what is happening now it cannot be called either way.

Panicking about charts that are 8 days away, which somebody just said above is the complete opposite of the 00Z = what a waste of time and effort and just a tad mental. Confidence building of cold air spreading across the UK by the end of this weekend, -8c uppers into Eastern England - Is this not a good enough for start for most!!!

Looking at the spaghetti mean, i would say a little on the Al dente side

I like to view the GFS Ens whilst wearing a mankini

Just taking nothing else but the 06z GFS ensembles into account, then we are on the cusp of a decent cold spell (by UK standards), 850c temps well below average from mid Jan onwards and 2m daytime temps not coming above 5c for the same time period either. That in terms of UK weather if played out exactly to the ensembles would be a decent cold spell, if how ever we were currently living in Scandinavia it would probably be seen as a bit rubbish, but alas we don't not live there do we so for us little old UK,a small island in the middle of a sea with the Gulf stream lapping at our shores is what we have to make do with most winters

I wouldn't say hang off every word, but some, ok more like a lot of people would rather listen to a pro than a amateur, that is the same in any walk of life

Praise be the lord - a voice of reason

WOW - there is not enough men in white coats to share around

U on the waccy baccy son?, relax

Lets hang ourselves now then cos of course its gonna verify

The PFJ is Polar Front Jet

SW'erlies in FI matters no more than raging E'erlies in FI, Don't you read the posts from the Pros?