knocker

Probably just repeating what others have said for next weekend. The GFS and ECM anomaly charts don't agree with the GFS giving more intense troughing to the west but either way. The ECM has a general swathe of cold air Greenland/UK/Scandinavia with a large pool of warm air east of Canada nudging into southern Greenland and stretching east into mid Atlantic. The surface analysis from this follows the scenario it was running on the last run. The Bermuda-Azores high pushing up in mid Atlantic with the colder air running around the top giving cyclonic conditions to the north west, and over, the UK. With the sub tropical air in this position the jet is also positioned to the north and running over the UK.

Anthony Watts and the Bottom of the Barrel http://tamino.wordpress.com/2014/06/25/anthony-watts-and-the-bottom-of-the-barrel/

Yes that's why I put slight rain but moderate at times. Actually just had a spell of moderate bordering on heavy.

Cloudy with Ns, Sc and St. Does look like some convective embedded but difficult to tell. Slight rain but moderate at times. Temp 15C Wind SE 10mph. Pressure 1012mb falling

Cloudy with Ns, Sc and St. Does look like some convective embedded but difficult to tell. Slight rain but moderate at times. Temp 15C Wind SE 10mph. Pressure 1012mb falling

Updated numbers for CA, '13-14 neck-and-neck with '76-77 for 2nd driest rain year on record #cadrought pic.twitter.com/xf5SGzvzMH

Amazing pic from Norway of triple waterspouts yesterday [via reddit] | VIDEO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z1Z6UwfQ3xc … pic.twitter.com/FovE2k6aCw

Yes the ECM ens goes along with this with HP sticking much to mid Atlantic.

I would agree with that plus the time of year when MJO related impacts are the greatest in the northern hemisphere is during the months from November through March. For lesser mortals such as myself keeping track of the models is taxing enough without speculation into the MJO and other teleconnections I'm afraid. Apart from anything else it's difficult to pin down what effect, if any, they have on tropospheric circulation in the northern Atlantic in summer.

Study links Greenland ice sheet collapse, sea level rise 400,000 years ago http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/06/140625131947.htm

Not sure why you posted the same link again but you are quite correct. JM has used rather bad terminology And Year 2014 Greenland upper elevations ice reflectivity has been at record low values much of 2014 so far, and in recent years, consistent with the conclusions of Dumont et al. (2014). See the blue line; year 2014. http://darksnow.org/dark-snow-the-dust-factor-and-the-2014-melt-season-onset/

As of last week, the Indian monsoon is running about 45% below normal. http://www.tropmet.res.in/~kolli/MOL/

Not good. The Heat is on in Greenland: Support the Dark Snow Project http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2706

Fine day here with just some Ci. Max 19C

Saturday midday.

The ECM ens anomaly differs from the ops in that it makes far less of the mid Atlantic ridge so prominent in the ops. Not unexpected of course.

NASA’s Mars Curiosity rover will complete a Martian year -- 687 Earth days -- on June 24, having accomplished the mission's main goal of determining whether Mars once offered environmental conditions favorable for microbial life. http://www.nasa.gov/press/2014/june/nasa-s-mars-curiosity-rover-marks-first-martian-year-with-mission-successes/index.html#.U6p9MUCz1X7

Speaking in very general terms with a quick glance through the looking glass at the end of next week. The upper anomalies are all tending towards cyclonic unsettled conditions for the UK. The not unfamiliar picture of the Bermuda-Azores high pushing up mid Atlantic with the jet running around to the north.

Sunny with a fair bit of thin Ci. Quite warm. Temp 15C Wind ESE 15C Pressure 1017mb falling

Camborne 205 hours of sunshine this month. Boulmer 118.

I remember 1959 was a very dry summer but don't have any stats.

Western Australia?

Regarding the jet on Sunday in the gospel according to the GFS. The 250mb contour chart has low between Greenland and Canada giving a broad sweep of NW airstream across the Atlantic with a ridge between Iceland and Greenland poking into the Atlantic pushing it a tad further south. The high pressure is central Atlantic with the centre due west of Gibraltar. The tight gradient between these systems has the quite strong jet running NWN across the Atlantic, curving NW SW of the UK before turning NE around the upper low over the UK. It can be seen that later in the week this changed a fair bit with the HP pushing further north. Low pressure sneaking into the UK from the NW?

That's funny I could have swore my last post yesterday and first today did, but there you go, another senior moment. And others have touched on it as well.

I've noted that growth (of population) is slowing remarkably as direct result of increased prosperity and health. But the latter also increases the growth of the use of non-renewable resources. Or are you saying that has slowed as well because this is the key to the thread title?