Polar Maritime
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Posts posted by Polar Maritime
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The GFS has been hinting an Easterly of sorts for some days now out in the run. ECMWF also has the same idea for a cool Easterly for the turn of the Month, UKMET is also showing the same general theme.
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Here you go Mapantz
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Me to TM, as you can probably guess
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Turned very cloudy here with spits and spots starting, the rain band is nearly upon us looking at the Radar.
Edit- it's arrived as i speak.
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Also..
SOLAR 'SUPERSTORM' NARROWLY MISSES EARTH: The heliophysics communitty is buzzing today in response to an article in Nature Communications, which describes an intense solar storm that narrowly missed Earth almost two years ago. On July 23, 2012, a CME rocketed away from the sun at 2000 km/s, almost four times faster than a typical eruption. The storm tore through Earth orbit, but fortunately Earth wasn't there. Instead it hit the STEREO-A spacecraft, which experienced the most intense solar proton storm since 1976. Researchers have been analyzing the data ever since, and they have concluded that the storm was akin to the Carrington Event of 1859. "Had it hit Earth, it probably would have been like the big one in 1859," says Janet Luhmann of UC Berkeley, a co-author of the paper. "The effect today [on] our modern technologies would have been tremendous." http://www.spaceweather.com/
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A shock to the system from tomorrow morning as the cold air pushes S/E this evening bringing much colder temps for all. There are still the continued chances of snow/sleet/hail especially for the North, but even parts of Wales could see wintry weather including the spine of the UK over the weekend.
The GFS continues to paint an unsettled and cool period of weather for all of Britain into April, With only the very far South sometimes becoming a little warmer due to High Pressure trying to push in, but the colder air seems to win out as in recent runs. FI looks very unsettled indeed and has done for a good few days now.
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Yes Frosty, even the experts are calling it a wintry spell, why folk have to keep playing it down is beyond me... it is what it is a short Wintry spell. And the charts also paint a period of cool and unsettled weather well into the start of April.
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Thanks for pointing that out Triple
Yes all standard stuff for March, for which was always expected... But at least it's something different than what we have had over the last 3 Months eh ! -
A pleasant afternoon here with long sunny spells and a light breeze, back to rain tomorrow late afternoon as a cold front pushes S/E and turning much cooler than of late.
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Yes Anyweather, also parts across the spine of the UK could see more Snow than they have had all winter.. With even a pinch from the East on the 24th
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Can we please stop the personal jibes please ! Very rude and out of order.
Frosty is a respected member that adds a flare to the thread, lets leave it at that and move back to Model Output.
Take note of GLTW.
"Play nicely guys n gals and let's stick to model output discussion from here on in and not any personal related discussion. If you have to name names (yes we've all done it, myself included) perhaps one should consider keeping it private between yourselves, PM being appropriate tool for such tasks."
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No real change for the cold shot this weekend, the slight fluctuation of fine details regarding 850s is to be expected at this range as usual..
The last few frames from the GFS look very disturbed. We could be heading for a prolonged spell of cool/cold and unsettled weather, with at least the 0c 850's over the UK throughout much of the run.
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Yes Pic, I have left it be and let nature look after it. With rain forecast over next week it could survive, after a walk down yesterday evening its still holding on in there, but patches at the top of the spawn mounds is starting to dry up.
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OK people can anybody explain what black pressure means for the risks to uk. Although 2nd april long way off this predicted above scotland
Could be Blizzards for the North.
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Winter finally arrives this weekend, its been a long wait
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Great forecast by John H, he's always been a cold lover at heart.
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Very heavy shower with hail blowing through just now.
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Heavy showers are now pushing through here, the wind should also pick up a little this evening.
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A settled day here with sunny spells and light winds, this weekend looks interesting as a cold N/E wind will drag much colder air South over the Midlands bringing frosts and the chance of hail/sleet and even Snow for some.
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No real change this morning, the GFS has a slacker Northerly shot but still cold enough to give snow over the Midlands North even to low levels. With -4/-8 850 uppers covering most of the UK.
While the ECMWF is pushing the colder uppers further South today, with -8 850 uppers covering all of Northern UK.
Im sure the the cold uppers will wobble a little more over the coming few days which is to be expected.. but a cold shot with Wintry potential is still on the cards for the weekend.
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Here are two photos from early last week of the Grey Corries showing a few slides due to high rise in temperatures and heavy rainfall.
The first photo shows you the length of the slide at least 500 meters in length the second is a close up looking at the depth of the crown wall and the depth of the side walls.
The photos were taken five days after the slides due to poor visibility.
http://backcorries.wordpress.com/2014/03/17/full-depth-avalanches/
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This helped me understand, hope it helps others to.
http://www.nature.com/news/all-you-need-to-know-about-gravitational-waves-1.14886
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Yes all standard stuff for March, for which was always expected... But at least it's something different than what we have had over the last 3 Months eh !
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 11/03/14
in Regional
Posted
Yes a ground frost here to last night, lovely clear blue sky's this morning.