From what i have been reading over the last couple of weeks, it seems clear that certain people have an agenda in this thread, i am in no way a model expert, in fact i am a complete noob, which makes it even more frustrating trying to learn, when conflicting posts and bickering occur.
The way i see it is, the GFS and ECM seem to be the big 2, and if the ECM has more backing from the "lesser" models for a cold(er) soloution then surley that carry's some weight?
I agree that if the GFS is constantly showing a milder set of runs then it thinks it is on to something, but it has to be said that the backing for it just isn't there, and as has been pointed out already it is moving a bit towards the ECM.
Respected posters and media weatherpersons have said that they expect a cold few days, followed by a brief milder incursion, then back to a colder outlook with the possibility of wintery precip, i know anything is possible, after all this is the UK weather we are talking about!
I know i will get shot down in flames for my post, but hey ho, I just really hope that this thread can get back to pure disscusion and not squables with objective posts, based onwhat the charts show, and not what people WANT to see.
regards
lee