Kirkcaldy Weather

Currently cloudless skies here and 19.1 C currently rising 1.6 C/hr, looks to be a few warmer spots dotted about at 17/18 C, just noticed yesterday morning minimum temp was 0.4 C here.

Thanks to @Flash bang flash bang etc for his explanation I will add, that is possibly why the MUCAPE which is the elevated stuff appears to be more impressive for the end of the week than the SBCAPE (surface based) here is some more info on instability and CAPE etc http://www.theweatherprediction.com/severe/ingredients/instability/ Forecasting severe convective storms WWW.ESTOFEX.ORG another thing that sometimes needs factoring in as happened in the latest storms and also up here last week, a storm formed in SW Scotland but as it tracked towards me CIN developed and rapidly weakened the cell. http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints3/905/ Convective Inhibition (CIN) TORNADO.SFSU.EDU

Seems a bit high to me I will go for 17/18C somewhere like Banchory

Latest run is a bit different as expected and has cells across Wales later on Thursday and cells associated with the front moving into southern parts of England through Friday, again this is likely to be elevated.

Nice sunset here

Latest fax chart for Friday shows the front pretty much in agreement with the wrf and the flow from France

That’s a car

Might get your next tonight, are you not getting bored of frosts

17th now starting to get within range on the wrf 0.05 ATM looks like elevated cells with instability drifting up from France. Wales and possibly SW England main areas but will be plenty of changes before then given time frame.

I still think Cookeville could/should have been an EF5 as there were houses completely gone off foundations, trees debarked and I think there might have been ground scouring too, then the recent Jonesboro tornado did look more than an EF3 to me.

Continued There is also some talk about possible ground scouring but the pics are not clear so I will leave those tweets.

@Paul Sherman this was the Yazoo tornado earlier in the day, talking about foundations not really sure what to make of that tbh. Also

I appreciate the input Paul the Soso one will be interesting I think that is where they are thinking possible winds 200mph + Just seen this from the cookeville tornado last month

Having a quick look through the wrf eu looks like France is quite active on 17th April with a chance of the south coast of England possibly.