Kirkcaldy Weather

Likely to be a convergence zone great pics

I remember that day well, the potential was certainly there even for tornadoes and a supercell did form across the NW and moved into the borders but nothing happened as far as tornadoes but this was the Skew T chart from Edinburgh on that day last year it’s pretty rare to get 2000 CAPE up here!

New York City Tied Its Record Latest Spring Snowfall, In One of Its Least Snowy Seasons | The Weather Channel WEATHER.COM Chalk this one up as a Mother's Day weekend oddity.

First storms developed in Spain and France Weather: Rainfall Radar France WWW.WEATHERCAST.CO.UK Rainfall radar for France - see rainfall across France Lightning & Thunderstorms - Portugal, Spain, France, Italy EN.BLITZORTUNG.ORG Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other Countries.

-6 850 hpa reaching the south coast on Monday

Some impressive dew points especially further west @Mr Frost included Likely due to the mostly dry air not sure about back edge stuff don’t think the cold air will dig in quite quick enough but looks like some snow flurries / showers for higher areas especially highlands that looks to be about the position of the -10 850s but the majority in -8 still noteworthy for May.

10/11C dew points tomorrow and by Sunday...

Well we better enjoy the 20C @Mr Frost @Norrance @Hawesy 528 dam line and a trough in the second week of May

Spain lighting up like a Christmas tree ATM.

Spain kicking off again after a lively night. Weather: Rainfall Radar Spain WWW.WEATHERCAST.CO.UK Rainfall radar for Spain - see rainfall across Spain Lightning & Thunderstorms - Portugal, Spain, France, Italy EN.BLITZORTUNG.ORG Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other Countries.

True

-4/5 dew points in May

May = the new December possible ice day in the highlands and -4/5 dew points erm

Looks like a possible mcs moving north across Spain tomorrow morning then clearing followed by storms breaking out again in the afternoon possibly merging again, also a chance of some extending into parts of France in the evening.

Discussing if it was a supercell.

First storm developed in Spain Lightning & Thunderstorms - Portugal, Spain, France, Italy EN.BLITZORTUNG.ORG Blitzortung.org provides lightning and thunderstorm information in real time on maps for USA, United Kingdom, Australia, new Zealand, Europa, Africa, Asia and other Countries. Weather: Rainfall Radar Spain WWW.WEATHERCAST.CO.UK Rainfall radar for Spain - see rainfall across Spain Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com EN.SAT24.COM Weather Spain and Portugal, Satellite Weather Spain and Portugal, Weather Forecast, Rainfall, Clouds, Sun in Spain and Portugal - SAT24.com

Well a sudden last minute change today for northern Spain with storms now looking like breaking out followed by a possible MCS tomorrow morning looks like faster movement of that heat low from the south. Also I can’t remember seeing an ESTOFEX forecast for tornadoes in Russia before. A level 1 was issued across NW Iberian Peninsula mainly for large hail. A level 1 was issued across parts of NW Russia mainly for tornadoes and excessive precipitation. Northwest Iberian ... Up to 10 g/kg low level specific humidity and advection of 7-7.5 K/km lower-troposphere lapse rates from NW Africa create favorable conditions for thunderstorms over broader NW Spain and N Portugal. Lift is not warranted during earlier hours, but the late afternoon and evening hours reveal much less CIN and boundary layer disturbances, during passage of a vorticity maxima. Any storms formed inlands would have higher cloud bases, and steeper lapse rates below. Up to 25 m/s deep layer shear and moderate latent instability combination promote well-organized storms with large hail potential. Northwestern Russia ... Another hotspot for severe convection is northwestern Russia. There is a moderate CAPE and very strong deep layer shear overlap around the simulated low. 0-1 km shear reaches 10-15 m/s, while the LCL is simulated to be below 800-1000 m in most parts, supporting tornado formation. Long and straight hodographs indicate splitting supercells around more western and northern parts of the level 1 area issued. Further southern parts of the Level 1 has potential for excessive precipitation, with higher humidity owing to strong advection from the Caspian Sea.