[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

A lovely morning here, went a walk along the High Peak Trail up the road early'er to watch the sun rise.. Clear sky's and light winds with an overnight low of -1.3c.

 

Temp currently 1.8c

Dp 0.6c

Wind Chill 0.2c

North 6mph

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

Solar Activity remains very low for what is meant to be the peak of this Solar max...

 

(ALMOST NO) CHANCE OF FLARES: Two sunspots facing Earth (AR1934 and AR1936) have 'beta-gamma' magnetic fields that harbor energy for strong flares. Both sunspots have been quiet for days, however, and they show no signs of an imminent eruption. http://www.spaceweather.com/

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

Me to Karl   December seems to have dragged on forever this year with storm after storm, nice to see a change on offering by the experts and now showing in the models for the New Year.  We need to remember we are only 3.5 weeks into winter !

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

GFS continues the trend this morning with the Jet sinking South and High Pressure pushing North. The PV is looking much more seasonal.

 

 

GFS and ECMWF aren't a country mile apart by the 5th, So more stormy weather to come next week before a change to much colder weather if this trend continues.

 

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

ECMWF showing much more seasonal temps into January with the Jet digging South , although a different evolution to the GFS.. Best runs so far this Winter and nice to get some Mild Stormy weather out the way this December.. 

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25517466?utm_content=buffer22b1c&utm_source=buffer&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Buffer

The Met Office is to begin offering daily forecasts about the weather in space.

The 24 hour service will aim to help businesses and government departments by providing early warnings of solar storms that can disrupt satellites, radio communications and power grids.

The first forecast is expected to be available next spring.

The Department for Business will support the scheme with £4.6m of funding over the next three years.

The Met Office will aim to develop better ways of predicting space weather in collaboration with the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

UK partners involved in the project include the British Geological Survey, Bath University and RAL Space.

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

Get ready....it's coming.

 

GP Once said that...

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

 but finally a 'trend' towards something 'colder' does appear to be slowly emerging. 

 

 

 

Steady on Shed...

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

Not a bad run again from the 12z as it's the trends we are looking for.. Jet still sinking south a little and pulling Low Pressure with it bringing much cooler wintry weather to the UK, in line with METO update for temps something more seasonal, even below average during Jan. 

 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Some wintry mix in the showers blowing through, 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Winds starting to strengthen here now.

[Severe Atlantic Storms over the Christmas & New Year period]

Winds starting to pick up a little again here as forecast, gusting 57mph, 

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Heard a 'whip crack sound' just...

 

This is a weather Forum TX1...

 

Big gust just now 72mph, sounds wild out there,

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Some nice gust's 65mph now here

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Wind really picking up here, gusting 57mph with driving rain.

[Severe Atlantic Storms over the Christmas & New Year period]

Starting to pick up here a little, gusting around 45mph

[Service unavialable]

AAAAAARRRRRRR !

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

Thanks for the advice BFTV 

[Severe Atlantic Storms over the Christmas & New Year period]

Hi Surrey, it's the 10m here. Click on http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/vent-rafales/3h.htm

[Solar and Aurora Activity Chat]

http://vimeo.com/82688460

 

BREAKING NEWS: NASA SURPRISED BY PARTIAL SOLAR ECLIPSE -- 25 DEC 2013

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yF3naveUaBU

 

I must say that I find it very odd that when I post a video the screen shot is never displayed any more ? 

 

Maybe the mods can shed some light on this matter....

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

My min -0.5C and an icy start, would rather have the sprinkling mind you

 

Yes lower down in the valleys it dropped a little cooler overnight. 

[Snow Patches On Scottish Mountains]

There's a massive snow patch this morning on the Scottish Mountains.

[Christmas Day 2013 Weather]

Merry Christmas all, an overnight low of 0.5c, and a very very light sprinkle of snow.

[The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/12/2013----->]

Merry Christmas all. A very very light sprinkling of snow here this morning with an overnight low of 0.6c 

Temp 1.1c

Dp 0.3c

Wind Chill -3.1c

[Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.]

Merry Christmas all, the last few frames of the ECMWF look interesting this morning let's hope this trend continues !