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Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
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dragan

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Everything posted by dragan

  1. dragan
    it is the model output discussion after all, and if thats whats in the current output then i guess people will discuss it.
  2. dragan
    You like it because it suggests possible (unlikely) cold. ECM so far, goes with the westerly regime.
  3. dragan
    I got pure lambasted earlier for saying there is no pattern change in sight. To me once again, the signals are all westerly/zonal based weather
  4. dragan
    Yes, i agree with the above. The broader pattern seems to be fairly well established across the models. Although Scottish Mountains will see some wintriness, the ECM suggests even less so for other areas than yesterdays output.
  5. dragan
    Thanks. I would say that ties in with my thoughts also.
  6. dragan
    How can you be so accurate?
  7. dragan
    Yes but it's the model output discussion. That's what I see so that's what I have commented on.
  8. dragan
    This is a decent pm shot for cold lovers. Sleet and wet snow even for many lower elevations I guess. Scottish mountains should do well in regards to snowfall.
  9. dragan
    -1c in Midlothian. Lovely cold day, felt very cold in any shade and as soon as sun went down
  10. dragan
    With regards to Feb/March, I just feel with the curent outlook it will be a while before any continental feed will happen. I'm not writing off January, but I believe my assessment of it is closer than some of the fantasists, whose posts seem to get much praise, even though time and time again they are totally off the mark regarding cold.
  11. dragan
    If the high sets up around southern Europe and sends a plume from Africa, temps could go through the roof. Unlikely as it is, it could happen.
  12. dragan
    Essentially the odds for a HLB cold setup in January are very very slim indeed. I like cold and snow, but will not fantasise about what 'could' happen as it only gets hopes up. The outlook is very average for January, wet and cool from the west. I wouldnt be surprised if we get a continental feed sometime late February or March.
  13. dragan
    Very lively weather to come it seems. I cant see any easterly influence for the next 2-3 weeks, i said so 4-5 days ago, and the charts have compounded this. I do think however, in regards to snow, there will be some certainly in Scotland, and perhaps higher ground in northern England. A lot of folks seem frustrated, but one has to remember how rare easterlies are (and snowy ones even more so)
  14. dragan
    A quick question, the northern hemisphere seems to have less snow cover than normal,USA and eastern Europe especially. Am i right in thinking this winter is a very mild one (so far) for the NH???
  15. dragan
    Not sure where fi starts, but at 120h ecm and gfs look very similar for the uk with a mild looking south westerly raising temperatures a fair bit compared to now. After that the POSSIBILITY of some pm shots, however like others on here my gut feeling is for milder weather to persist.
  16. dragan
    Good point well made. Just shows, with all the factors in place, its very rare to get true cold in this part of the world. Also i think 2009/10 has tainted some views, forgetting that was a truly remarkable event.
  17. dragan
    I cant see it Frosty. I mean its hard to pinpoint exact temperatures obviously, but i think after the next 4/5 days things really do get milder. Very long drawn south westerlies Its been more than hinted at by the models.
  18. dragan
    ^ I would also say the milder trend has been picked up on for a while tbh ^^
  19. dragan
    Atlantic weather looks likely to establish itself once the high sinks itself away. This has been modeled many times and looks likely to kick in about 31st or 1st. I cant see an undercut happening as these seem like rare events, plus none have been modeled.
  20. dragan
    Looking further ahead, the encroaching Atlantic bumping into cold air will surely produce some snow?? I would say, after that most models are going for atlantic dominated weather. Id also imagine, the northwest would be first to feel the milder air.
  21. dragan
    ok thanks
  22. dragan
    Hello, what does it give us to hold onto?
  23. dragan
    Yes I agree, I think all the charts I've seen show a return to zonal. It's a ashame but that looks the likely outcome. I can't see why there would be a lack of data at Xmas, is that not a whacky statement??
  24. dragan
    How is this annoying? I have looked at the model output, and it shows what i have written. I have tried to contribute unlike yourself. If it showed a long drawn easterly, i would write that. Im a huge cold weather fan, but even myself living in Scotland cant see anything other than a normal brief blast of cold.
  25. dragan
    Looks very much like a zonal pattern setting up after the weekend. I was heavily sceptical about any cold lasting longer than a few days. Also looks like the milder weather will last a while.
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