[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

8 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Anyway to my untrained eye, GEM and Ukmo still good in the short although both look flatter later next week and probably won’t engage the plume of really hot air to the south. Gfs is better than the 18Z last but it’s still nothing like the previous half dozen runs. Still the ensemble mean has made a marked recovery the mess that was the 18Z 

Feels like we’re in that period where the pattern gets sorted out. Just like in June when initially the Friday to Monday looked especially hot, ended up being just the Friday with doubt over the Saturday up until 24hrs out. Wouldn’t be surprised to end up in a similar situation next weekend. Very brief plume, one very hot day maybe 35C before a rapid, messy not thundery breakdown. 

Let’s hope so 

[Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives]

Come on downgrades, no one needs mid 30’s In the UK. 

[Spring and Summer weather moans]

Was at my sons football tournament in Petersfield yesterday , it went on till 8pm and everybody who thought it was going to be lovely and warm were a tad surprised by the actual temperature of 14 degrees feels like 12, between matches kids and parents keeping warm in cars. 

[Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards]

Constant lightning over Basingstoke

[Spring 2022 Chat]

This was  April 7th last year, it is snow not frost. A little village just outside Basingstoke, it was minus 2 and bloody freezing

[Model Output Discussion - Early Summer and Beyond]

7 minutes ago, stodge said:

Evening all

I'm going to disagree with a few of the more recent posters - there's been a significant shift toward the colder outcomes on tonight's 12Z suite compared to last evening's.

GEM is a thing of beauty if you want spring cold at T+168:

JMA is decent and ECM just about gets there. UKM is much slower and may not get there - the profile of the LP to the south is very different from GEM for example. GFS OP has a brief cold interlude but rapidly becomes very unsettled and wet with the jet tracking just to the south of the British Isles.

The main message is this benign spell of fine and warm weather isn't going to last and the next phase of spring is going to be more "interesting" in weather terms.

Interesting? As in cold and wet? I’ll stick with the benign

[Summer Of 1976. 30th Anniversary]

22 hours ago, Ed Stone said:

A game immortalised by Jasper Carrot:

 

Brilliant, never seen that. Cheers

[Summer Of 1976. 30th Anniversary]

I was a year old and little did I know it would be the only major cup my team would win in my 46 years on this planet, what a beautiful year.

[Model Output Discussion - Early Summer and Beyond]

50 minutes ago, LRD said:

Hmmm, I can't recall too many cold Aprils these last few years apart from April 2021. Most of April 2020 was like early summer!

Last April was grim, frost every morning, snow a few times. Probably the worst spring I’ve experienced, this year feels a lot different.

[South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion]

Another day of light to steady rain, worst direction for rain to come from the South it just keeps coming from channel.

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into February]

11 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Looking at the charts tonight, any easterly looks more of the nagging variety than profoundly wintry. Who wants that in March?

No one, give me warmth and a bit of sun. 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, Rich_T said:

All calm here, slightly overcast with nothing but a slight breeze.

The biggest risk looking out is that it might rain.

Everyone is still on the storm, what storm? carry on as normal, all overhyped again mentality

Yes of course. So many dim people on this site

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

5 minutes ago, Kiwi said:

Bit blowy and wet here just outside Basingstoke but not expecting the strong winds until late morning/midday ish.

I was in Edinburgh a couple of months ago and took a quick day trip up to Glenshee- only a couple of hours and very scenic.

Plenty of snow up there!

Ski Centre Webcam at Glenshee Scotland

WWW.SKI-GLENSHEE.CO.UK

---

Live Webcam images from Scotlands biggest Ski Centre taken during daylight hours

 

Just suggested this to wife she said p!ss off

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, Selliso said:

Day out indeed - looking at the traffic, it could take a day to get there!

Stick a shovel in the boot and we’re good to go 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

7 minutes ago, Surrey said:

Hows it in Basingstoke? Not overly far from you and it is very very gusty here now... I think one gust that just went though was easily a top end 40s I fear the Thames Valley is going to act as one big wind tunnel! 

I’m in Edinburgh for the weekend, woke up at 6am hoping to see a blizzard but just slushy mess and it’s now raining. Snow further north. Trying to convince the wife Perth is lovely for a day out.

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Everyone saying it’s not windy, its not peaked yet, give it a chance

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

2 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Seems the BBC have sent their reporters to Cumbria, first time I've seen them actually take the weather and report on a storm for more than 5 minutes. Seems to be one of the main headlines right now, a small win for the weather community, a big shame that it took a massive red warned storm that could kill lives for it to happen.

Awful reporting, making out there’s going to be days of snow in Cumbria when the reality is it might snow on the hill for the next hour or so and that’s it

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Odds are the train is still going to get hit by the 70-85mph region of wind on its way up through jone counties.

Given Scottish rail have now cancelled all services due to Dudley, I fully expect most if not all trains in the Amber zones to be cancelled, especially long distance ones.

Cheers

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

2 minutes ago, saint said:

LNER, who run trains out of Kings Cross, have already advised customers not to travel due to expected disruption on Friday. Trains often suffer during high wind events due to trees next to the lines and damage to the electric equipment. 

Cheers for that, looks like we’ll be driving up.

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

1 minute ago, Wiltshire_snow_lover said:

Trains will most likely be canceld friday as debris on track 

Train leaving London 10.30am Friday, though I might just be ahead of the worst winds.

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Is it common for trains to be cancelled due to the wind? Last thinkg I want is to get to London on train and then be told the train to Edinburgh is cancelled, might just drive up. 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Getting a train with the kids up to Edinburgh on Friday, hoping to travel through a few blizzards. 

[Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread]

9 minutes ago, Alderc said:

-6C this morning, hard to see it getting any colder than this for the rest of the winter down here without a much colder airmass. Still this is a great spell of weather even for someone like me that dislikes the cold. I can handle a few frosty mornings if we are compensated with sunny day. Little change for the rest of the month looking at the models. Could be the most unremarkable January on record. 

-6 in Bournemouth? That’s exceptional 

[Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread]

Keep the snowy picks coming, I like to pretend they’re mine. Minus 3 in Basingstoke this morning so another frost, 4th this week. Exciting 

[Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into mid-January]

2 hours ago, Ali1977 said:

The likes of Romania, Bulgaria, Turkey, Northern Greece are having a brutal cold spell, and the whole GFS run keeps them in -8/12c uppers

They really aren’t, Bucharest is above freezing for the next 10 days