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UV-RAY

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Everything posted by UV-RAY

  1. I'm not so sure about that or it actually switching to it's easterly phase this winter, it's quite common to see it flip flop to and forth between phases. I'm sure I read somewhere it will remain in it's westerly phase for the next few years?
  2. Oh gawd not another Scandinavian Easterly on it's way, they've brought nothing but cold rain here since 95. I understand why they are popular on here as most of Net Weathers members are from the South, but those of us on the Western side rarely see anything from such a set up besides cloudy skies and cold rain. Here's to the models barking up the wrong tree!
  3. I don't care what the ECM shows past +120 more so anything from the east, I still see us remaining on the mild side of any such block and tbh I don't buy height rises over Scandinavia at this moment in time For me more of the same as we've been seeing over the last week or two for the foreseeable, with a slow decline SE of heights. Indeed frosty. I don't buy a very mild evolution either.
  4. Poinsoned chalice Lol. What's your opinion on the EC32 Ian?
  5. Well lets hope that if one does materialise it actually backs up far enough West to deliver for the whole UK and not just the usual suspects. I'm still looking forward to this so called non event this weekend, there's still an outside chance of some snow on Thursday evening and Friday morning for NW England, with a cold weekend to boot with sub zero temps at night and temp crawling just above during the day.
  6. Oh crap the MOD thread is full of talk about easterlies at +1000000 and I couldn't give a monkeys whether we get one or not due to 95% of them delivering nothing around here. At least it will be nice and frosty this weekend with the smallest of chances of some snow on Thursday evening and Friday morning.
  7. I warned about the eastward corrections in the regional threads on Friday and my concerns were proven right. not that it takes a weather guru to come up with the obvious really. As for chasing phantom easterlies I think I'll pass on that one for now as we all know just how even more difficult these are to model than a northerly. My punt is for heights to remain in central Europe with us in a flow from the West/SW and then the high to slowly sink SE.
  8. Lets hope not, another winter season of chasing phantom easterlies is just too much to take. These eastward corrections seem to becoming more and more predominant over the years, or so it appears.
  9. Thats one thing I've noticed over the last two weeks, how the PV cannot get a foothold in its favourite location for any length of time. The whole NH profile looks different to recent years with the PV moving around like an unwelcomed traveller.
  10. Im talking about the WWF and Hymalyan glaciers?
  11. I'll dig some out tomorrow, they were regarding some Glaciers in the Himalayas that would have disappeared by 2035. It was well documented at the time and not just by sceptical sites as one of the researchers admitted that the statement was intended purely as a shock tactic, hence why the IPCC dropped it like a stone and rightly so
  12. Totally agree BFTV, but the quality of the research wasn't that good and was later dropped by the IPCC on receding glaciers. One small point would you take that stance if the quality of research was conducted by a sceptical scientist?
  13. That eastward correction was something I mentioned yesterday in the model thread, it would be a rare event for the models to show this being pushed back westwards from hereon, rare but not impossible. Fingers crossed otherwise we'll be looking at very cold but mainly dry few days.
  14. Each to their own Dev, but the IPCC have actually used evidence gathered by the WWF and Greenpeace ( though not sure about Greenpeace ). IMO they are nothing more than middle class political ideologist with far too much time on their hands and far too few brain cells between them. So in your world they are super heroes but for the majority they are viewed in a different light and rightly so. Edit; I use to support the WWF and Greenpeace but that support was withdrawn in the late 90s.
  15. I agree with you Pete, but what does Greenpeace and the WWF know about science either?
  16. The voice of reason and common sense prevails but no matter how many times you repeat this the same old, same old will continue with the next model output. It does show though that your better reading the the posts that aren't trying to point score or try and discreetly wind up others. Good analysis Ed and also from one or two others here.
  17. No doubt in anticipation for the numerous comments and thanks for the early warnings for the coldest winter ever, or............ Lol.
  18. WTF, winter starts tomorrow and what's your view on what the models are showing?
  19. Thanks ba as I was beginning to think I was seeing something that wasn't there. There's some right old daft posts appearing backing this or that other model, the fact remains that all the models will chop and change from now till +0.
  20. Indeed, although I don't think Gibby was crowing, but the fact remains this projected cold snap could easily upgrade to a cold spell.
  21. A prime example of a warming event which did bring about HLB but this wasn't in a more favourable position for cold to back far enough westwards and left many in the western half of the UK on the boundary of cold / mild airmasses.
  22. I wholeheartedly agree, it's nonsense saying you can't get a prolonged cold spell if the Strat doesn't play ball, of course it helps no end if it is but we can and have done many times before managed to be on the right side of any cold block with a strong PV in its favorite location. Sorry for being off topic by the way mods.
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