Mesoscale
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Posts posted by Mesoscale
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If we can keep the sun around here for a few more hours then I think I might be in the sweet spot, we shall see. Getting nice and warm now, the sky is a tad milky but the sun is definatley getting through.
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Also checking sat24 looks like the clouds are really starting to clear out now from the South East.
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Something from Torro.
The long and short of this is a messy picture - the broken line of showers should continue to drift north to reach mid-Wales to the Humber by evening, perhaps with a risk of thunder, but it seems fairly low at the moment due to a lack of instability. Behind this, clearing skies over cent S and SE England, and parts of the SE Mids, should allow scattered thunderstorms to develop by mid-afternoon. These will be fairly slow moving, and there's the potential, given a flow veering from NE'erly to southerly as a shallow low drifts north, for the southern 'side' of this mass of storms to remain fairly stationary, generating an effective outflow 'front', with cells decaying as the drift north, whereas the southern side of this activity (with access to reasonably warm/moist inflow) could remain quite active. This scenario is dependant on there being some reasonable heating though.
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Quick question for those storm chasers here.Do you get the same buzz watching a storm miles away from your home as you would in your own garden/road/house?
Whenever i have intercepted a storm 'away from home' the pleasure factor is there for sure but still a 'if only' it had hit my area! Maybe just me?
100%, I went storm chasing in Florida a few years back and chasing the storms was quite stressful, one of the storms ended up hitting where I was staying but because everything was so flooded we got there after it had hit and passed. A few days later we decided not to chase and got a direct hit but this time we could sit down in the balcony and watch it come and get us giving a spectacular lightning display, we had beers and drinks and it was one of the best storm experiences I have ever had. It can also be equally stressful because you can see the storms in the distance.
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Well im just in the 'sweet spot' on that map but are you just being a little bit bias? haha
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More cloudy here now
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Almost clear blue skies here just with a few high clouds, feeling warm in that sunshine! Come on England don't fail us this time!
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It's a beautiful Sunrise here with no cloud in sight. If clouds break early in southern areas then the prediction of 22-23c is very underestimated and thus so will CAPE forecasts.
One can only hope, to get my fix I have been watching severe thunderstorm videos, currently watching one from Montreal from the 10th June. Its not helping haha.
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Clouds are looking pretty thin right now, not sure if the sun will burn them away or enhance them, on a lighter note I have just seen 3 parakeets fly over which was nice.
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A level 2 Estofex warning is in effect over Wales and SW England, with a level 1 for the rest of central and southern. England.
Also looking at the previous forecast from Estofex it was spot on about tonight.
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Looks like most of the activity is dying over the channel now, but its pretty cloudy here and I am wondering if it can clear?
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The storm just moving out of France I would imagine it's journey over the Cool English Channel will begin to kill it.
Yeah I think it will die just off shore of Southern England but I believe it will give a pretty good lightshow again for the southerners.
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I cant tell which direction they are heading? North or North west?
Just looked on Radar and they heading North West, damn why did I get myself excited haha? Oh well, hopefully tomorrow is the day because im tired of being in the middle. -
Does anyone think that the band in the channel will make it this far north?
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Will these make it to my location? I wonder how far they will get before dieing?
Bournemouth cam lit up again.
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I am getting all giddy like a child on Christmas morning! Hopefully they make it up here.
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Just checked estofex South Wales is under a level 2 warning whilst the southern half of England is under a level 1 with 50% chance of lightning
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I wonder how far north these are going to get, not sure if I should go for a little chase or stay here.
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UK weather scientific...latest probability map guidance
Black box outline is of concern for excessive rainfall.
Im in the 0.6 area so there is some hope haha.
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Top of Portsdown Hill north of Portsmouth gives 360 degree views for miles and miles in all directions. I added this spot into My Favourites in my sat nav last summer.
Whilst there are numerous places to park - the place I actually parked happened to be under an electricity pylon on the top of a big hill. Is this dangerous or are pylons earthed in such a way that the ground at the bottom doesn't get electrified if the pylon is struck?
Technically the lightning is more likely to travel into the underground wires, I have never see lightning jump from a cable directly to the ground beneath because the wire creates a less resistant path than air.
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Harrow Viewpoint, for people who live in the North Home Counties/North London who want shots over London, brilliant spot just look out for illegal activities haha.
https://www.google.com/maps/dir//51.620339,-0.3498343/@51.6192815,-0.3494057,16z
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Looking like a mainly western thing, last weeks was a south east and east thing, and here we are sandwiched between both of them. Hmm, one day I may get lucky. I am hoping for a shift a bit east so that more people can get in on the action.
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I wonder what this sky COULD look like this time Friday. Should do a competition on it to most difference
Only gone and jinxed it now ..
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Looks like in general any storms will be during daylight hours which is a shame, so much better watching them slowly move in at night, remember that fondly from late 80/90's but doesn't seem to happen so much nowadays
28th July last year I don't know why but I decided to check the RainToday radar. I saw a large swath of rain incoming so I checked the ATD lightning and it was heading my way, so I sat outside but couldn't see any lightning so I waited and slowly I could see distant flashes, it took ages to get here but the light show was awesome. I would like that again if im honest.
Storm & Convective Discussion - 12th June 2015 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
haha I like that mistake.