Polar Maritime

Is that not cold enough for you..!

Nobody will no the exact track until Sun, plenty of chopping and changing over the next 48hrs.

I should be ok living on top of a hill regarding flooding, it's the wind im concerned/exited about.

It's looks like Darlington will escape it anyway, so you have no need to worry. Here the ground is sodden..

Yes Gav, water will always find the lowest point... The rivers round here are already bursting there banks and the storm's not even arrived yet !

Yes it's looking like both X Flares were from region 1882 ! And more to come with many active regions facing earth. The second peak of Solar Cycle 24 is now well and truly upon us... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hb2qrufVcAI http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QxN7-DRlgkc

A cloudy night with rain spreading in during the early hours, an overnight low of 9.6c. Currently; Another very dark morning with Heavy/moderate rain. Temp 10.5c Wind W/S/W 11mph Gusting 21mph at 3.58am Rain since midnight 5.8mm

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JcJuF1r_hDY

It's going to be an interesting weekend model watching that's for sure !

A dry cloudy night with some clear intervals, a low of 5.7c. Currently; Patchy cloud with light winds. Temp 6.1c Wind W/S/W 4mph Gusting 18mph at 2.47am Rain since midnight 0.0mm

Almost an X-flare! AR11877 (south of AR11875) has released multiple M flares including an M9.3 flare, which is Earth facing.. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=St6KOPgxPqA SOLAR FLARE! Earth-facing sunspot AR1877 erupted on Oct. 24th at 00:30 UT (Oct. 23rd at 5:30 pm PDT), producing an M9-class solar flare. A flash of extreme UV radiation from the flare ionized Earth's upper atmosphere and created a brief HF radio blackout on the sunlit side of the planet. Stay tuned for updates about this significant event.http://www.spaceweather.com/

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XAZKeOttVN0

Another mild and cloudy night with moderate/light showers, An overnight low of 11c. Currently; A dark morning once again, with low cloud and showers. Temp 11c Wind South 9mph Gusting 23mph at 6.14am Rain since midnight 5.1mm

The official sunspot number count for October 22nd is 228. This is now a new record for Solar Cycle 24. The previous best was 208 on November 9, 2011. Although we have seen periods of much higher solar activity during this cycle, sprawling sunspot 1875 is helping the numbers out. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1OPFwkHY8o

Don't get carried away with your feelings Blizz, Anything could happen at any point during Winter, Just look at 63..

It's hard enough knowing what Winters going to do by December, never mind mid Autumn !

Scientists who braved Somali pirates shed light on Sahara's origins Climate research vessel that escaped pirates in the Horn of Africa in 2001 may have just turned the tables on the accepted scientific view of how the Sahara became a desert ; http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/oct/18/scientists-somali-pirates-sahara-origins What the scientists found was that, far from shifting gradually from wet to dry, the climate in the Horn of Africa changed in perhaps as little as 100 to 200 years, incredibly quickly in geological terms. The reason north Africa warmed up, they believe, was a cyclic change in Earth’s orientation toward the sun (called precession) which caused more sunlight to fall during the Northern Hemisphere's summer. But the precession cycle is slow, taking 23,000 years to complete. So why was the changeover in the Horn of Africa so quick? “It shows something really surprising,†says deMenocal. “It’s evidence that climate doesn’t respond gradually to gradual forcing. It would be wonderful in global warming if everything just kept pace with the gradual rise in CO2, then we could plan for this, we would know what is going to happen, there would be some predictability in it." But what researchers like Tierney and deMenocal are increasingly finding is that climate doesn’t change in a linear fashion, but suddenly and seemingly unpredictably. That’s because there are positive feedback mechanisms that start to kick in and speed things up. For example, when the Arctic sea ice melts, as it has increasingly in recent years, the area of dark blue heat-absorbing ocean increases, raising temperatures, melting more ice, which in turn raises temperatures still further in an snowballing process. Tierney and deMenocal suspect that there were similar positive feedback mechanisms at play in the rapid desertification of the Horn of Africa 5,000 years ago. It could involve what is called the Charney mechanism, which posits that as vegetation begins to thin in an area, it changes the reflectivity of the Earth which heats thing up, dries out more vegetation and leads to the rather abrupt formation of deserts. However, the carbon isotope data collected by the team do not suggest that this was the case. Rather, the authors hypothesize that there was a feedback mechanism involving Indian Ocean sea-surface temperatures, which greatly influence how much rain falls over east Africa. Whether that is in fact what happened remains to be proven. It’s just one of the mysteries that need to be investigated further, deMenocal told me. The authors are itching to get back to the Gulf of Aden to drill even deeper core samples that would provide critical information on climate conditions during the period millions of years ago when humans first evolved from our hominid predecessors. This could throw light on the early stages of human evolution, which happened just next door in the East African Rift and the Horn of Africa.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mLnRZH0M-CM Before.. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bPsPbVdesU

Lot's of floods this morning, had to turn round at one point on the way to Bakewell.. The trees have also been stripped a little more with the rain. A cloudy day with outbreaks of rain some of which were heavy, a high of 14.8c. Currently; Cloudy with the odd light shower. Temp 13.6c Wind South 13mph Gusting 41mph at 1.58pm Rain since midnight 13.2mm

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjmg8pqE3GE CHANCE OF FLARES: Fast-growing sunspot AR1875 has developed a 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy strong explosions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 30% chance of M-class solar flares and a 5% chance ofX-flares on Oct. 22nd. http://www.spaceweather.com/ Sunspot number; 179..

A mild night with showers dying off for a time, before more rain arrived in the early hours. An overnight low of 12.7c. Currently; A very dark Cloudy morning, with moderate rain. Temp 12.9c Wind South 9mph Rain Since midnight 5.2mm Rain in last 24hr 36.6mm

Same conditions as TM, but with 27.9mm of rain and lighter winds gusting 27mph. Currently; Overcast with light showers - Temp 14c.

Yes TM, 27.9mm here wonderful !

Chucked it down so far during the daylight hours, 26.7mm up to now. A high of 14.3c,

A damp night with slight Fog forming, with an overnight low of 9.1c. Currently; damp and overcast, with light Fog. Temp 10.8c Wind South 6mph Rain since midnight 0.2mm