Kirkcaldy Weather

Wild night and day here, bins went flying at about 2 am certainly didn't need to check the radar to tell it was a squall line earlier currently 8.8 C and had 19.5 mm of rain so far today - in other words more akin to autumn than winter.

Ice Storm Warning issued for over 2.5 million Michiganders WWW.MLIVE.COM An Ice Storm Warning has been issued for part of Lower Michigan

Got down to -1.7 C here last night, currently 8.6 C and wind really starting to pick up with rain on and off. A shame we didn't get to see any nacreous clouds, hopefully it doesn't take too long before the next opportunity.

He sometimes does live briefings on Facebook.

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Yes I thought the same, just stumbled across it on Twitter and thought I would chuck it into the conversation and as you were saying earlier possibly some connection between MJO and SSW.

It begins

Tornado threat tomorrow (Texas) upgraded to moderate risk then also further east toward Alabama on Saturday, potential for some strong tornadoes.

Upgrade to Moderate for Friday

No IF we could manage to get a split and a section of the PV did indeed move into Siberia should we get the chance of an easterly it could be very potent, long way off this though and probably would be best if the other section of PV was more toward Alaska, think @Glacier Point mentioned a possibility of this a while back.

No luck on the nacreous cloud hunt today here.

Again some other models showing that possible link up of heights (pacific and scandi) and possible split in the tpv (again I know that is the cfs) hopefully this signal grows over the next week or so of runs. Meteociel - Cartes Ensemble GFS (ENS/GEFS) WWW.METEOCIEL.FR meteociel propose des rubriques météo temps réel, forums, modeles...

Drivers warned to take care as snow hits parts of Scotland NEWS.STV.TV A stretch of road on the A702 has been closed due to the adverse weather. Vehicles stuck on the A7 as snow hits the Borders - BBC News WWW.BBC.CO.UK Some school bus services are also cancelled due to wintry conditions across south east Scotland.

Snowstorm hits parts of Nagaland for the first time in 37 years, India WATCHERS.NEWS An unexpected snowstorm hit the state of Nagaland, India at the end of 2019, with some parts of the state experiencing their first snow...

P17 goes down the December 2010 route (when that section of PV dropped down across the UK) certainly at the more extreme end of possibilities but GEFS seem keen on ridging and higher pressure from the Pacific side just the question if the higher pressure over our side can link up possibly splitting the tpv (think that is what GP was eluding to re bottom up split) I cant seem to get the gif link working but if you run through the GEFS height anomalies you will see what I mean Meteociel - Cartes Ensemble GFS (ENS/GEFS) WWW.METEOCIEL.FR meteociel propose des rubriques météo temps réel, forums, modeles...