[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

36 minutes ago, asjmcguire said:

I would say Imagine the Daily Express headlines! But then I thought - oh wait, they don't need actual facts to backup the (weather) headlines they write.....

Has the Daily Express headlined the BFTE - actually getting it right for the first time amongst three years of garbage? I bet @Jo Farrowhas been keeping score?

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Just like old times I've had a jump into the 12z GFS charts. I've chosen Midnight Sunday (ie overnight Sat/Sun) to show how we are likely to be either going to bed smiling or staying-up lamppost watching:

Precipitation and 850s -10 to -12C with snow across Caithness and Black Isle. In a line east from Elgin to Glasgow and across the Borders.

Thicknesses just keep getting thicker. In fact the 528 dam passes over us headed south and over the border 6am Sat morning.

And 0C isotherm. WIdely at sea level. Maybe 100m at this stge across Central Belt/coasts and to southwest, but with those showers.....

Better build-up than Xmas 2020.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

2.2C and very rainy sleet. Snowline up at 270m, but having driven to the supermarket and back on the road that goes that high, (I say road, when of course I mean deteriorating gravel track littered with potholes you could bathe in), it's sleet up there so it's definitely retreating back up the mountains. 

[Statistically when is the coldest part of winter?]

On 21/01/2021 at 21:07, damianslaw said:

Would be good if anyone had the stats, number crunching to confirm when is on average the coldest part of the winter. I've read somewhere it is the first week of February. I'd expect the coldest core of the winter on average to be about 20 Jan - 10 Feb. 

Just like end July/early August tends to be the warmest part of the winter - helped in large part by very mild nights.

Always think late Jan/early Feb is the depths of winter, despite being some 6 weeks since the Winter Solstice. 

As the saying goes 'as the days lengthen the cold strengthens'..

Also chimes with Candlemas Day folklore on 2 Feb.. have half your hay still available to get through rest of winter - mid point between 21 Dec and 21 March.

It's in my mind too that first week of February is, on balance, the coldest part of winter. Thermal lag must have such a huge influence on our maritime climate. Interesting to read about Philip Eden's take however - a worthy weather statistician. More information needed, especially the last decade's stats. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

The snowline as seen from my garden. That's at 230m. Snowed for 30 hours now and like elsewhere, that easterly gusty wind cuts right through everything. Temp between 0.7 and 1.5C all day again...

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

09:30 0.6°C heavy small snow flakes - covering building

12:00 1.1°C heavy snow blowing horizontally or even up the hill - patchy coverings 

14:30 0.7°C heavy big snow blowing everywhere - sticking and covering 

16:30 0.9°C heavy small snow flakes - patchy

21:00 1.4°C heavy small snow flakes - wet baws says naw

Quite a day in a 40mph gale from the east. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Was 1.6°C at 4am. 1. 1°C an hour ago. Now 0.7°C and snow bucketing down. Got to drive to Biggar. I may be some time. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Currently 1.5°C and under the frontal edge across Lanarkshire /the western Borders. Radar says precipitation, weather type radar says snow. Outside says its the lightest unidentifiable ppn and is barely reaching the ground.... 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

When hobbies collide:

East Linton / David Bosher

WWW.RAILSCOT.CO.UK

---

The former East Linton station, closed 4th May 1964, seen from the delayed ex-14.00 service from Edinburgh Waverley to London King^s Cross making an unscheduled stop due to heavy snow - the Beast from the...

The site plans for the new East Linton railway station have now been published and I was looking at various documents, satellite images and photos of the old station when this popped up - a great story of the BFTE.... It's an omen I tell ya, an omen. 

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Thirty fifth air frost at -0.6C. Sunny morning, still the lightest of sprinklings in the garden and on the drive. Up above 350m it's white. 

Friday to Sunday is going to be special me thinks... Mushy peas required.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

16 minutes ago, scott125 said:

Didnt a few places around Biggar get to near minus 18 a few weeks back? Not official?

Yes, Hartree unofficially recorded -17°C or something similar. 

Just -2.0°C here overnight, but that is my thirty fourth air frost. Wondered if it'll make fifty. Note that the phone's XC Weather app has converted most of the week's six days of consecutive snow falling into a "wintry mix". We all know what that means! 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Noticed the temp was rising from -0.5°C to the heady heights of 0.3°C and lo and behold a ten minute light snow shower has made it this far west. 

As folk are saying about the upcoming week - exciting times. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

ESE is good apparently

But in all seriousness its a product of the tilt of the fronts. Nothing to worry about. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Wonder if there is a record of the number of consecutive negatively tilted bands of ppn to move across our shores? 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

1 hour ago, mardatha said:

Translate that for me shuggee? Is it cauld or is it no cauld

Gonna be chilly. A bit snowy, and frosty. Bit sleety too. Nay mild pish. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Ooooo - another belter. In all seriousness, 12z GFS is a cold run for us and that was traditionally the most 'progressive' of the four GFS runs flattening out the jet stream and always seeking to reintroduce SW'lys. How times change....

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Overnight min of 0.6C which enabled a deposit of snow, but not really an even dusting, more a wet splattering so not counting a snow day. Certianly not the XC Weather 12cm  

Pal three miles away has an inch - at same height asl. The weird winter continues.

 

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

12z GFS a cold run for Scotland. Today's mild blip gone in the blink of an eye.

 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Temp dropped from 5.5C to 3.1C in last two hours - that cold from the north east is making a comeback in these parts.

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

5.4C at dawn - positively Mediterranean. Didn't wear a hat outside 

No snow day today, green again...

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Cold rain 2.0C...

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Thirthy third air frost at -0.4C in the last 90 minutes. Splattering of snow settled on everything making the previous snow/ice grippy but everywhere else icy and slippy. Cannae win!

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Sleety rain. Pah. 1.2°C. Heavy stuff on its way. 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Temperature was 0.7°C 90 mins ago. 1.3°C now as ppn comes in from the west... What will it be?! 

[Scotland/Alba weather discussion - Jan 2021 onwards]

Ah, but is rime hoar frost, or is hoar frost rime?! Pretty sure they are different!

Rain for me tonight apparently...