knocker

Max of 21.6C here. Sunny all day with some thick patches of Ci PM.

The ECM ens anomaly building a stronger ridge mid Atlantic giving a more settled, quite cool, surface synopsis.

The ECM ops anomaly at the end of the month still knocking out the swathe of cold air stretching west to east across the Atlantic and it's surface analysis is consistent with this.

Regional weather extremes linked to atmospheric variations http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/06/140622142230.htm

Turning point: Al Gore’s new hope http://hot-topic.co.nz/turning-point-al-gores-new-hope/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+co%2FRbRF+%28Hot+Topic%29

The question is does the 06z anomaly and surface support this?

I'm afraid this confuses me a little. Although it's quite complicated will not the Polar jet be associated with the steep temperature gradient between the polar and tropical air and thus is dependent on the properties of these two air masses and to some extent is dictated by this? This being the case I'm not sure what you mean by interaction except that it's position and strength will depend on the subtropical surface high. Basically its a case of what is dictating the interaction? Plus it's quite common for it to be irregular in it's longitudinal location in summer.

In 2008 they created smoke in the chimneys of various engine house in the Camborne area to create the effect of the 'stacks' being alive again.. The photo is looking across the valley at Carnkie. This area used to be the Basset Mines and 100 years ago was a mining wasteland. Nature has now reclaimed it.

Yes where angels fear to tread................................

Funny enough.

The ECM ens going along with the upper trough and cyclonic scenario.

He was never at one PM. Mind anybody who reads Goddard.................. http://www.carbonbrief.org/profiles/christopher-booker/

yes this appears to be the case and the future build up of heights from the SW also seems a remote possibility. The ECM ops paints a bleaker picture than the GFS.

William perhaps being a little more circumspect wouldn't go amiss. I think J10s comment will encompass all of the models and his own experience. Good enough?

Bright morning with some Ci and Ac. temp 13C Wind easterly light Pressure 1020mb falling

The 00z GFS has Glastonbury mainly dry until Saturday. The upper anomaly has cold air Scandinavia down through southern UK and Europe. Another cold pool west of Greenland with a trough to west of Scotland and between a weak ridge. So Thursday has the AZ high west of the UK and a weak area of LP to the north west with a weak front Irish Sea. The METO fax has a vaguely similar set up except it has a low pressure area west of Ireland with the front N. Ireland to Cornwall Friday has the AZ ridge into Ireland and the UK in a col and dry with no wind. Saturday the ridge slipping south a tad with lowish pressure to the north and frontal systems lying Ireland/Scotland at 12z bring wet weather to most areas. Temps below average.

Why This Former Stormchaser Now Thinks Stalking Tornadoes Is Unethical http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2014/06/19/pilger_nebraska_tornado_photo_why_stormchasing_has_become_unethical.html

Animated Earth Graphics http://moyhu.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/animated-earth-graphics.html

Willard get's an award. http://ingeniouspursuits.blogspot.co.uk/2014/06/awards-night.html

Looking down the line the ECM and NOAA seem in broad agreement so could be a period of unsettled weather.

Just a smidgen of Ac, Sc. Temp 12C ENE light Pressure 1021mb falling