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Posts posted by Polar Maritime
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I was talking to him about recent climatic trends. I led the discussion but he whole heartedly agreed with everything I was saying. I've read that historically (evidenced within natural sources such as tree rings etc), periods of sudden climatic change were preceded by wild swings between extremes. Is that not what we're seeing across the world at the minute? Added to that the strange behaviour of the sun and we could perhaps be a little bit curious as to just what awaits us in the not too distant future?
It's the same conversation I had with a senior geography lecturer who was also convinced that we would be headed into the freezer very soon.
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Yes another wild night Gusting 68mph, Heavy sleet now and continuing wild.. Temp 3c, S/W 19mph , Rain 11.4mm
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STORM WARNING: NOAA forecasters estimate a 75% chance of polar geomagnetic storms on Feb. 15th in response to three incoming CMEs. The first two, which left the sun on Feb. 11th, have probably merged in transit to form a single "cannibal CME" more potent than either of its constituents.
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Hi all, supposed to be taking my kids to alton towers tomorrow - each weather website I've checked has a different forecast. No idea what to do - any input?
My advice would be to go on Sunday.
Sat..
Sun..
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I agree to the point of when you include Man Made factors, as you say "be a little bit curious as to just what awaits us in the not too distant future". And as we have seen from past solar cycle's this is not strange behaviour we are seeing from our Sun, it just takes a little longer to come round with-in it's pattern compared to it's normal cycle, but the correlation between the Earth and the Sun effecting our atmosphere is certainly something Science is starting to take more seriously granted.
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Winds gusting 38mph just with very heavy showers this afternoon of rain/sleet/hail and the odd burst of snow.
8.9mm of rain so far today, im glad i live on a hill !
Temp 6.4c
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Looking at the ens for London you posted Purga they havent got a clue past the 21st, So to say the "reality" will be average Zonal is a little wishfull..
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Heavy sleet here started.
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Go Phil Go
Why not just post it with the rest of the doom and gloom in the other thread?
I have no interest in it, but they seem to get a kick from a constant stream of carping negativity and doom.
Thanks for the detailed reply..
Reading between the simple lines, I can only take it as you have no interest in "Real Science" what-so-ever...
Calling it Doom/Gloom/Negativity/ Or a "Kick" is very simplistic, but maybe that is the only way you can cope with this subject, Good luck with that stance.
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I was talking to my dad about this the other day. I think we may be on the brink of a major climatic shift. The warning signs are there and have been there for the past few years. I'm talking about the huge swings in weather across the globe- from one side of the pendulum to the other. Traditionally a tell tale sign that something is about to happen. Dad believes we'll be shivering within 10 -15 years.
Your Dad must be extremely old to be able to pick up a "traditional tell tale sign that we are due a major climatic shift"... ?
Anyhow back to Solar activity, Activity is continuing high levels.
AURORAS FOR VALENTINE'S DAY? Three CMEs are heading for Earth. Individually they are minor clouds. However, by striking Earths magnetic field in quick succession on Feb 14-15, they could cause significant geomagnetic activity around the poles.
CHANCE OF FLARES: Growing sunspot AR1974 is crackling with M-class solar flares and poses a threat for even stronger X-class eruptions.
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It's been a nice dry day for once, with long sunny spells during the afternoon and winds gusting 37mph. Mostly clear now, with just patchy cloud.
Temp 3.1c
Dp 0.4c
Wind Chill 1.3c
Back to square 1 tomorrow.. Then hopefully something a little dryer settled and cooler by the end of next week ?
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I thought you were asked before stick the propaganda videos in the other thread, where no-one will see them?
Hi 4, just so I (and im sure many others) can understand you more.. Of which part of the video are you calling "propaganda" And why ?
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A dusting of snow here this morning, much calmer after last nights winds touching 80mph..
Temp 0.4c
Dp -0.6c
Wind Chill -4.1c
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Just touched 80mph here a heard a few branches crack ,, I think we will beet 83 T.M ?
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Starting to gust over 70mph here now.
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Yes Dancer, it's certainly roaring here gusting 73mph already with heavy sleet, the worst will be around 9pm here..
Temp 4.6c
Dp 0.8c
Wind Chill -1.3c
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Gusts getting stronger now.
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Nowt fell here overnight, only myself running to the toilet...
Still 45 % snow cover here.
Temp 1c
Dp 0.2c
Wind Chill -2.4c, South 12mph
Gales later and heavy rain, latest warning from METO;
Dates Warning Chief Forecaster's assessment Weather Impact Matrix
Issued at:
0423 on Wed 12 Feb 2014Valid from:
1000 on Wed 12 Feb 2014Valid to:
2350 on Wed 12 Feb 2014A vigorous area of low pressure is expected to move northeastwards across northern parts of the UK later on Wednesday, clearing eastwards early on Thursday. This is likely to be accompanied by a swathe of southwesterly gales across many areas which may be severe in places. Winds will veer more westerly later on Wednesday.
A first peak in the winds is likely over southern and southwest England around the middle of Wednesday but with the main swathe of even stronger and potentially damaging winds crossing parts of Wales then northern England later in the day.
The public should be prepared for the the risk of disruption to transport and possibly also power supplies. In addition, large waves are likely to affect some coasts.
This warning should be viewed in the broader context of the Yellow Wind warning.
The warning has been updated to slightly broaden the amber area, now including more of southern England, South Wales, and also into more of northwest England. Gust speeds have also been increased a little. Initially, southern and southwestern counties of England are likely to see southerly gales with gusts of 60-70 mph, perhaps 80 mph on the south coast for a brief period. Then parts of western England, Wales and northern England will bear the brunt as the wind veers west to southwesterly this afternoon with gusts of 60-70 mph widely, and gusts of 80-90 mph along some coasts of north and west Wales and perhaps northwest England. Gusts may reach 100 mph across the most exposed parts of NW Wales. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=map&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1392163200®ionName=emAnd then who knows
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Nice to see ECMWF showing signs of a change,
Come on GFS you can do it ! It's trying at least...
GEM
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A fresh covering of snow here, with mod snow falling.
Temp 0c
Dp -1.7c
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Bricklayers, farmers, roofers, landscapers -Tree surgeons & tool hire (pumps) -Driving through wingham, Preston, wickambreux, plucks gutter (Canterbury, Sturry areas) last few days. Plenty of flooded roads, sandbags at doorsteps, hoses pumping water out of cellars. Uprooted trees and I'm sure come Sunday there will be much more devastation up and down the country. I have lost a fair few days work this year, but I still get excited about a storm system approaching.
But plenty of work to come maybe ?
Manmade Climate Change Discussion
in Climate Change
Posted