Kirkcaldy Weather

Should be moving into an area of CIN so would expect it to weaken but will be interesting

Wrf nmm on meteociel has theta-e charts the 2km is highest resolution and you can use the wind charts to look for convergence zones also you can zoom into different areas of uk. looks like some elevated rainfall into the sw overnight tonight, there is some cape over Wales today but lack of a trigger. Both SBCAPE and MUCAPE across wales tomorrow and a front could see some storms will see what the runs later show and might pick a virtual target zone

Temp got to 19.4C here. Kirkcaldy station has 1.2mm for April but we had 40.2mm in March though that is still below the average. Scottish Rainfall Data - provided by Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA) WWW2.SEPA.ORG.UK Rainfall data for Scotland.

Some big convective energy in France on Saturday front nearby

Currently cloudless skies here and 19.1 C currently rising 1.6 C/hr, looks to be a few warmer spots dotted about at 17/18 C, just noticed yesterday morning minimum temp was 0.4 C here.

Thanks to @Flash bang flash bang etc for his explanation I will add, that is possibly why the MUCAPE which is the elevated stuff appears to be more impressive for the end of the week than the SBCAPE (surface based) here is some more info on instability and CAPE etc http://www.theweatherprediction.com/severe/ingredients/instability/ Forecasting severe convective storms WWW.ESTOFEX.ORG another thing that sometimes needs factoring in as happened in the latest storms and also up here last week, a storm formed in SW Scotland but as it tracked towards me CIN developed and rapidly weakened the cell. http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints3/905/ Convective Inhibition (CIN) TORNADO.SFSU.EDU

Seems a bit high to me I will go for 17/18C somewhere like Banchory

Latest run is a bit different as expected and has cells across Wales later on Thursday and cells associated with the front moving into southern parts of England through Friday, again this is likely to be elevated.

Nice sunset here

Latest fax chart for Friday shows the front pretty much in agreement with the wrf and the flow from France

That’s a car

Might get your next tonight, are you not getting bored of frosts

17th now starting to get within range on the wrf 0.05 ATM looks like elevated cells with instability drifting up from France. Wales and possibly SW England main areas but will be plenty of changes before then given time frame.