[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

A good thaw set in here about 11am. Only got above zero then. About 36 hours of sub zero! Loved it!

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

Yep me too, leaving work this morning after 9 and the frost and fog were glorious! -2 according to the car thermometer! Lovely crisp whiteness everywhere.

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

Just cold rain here. Not a flake in sight!

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

11 hours ago, mountain shadow said:

First bit of frost for here for a while and the medium term is looking interesting to see the least although we always must remember that if it can go wrong, it will!

Aye, sods law and all that.

 

On 24/11/2020 at 20:12, gary1365 said:

My weather station is broken  

Mine too, thought it was the batteries, but it's not. No wireless communication between base set and outside set. Time to ask Santa for a new one I think. Any (affordable) suggestions?

[Model output discussion - into the start of Winter]

Something very odd about the output in the 6-10 day range, can’t put my finger on it. Are there any forces in place in the strat? 

[Model output discussion - Winter approaches]

1 hour ago, SLEETY said:

Has ecm ever modelled blocking to the NE over Scandi at days 9 and 10 that actually verified in the end

Yes. It has. December 2009. ECM, GFS, and later UKMO, all called the brilliant northern blocking without fail from the ultra FI charts, tick tock down to T-0. It was nailed on AND delivered!

But that was nirvana. Hasn't been repeated since!

[Model output discussion - Winter approaches]

Can’t wait for the first sign of shortwave drama.... Not!

[Model output discussion - Winter approaches]

Polar vortex looks like it will be settling down in Greenland for the next while. When it’s there, it’s quite difficult to get sustained wintry weather, as we all know!

[Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.]

Fairly benign charts for the foreseeable future. Mostly western driven with ridges of HP holding over our islands, so some frost and fog interspersed with brisk Atlantic weather fronts. But the future is considerably brighter with the Pfizer announcement yesterday! Haven't posted here in a while, but not expecting any early winter surprise so far.

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

Don't have as much spare time as I used to have (damned pandemic!) so don't really have the time to view either the NWP or the model output thread with any time required. Is there any joy looking forward??

 

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

More yellow rain warnings for today too. What a sodding month August has turned out to be. Still, could be trying to post in the Louisiana thread!!!

[Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.]

1 hour ago, Djdazzle said:

Quite like being at this point: nailed on to be hot, with the only question being how hot and how long.

Maybe for the regional threads? We're probably only going to see 20/22 degrees max.

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

On 15/06/2020 at 11:09, Jo Farrow said:

Not sure this has appeared before. Met Eireann showing their TS  yellow warning and UK Met Office TS warnings 

https://www.met.ie/warnings

 

Noticed that today, showing the MetO warnings for NI. Probably not before time!

[Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.]

If only we had plane data...

[Model Output Discussion - Into Summer 2020.]

34 minutes ago, NApplewhite said:

CFS Model for next week:

 

??

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

Hope you're all keeping well folks. Strange times. We seem to be edging out of the storm somewhat, but I urge you all to stay the course and stay apart as much as possible. As an island, we have done quite well with this. Unlike our 2 neighbours. As MS said, amazing spell of weather which made staying home easier, but alas, the Atlantic is having a say at the moment, maybe next week (and the farmers won't thank me for this) we'll see a return to warmer and drier weather.

[Model Output Discussion - heading into April]

4 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Can't be wrong at that range surely?

You'd hope so, but the lack of flight data.... 

[Model Output Discussion - heading into April]

I'd nearly prefer a 2 week bout of heavy snow, hail, thunderstorms, hurricane force winds and ice, to keep everybody home!!!

[Model Output Discussion - heading into April]

1 hour ago, Paul said:

Interesting article from the ECMWF - the lack of aircraft in the air may have effect on model accuracy at the moment. 

Drop in aircraft observations could have impact on weather forecasts | ECMWF

WWW.ECMWF.INT

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One aspect of the COVID-19 pandemic has been a reduction in the aircraft-based observations available to weather prediction centres at the start of forecasts. At ECMWF, aircraft reports are second...

 

One of my favourite topics after the Christmas Day runs always show snowmageddon!

Flight data! Thanks for posting.

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

Bit of snow this weekend could make entertaining the kids in the garden easier!

[Model output discussion 02/02/20]

a wee question 

is flight data an issue here?

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

Exhibit A M'laud!!!

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

@mountain shadow Maybe some interest for us on the east side of the island next weekend?

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

3am here this morning, snow bucketed down! Didn’t stick in the slightest!

[Ireland Regional Weather Discussion 13/12/2018 Onwards]

35 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

9 degrees, blue skies, sunshine.....roll on summer

Indeed, we need a few 20+ days to kill off this covid 19!