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weathe20

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Everything posted by weathe20

  1. weathe20
    Can someone tell me if any of this cold being shown on the ECM is in the reliable timeframe? What happens if the GFS still shows the opposite in the reliable, or can this not happen? (newbie here, thanks.)
  2. weathe20
    Personally I think the 00z is an improvement. The cold out east is right on our doorstep at 192 rather than being over Russia as per the 18z run > Also the GFS continues the theme of N / NW attack in FI as per GP.
  3. weathe20
    Seems there is good consistancy from the ECM and other models. The big guns here tonight seem confident of a trend to cold....but surely there is niggling feeling that the GFS is still not on board? Think Ian Brown is hoping this niggling feeling comes to reality!
  4. weathe20
    Its the divergence I was talking about. The models remain volitile and un-decided if you ask me.
  5. weathe20
    Lots going on in the atmosphere, with signs of plenty of changes ahead with this much divergence >
  6. weathe20
    Is this what people here are trying to see evolve in the charts?
  7. weathe20
    Seems we could end up with one of those terrible 'snow north of M4' events...
  8. weathe20
    GP goes with cold from the N and NW.
  9. weathe20
    00z, changes again. Please correct if wrong..but is that a Scandi high? >
  10. weathe20
    Didnt GP mention NW and N for the cold not east anyway. When was the last time a very decent easterly happend?? Patience is required. Im still learning, but my word, I cannot stress enough some posts are like chalk and cheese!!
  11. weathe20
    Charts please. Can only see COOL zonality. If you live in Scotland or high ground in Northern England???
  12. weathe20
    12z not good for cold. Seems we have been teased for a few runs recently. Dont think the ECM has actually showed anything like GFS. 12z goes back to zonal with the chance of PM incursions...thats about it. As for the bigger picture, and the NH, I will leave that to the more experienced. I wonder if the ECM later will show some cold charts.... Wheres it very cold?
  13. weathe20
    Well said, BrumWatcher seems to have written off any cold in one sentance.
  14. weathe20
    BANG.....goes the excitment of last nights 18z run. Jet stream comes flying through on the 00z run. So..thats it then. The trend to colder weather now gone then. Brum Watcher has called it, dont bother to comment now anyone.
  15. weathe20
    (00z) Cold stays out to the east, never any easterly feed from the continent. Just a westerly / southerly flow throughout until the relms of FI when it looks slightly more interesting. Interesting if you live in Spain, where its colder than here!
  16. weathe20
    Im not sure if the models have shown a decent easterly yet? Just charts that show potential?
  17. weathe20
    -5 line only enters scotland. And no flow from the continent, just from SW/W
  18. weathe20
    Not convienced, looks a total model mess on 12z.
  19. weathe20
    Same old same old pattern. Nothing to write home about yet.
  20. weathe20
    Think thats the most negative Ive seen it go this winter. That period again from 13th Jan onwards.
  21. weathe20
    Can you post a chart to show that?
  22. weathe20
    Still nothing on this mornings charts if you ask me. Just looks a mess with no pattern change in sight. Patience is the key.....apparently.
  23. weathe20
    So the ECM could lead to a 3 day toppler? And then what? Thought we were looking for some sustained cold
  24. weathe20
    The NAO and AO were (were) on a reasonble strong agreement heading for neautral and negative, this has slightly changed this morning to more neautral / positive. Also big disagreement between each ensemble.
  25. weathe20
    Think that in bold could get coldies excited. Can this mean synoptics simular to the last two winters?
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