knocker

You could be correct.

No 'permanent El Nino,' scientists say—and the tropics may get even hotter

Wrong thread.

For southeast Colorado, a new dust bowl is blowing in

Why public confidence in science is eroded? Or not. http://ingeniouspursuits.blogspot.co.uk/2014/04/why-public-confidence-in-science-is.html

The Tolgate saga

A clearance here with the passage of the front between 1100-1200. Now a couple of eights of ragged Cu. Temp 10C and wind NW 15 mph.

You will have to excuse my ignorance but I didn't know this. Could you be more specific regarding what this means and if it's so obvious why they haven't addressed the problem?

Of course it's pointless placing any confidence whatsoever in the Easter weekend prognostications but I'm just following the ECM as a matter of interest to see what position we are in by the end of the week. It hasn't differed enormously from the last run but enough to significantly change the outlook for the UK. Move the cold pool slightly west and warm air to the east and hey presto a different ball game. Just exemplifies why it's madness to place any reliance on it at the moment. In the meantime the melancholia induced by the weather of the last three days should lift after tomorrow and the rest of the week being not to bad in the south anyway

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2659

Overcast with mist. 8/8 Stratus and slight rain. Temp 11C Wind south west 20 mph gusting 33. Pressure 1006 falling

Overcast with mist. 8/8 Stratus and slight rain. Temp 11C Wind south west 20 mph gusting 33. Pressure 1006 falling

Majestic shots of Greenland's icebergs http://www.slate.com/blogs/behold/2014/04/04/simon_harsent_photographs_icebergs_in_greenland_and_newfoundland_in_his.html

It's certainly changed it's handling of the colder incursion from the north.

DECADAL CLIMATE PREDICTION An Update from the Trenches http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

Researchers find arid areas absorb unexpected amounts of atmospheric carbon http://www.sciencecodex.com/researchers_find_arid_areas_absorb_unexpected_amounts_of_atmospheric_carbon-131217

Not unprecedented down here as we had three inches of snow in Camborne at Easter in 1872 when the Easter weekend was 16-17 of April.

Quite grotty day here. Currently Fog, Stratus 200ft and drizzle. Temp 11C Wind south westerly 20 mph gusting 30

Quite grotty day here. Currently Fog, Stratus 200ft and drizzle. Temp 11C Wind south westerly 20 mph gusting 30

I'm only posting this as I have shares in a defibrillator company.

http://climateandgeohazards.wordpress.com/2014/04/05/guest-blog-man-made-vs-volcanic-air-pollution/

Well it's all pie in the sky at the moment and hopefully there will be no cold snap and everyone can enjoy a pleasant Easter. At the moment ECM is not looking drastic with the cold broadly spread to the north and and the warmer air to the south giving a west-east flow but this is so delcately poised that reading anything into it at this stage is futile although interesting to see if there is any hardening of conformity by the end of the week.

Overcast with fog. 8'8 Stratus 200ft. Temp 10C Wind southerly 17 gusting 30 mph Pressure 1000mb falling

Overcast with fog. 8'8 Stratus 200ft. Temp 10C Wind southerly 17 gusting 30 mph Pressure 1000mb falling

The ECM ENS Control 500 hPa geopotential five day mean for Easter week at 12z is similar to the 00z which is no big surprise. The GFS is edging that way looking at a few days but still some significant differences. So need to keep the powder dry for the moment with low confidence.