offerman

Looking forward to the next set of charts coming out this afternoon. this from net weather set a potential is definitely there judging by this paragraph. ” Into the middle to the latter part of next week, some significant snowfalls are possible in the southern half of Britain as frontal systems push in from the south-west and collide with the cold Arctic air mass. Rain is most likely in southern coastal counties of England, but on the northern flank of these systems, precipitation is likely to fall predominantly as snow. Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England are expected to remain cold and sunny, with some snow showers for northern Scotland and some scattered snow showers breaking out elsewhere during the daytime.

Thank you so much for your kind words. I am sending you ,your mum ,and family all the love , positivity possible that she is ok.

Thank you Bricriu, no you don't sound flippant at all and yes it does help bring light relief in a strange way all things considering going on.

Hi Matt just to quickly say I hope you’re okay since the last time we cross paths as you were going through a tough time before Christmas as was I. I can’t believe such a bad set of circumstances. as you know I lost mum end of November and a friend at the same time. I then had a close friend commit suicide during the Christmas break. just recently my sister diagnosed with most probable terminal cancer. and another friend who I’ve been helping out for years with his laptop has terminal cancer in the lymph. doesn’t feel like I’ve been living in a real world if I’m honest. but I hope you’re okay and things improved for you as I know you had a tough time.

Just to also add onto this what Matt said I found an astonishing set of circumstances during the first two weeks of December in our favour in my location. my son said to me daddy I hope the snow doesn’t melt too quickly and I said with a little bit of luck in a dream scenario we will get clear skies at night to freeze up the snow had fallen and then we will get cloudy skies in the day to help it stick around and not melt under sunny skies. and lo and behold that’s pretty much what happened for two weeks had about an inch of snow or just over and it stuck around for two weeks. so even in March this could definitely happen if we can get some cloudy days will help preserve snow on the ground and as Matt alluded to clear skies at night with refreeze it. if we can get some really cold temperatures in first before the snow the ground can harden up as it did in December and it takes longer for the ground to warm up so effectively a freezer be low any snow thst falls too that’s preventing a subsurface melting process. It’s dangerous relying on a little bit of luck there’s not too much direct sun as it is higher this time of year.

Much stronger sun this time of year, longer daylight hours. Also, most if not all weather apps are notoriously terrible at forecasting temperatures. for example, The BBC in particular my show 6 or 7 for a daytime temperature only for it to be actually three or four deg c. The same can be said in summer you can always add on two or 3° quite often for BBC temperatures they say 21 when it actually gets to 24 I found most apps absolutely terrible when it comes to temperature forecasting.

Yes, can you send the link to that please.

Great post. i’d also like to add it depends as well on how strong the Iberian high will be to allow of the potential cold weather to flow down and squeeze the high. if however the Iberian high is too strong it could squeeze up and you could have the old fashioned battleground somewhere over the UK between a cold from the north and the milder air from the south.

Honest accurate post . So whilst i love the snow and wish we had some more it’ll be nice to have some sunshine although feeling chilly in any wind. Maybe a few flurries in the wind could pop up if is cold enough.

On the GFS charts i notice very deep cold potential appears but s the days have progressed only the ocassional cold frame or two makes it to D7 from F1. As we move in to D 5 i noticed that dissappeared and the deep cold potential keeps getting pushed back in to the final frames of FI. why does GFS do this on multiple occasions only to water it down and keep sharing in FI. Thanks

Just a shame that the sun is getting much stronger come start of March. If only this was December or January. Saying that though i do remember times in March when it was soo cold there air was thick soup like and with deep cold seems to create a cold haze deflecting some of the strong sun. if it can remain cloudy then even better then clear overnight as happened in December for two weeks where i live. Cloudy days clear cold nights with sub zero ground preserving the snow for two weeks.

You could all be right Andy. Let’s hope for a nice colder period with some snow to finish off the season. Would love to get out there again with my son sledging.

Thank you blessed. Yes that’s true and the last effect and agree to be fair to Nick too.

Nothing cold in the forecast charts if gfs is anything to go by even if the headline alludes to colder weather potential.

Great post. I was talking the other evening in a post of mine about how high pressures are extremely strong and slow moving through southern Europe Iberia and The Azores high. Any high pressures that come down from Northeast Canada below Greenland are a lot more mobile and Zip across when we would prefer those to be more stagnant to allow colder streams of air from the north or north east. no can you believe just for posting that that I got my post removed even though I was talking about pressure charts . let’s see if they remove mine again and keep all the other ones on here that are talking about high pressures!

Afoot of snow hopefully ….

Spot on Kasmin. Let’s hope it can ridge north as these days this type of setup often struggles to ridge north soo let’s hope this time will be different.

Thanks DW

Looks like us here in N/E somerset we’ll just miss out on this lot. good luck to those of you that are in the main batch looks like you will get quite a covering.

Channel islands must be taking absolute paste of snow right now. Just imagine if that system was over southern England like 2018 would probably get another 31 cm of snow out of that

Didn't you know English interior when cold is concerned -twinned with Atacama ! When Mild twinned with Bangladesh !

If only that mid-Atlantic hi on your chart could extend further north and link up with the Greenland high. And then migrate north east. That would allow that deep pool of cold air to properly flood down and be sustained as welL. at the moment that high-pressure in the Atlantic looks to be quite mobile compare to lower latitude high pressures which are much more stagnant the Azores high the euro slug example. when we get a high mid Atlantic it’s quite difficult to get a stagnant one but if this could do that and link up migrate north east that would be fantastic for everybody for fans of cold and snow.

Whilst I agree with you about how precious can float over us one thing that has changed I find over the last 10 to 15 years is that even the high-pressure systems seem much more mobile and less static. they seem to drift over but keep on going rather than sit on order us in the winter time. obviously in summer this is a different situation where they can’t set on us thank goodness to give us nice prolonged warm periods of weather. I have also noticed that quite often high pressures that look like give him potential from a Scandinavian perspective of that slip down into the eastern bed drawing up warmer winds as opposed to setting more in a horizontal position or tilted position to give us colder conditions. Scandinavian or Siberian high pressures do seem much less common to deliver cold to our neck of the woods. contrary to my statement about how precious drifting over or to the north or north east of us being mobile high pressures on the country the high pressures such as Hadley cell Iberian high and euro slug are much more stagnant and extremely persistent and hard to shift despite the telekinetic‘s on the other side of the planet which are often discussed as being the key drivers to Allweather which I often disagree about this due to our more localised European high-pressure phenomena more so in recent years. as I mentioned before after looking at a run then slide the bar right across all of the timeframes and back again and forward and back and you can clearly see the patterns that I’ve discussed earlier in this post.

Fantastic post/ point of which I noticed happening in recent years as well. it does seem such a small little feature but can really block the easterly which I could remember with the flow I suppose all the way from Siberia right across over to us and rarely were there any small low features like this does seem to be relatively new feature over the last 5 to 10 years. not that winds from this direction I’ll come in anyway but if there is a hint of a high-pressure lead into a potential easterly the short wave often knocks on the head diverts it.

Excellent post Catacol. I also mentioned once before I saw a program on the BBC and I just can’t remember what it was called. But they were discussing particularly strong magnetic areas subsurface that could affect above the surface creating strong high-pressure systems. So it looked like it was the InnerWorkings effect in the outer above sea level synoptics. There were about six identified around the planet and the Hadley cell was one of them. it does seem like an invisible force field when strong telekinetic‘s spoken about which in the end I just like a soggy teabag in texture when it comes up against a high-pressure systems . These high prices just seem to want to constantly deliver mild southerly or south westerly wins with low prices that get caught up in the flow just to keep reverting . sometimes it’s a big sways of cold air coming down from Canada or the western side of Greenland and it’s freezing cold right down into the Atlantic and as soon as it sweeps towards us just as it’s about to hit us on so many runs I noticed that it takes a sudden directional change to go from south-west to north-east due to the effect of the euro slug. if anyone wants to know or see the effects of the high-pressures ( despite kinetics) then place your finger on the slider bar , in my case I have an iPhone and if you scrub that bar all the way to the end and back again do that quite a few times you’ll see like a timelapse of the weather systems ebbing and flowing but the general trend is look at how much the high-pressure systems have in controlling majority of it most of the time either deflecting low pressures or guiding them right over the top of us but the general trend of directions are more often the same and any cold potentials are just that they often get water down or dematerialise. once Euro highs become established it’s extremely difficult to get rid of them summer or winter. same goes for the placement of the Hadley cell Azores high,Iberian high.