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Imp81

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Posts posted by Imp81

  1. Well, the GFS certainly shouldn't be ignored, but as you say, it's always better to view the models collectively rather than panic about one individual run. :drinks:

    smile.gif i always enjoy reading the excitement or as often the depressive views on that thread however just seemed bizarre when only days ago the 18z was dismissed often anyway, i appreciate i'm a newbie btw but as you say and some other posters read between the lines of the 3 as theres still plenty of time for things to change at the rate they're flopping and flipping and the meto are sticking with their guns so hopefully yet more falls for us this week be it 1-2cm or the mad figures projected by "Stoke on trent Robert" biggrin.gif

  2. hi guys now i can see on model output discussion etc that people are concerned about the GFS 18z output, now am i right in thinking the vast majority of the time when i've viewed it that people rate the GFS as the less accurate of the big 3 (but useful for spotting trends and longer range projections), so i don't get the panic as surely the ECM and UKMO etc are showing much more realistic projections i say this as obviously what the GFS is showing probably has certain effects on the events still with warnings on meto site for this week in our area so i just find it baffling when in previous weeks people have dismissed it and gone with ECM and UKMO, anyway that aside had a thaw to an extent here tho the snow has clung on gamely to grass and paths generally esp outside of the city without heat of the buildings and now a frost is setting in nicely to freeze the remaining 3-4cms no work for me tomorrow drinks.gif

  3. Well its been a grim old day of dense cloud and a bite to the air here and the temp dropped noticibly when the precipitation started at about 1600 a mixture of light rain/sleety stuff which has persisted without anything spectacular however tomorrow nights another story and maybe for a change we could be a focal point area for a bit of excitement and wintriness when quite often whilst getting something , we often miss out on the beefier varieties being neither proper north nor midlands as an area in these situations (he says fingers crossed hoping as it would mean friday off work yahoo.gif i work outside so even a dusting prevents my occupation from functioning)

  4. Been a contrast here today compared to yesterday as its felt quite pleasant in a largely bright sunny day at 6c, this i'd be happy with in april but depressing when hoping for wintriness tho least no SW'erly muck, we did catch a couple of hefty hail downpours mid afternoon just to remind us its still chilly however, lets hope those GFS charts prduce something for us and verify to some extent and by look of the model thread maybe in the not too distant future a possibility of some decent cold too as there is looking to be some kind of trend appearing maybe (note maybegirl_devil.gif)yahoo.gif

  5. Its been feeling very bitter here today considering the temp of 3.5c, we've had a mixture of sleet and snizzle and generally felt very cold and very dank especially for working outside in however exciting to see yet again our areas under the meto advisory for wednesdayrolleyes.gif ,i might add with a higher accumilation estimate, not that these often reflect what appears anyway.

  6. Maybe we ought to have an en mass drive to the west of sheffield as i mistakenly did post xmas despite no forewarnings on M1 blush.gif it was a bit interesting to say the least, it seems that theres uncertainty still on exact path of the low giving the precipitation and where may see snow so i'm, tho maybe folornly hoping there could be be some further developments to increase our chances as it seems in recent weeks the charts/models etc are having great difficulty in working out exact specifics, probably a hopecast but maybe there could be something decent following on in the wake of the northern low

  7. Just go sit up In Caistor its a sure bet for snow if any is to happen for our part of the world G.S.L, the impression i get from following the model threads and trying to grasp the complexities is that it may snow and we may get a decent covering however likely to be slushy on roads as it may well fall on already wet ground, so maybe you'll be safe, but snows snow in my eyes cool.gif and fingers crossed the ideal evolution of cold air coming down behind it from the N/NE and the cold pool will follow, this weather malarkey is strangely addictive smile.gif

  8. Thanks G.S.Ldrinks.gif hopefully things will go our way for a change always seems that north of the Humber and south of the wash do well so fingers and toes crossed that the low sticks on or close to where its running based on the fax chart as from what i can gather from my amateurish understanding theres an area of colder air/front clipping us and other parts of the east which with the low running as based on UKMO would likely cause more wintry precipitation yahoo.gif as i'm fed up already of seeing sleety drizzle and seeing the odd solitary decent flake mixed in it just rubs in what might have been

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