seabreeze86

January 9

UKMO is rock solid again fantastic model viewing , I really can see it being wrong over the GFS at day 5

January 9

Excellent post Nick explained it far better than I could. We saw a similar improvement from yesterdays ECM 6z let’s hope the 12z follows it unlike yesterday

January 8

GFS looks wedgy to me not that it matters at this range but something to watch to keep us cold for longer

January 8

Yeah that will work ECM

BOOMMMMM

January 8

Just now, Met4Cast said:

I'll take a messy evolution if we end up here..

All within the envelope as Bluearmy would say

The main take from the day is heights are almost a certainty in get to Greenland everything after that is up for grabs

January 8

4 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

Short wave drama to the last!

Will delay the cold plunge.

Big snow event for the north though

January 8

Band of snow moving south on the ECM at 168hrs

January 8

The ECM is nothing like the GFS more like the UKMO

January 8

Lovely upgrade from the 6z ECM , expecting fireworks tonight

January 7

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

TBH EC det looks weird days 9 + 10 ..

It's upgraded days 5 to 8 so that is a big positive for me ..

Yes the ECM day 10 chart would be very cold at the surface but it looks odd almost like it’s ran out of ideas

January 7

I see you ICON but I’m going to raise says the GEM

January 7

Great start to the 12zs from the ICON let’s hope it sets the trend

January 7

1 minute ago, Ali1977 said:

What’s going on here - Greeny high strengthening at 120 - looks quicker route to cold too

Small ridge from the pacific helping instead of hindering this time perhaps?

January 7

ECM 6z control is better than the 0z around Greenland and better push of the cold from the north as a result

January 7

Just now, frosty ground said:

Due to changes around the globe gaps are opening up in different places

wedge me a kipper

I think we will begin to see more runs finds these wedges as we get closer to the reliable

If they actually help us or not is another matter

January 7

9 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

The issue is the period after this chart though, as most have said the period between 120/168 appear to be going well but then the blocking dramatically weakens and we end up in a damp squib

Yes that’s true but the small improvements in the 6z have had the positive effects I hoped they would

January 7

Really just shows how insanely good the charts have been if this is being kicked out of bed

January 6

2 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

My only worry is the way that low pressure is inflating the Iberian heights, quite significant heights building to our south here

The heights are slightly weaker to the south on this run should help box the high in

January 6

GFS and UKMO very similar in the Atlantic . Looks primed

January 6

If the ECM op was showing consistency in how it breaks down the blocking I’d be more concerned but it’s all over the place

As ever more runs needed

January 6

The difference over the pole between the UKMO and ECM is laughable

January 5

Seriously I know it will probably disappear in the morning but what a run this is

January 5

Polar low approaching Scotland

January 5

Welcome back GFS we snow lovers missed you

January 5

Huge changes over the pole on the GFS

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Posts posted by seabreeze86