Summer Sun

ECM ensemble has the low no lower than 1000mb next week with a hint of pressure rising slightly to the south later in the week

Next week is looking cooler at this stage as CS has said its all to play for depending on where the low positions its-self beyond next week we could start and see things warming up as the first full week progress with the low starting to back west we see a more southerly flow thats not to say it would be dry and wall to wall sunshine it could be a humid feel in places with some thundery rain. A lot to be resolved yet but next week is going to be unsettled its just a case of how much will it take UKMO's route of smaller troughs around the UK would be the better one as it would probably result in more sunshine and showers rather than prolonged rain and strong winds

ECM continuing unsettled tonight for next week with temperature slowly falling as the week progresses the low pressure is deeper this evening that it was on the 00z run for the 2nd half of next week

Brightening up nicely now after a cloudy day the advantages on the longer daylight

Few glimmers of sunshine in the past few minutes 11.2c currently

UKMO still going a different route to the others for the start of next week, probably more in the way of sunshine and showers rather than anything prolonged UKMO 00z run to compare the 2

Up-to 9.8c to the 21st 2.4c above the 61 to 90 average

Met office ensemble mean maps for April have finally updated The period of May to July continues to show slightly above average 2m temperatures (same for all of summer as well) Pressure is shown to be higher than normal (same for all of summer) Below average precipitation is shown this continues for all of the summer Jamstec has also updated for the period of June to August Precipitation is shown to be average to slightly below average The surface air temperature anomaly ranges from slightly below average to slightly above average

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/europe.shtml - click Temperature Anomaly under weekly

Heaviest rain seems to have moved away from Darlington at the moment turned into a light drizzle now 9.4c currently EDIT Another band of heavier rain is overhead now going to be one of those days

Unsettled Across EuropeWarmIssued: 0530hrs Tuesday 22nd April 2014 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Cooler across Iberia with showers Today Rather cool across much of Spain and Portugal with a strong westerly wind blowing through the Straits of Gibraltar area. It continues to warm up across eastern parts of Europe and the Balkans along with the Adriatic Region with temperatures climbing into the mid-to upper 20s in places. Some rain to come across England today. A rash of heavy showers with the risk of thunder are expected across France, Belgium, Holland into parts of Germany, western Poland and across the Adriatic Region. These will be interspersed with sunnier, drier periods. A chilly day to come across Scandinavia but it looks mainly dry with sunny spells across Norway, Sweden and Finland. Most of Russia should be dry except for a few showers in the west and across into Belarus. A dry, mostly sunny days expected across the Baltic States and most of the Ukraine. Expect a few showers to come across Romania today but it looks fine across Greece into Turkey. A few sharp showers may affect the far north of Italy, otherwise it looks fair and dry. Scattered heavy showers may be found east of the Balearics towards Sardinia. Across Spain and Portugal look for a mix of sunny spells and scattered showers, but showers will be fewer than yesterday with more the way of sunshine. Wednesday A showery day to come across Britain. Heavy rain to affect western France. Heavy showers will be found in the east and these extend into Italy, eastern Germany and into the Adriatic Region, Bulgaria, Romania and the Czech Republic. The showers may merge into longer spells of rain across southern Italy. A fine day across Greece and Turkey with sunny spells. Most of the Ukraine, Belarus and northern Russia also looks fine and dry. Quite warm across central and eastern parts of Europe today. Largely dry with sunny spells across Poland, Sweden, Finland and Norway. Just a few showers may affect Belgium and The Netherlands. Occasional showers will develop across Portugal and Spain with good sunny spells. Strong winds will affect an area south of Italy from Sardinia east to the Greek Isles. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?MENU=EuropeanSummary

Those orange colours get very close to southern parts of England from the 30th to 8th Based on the 00z its pretty wet through out

Long time since we had a morning like this Wet with heavy bursts at times 9.3c

April Showers Generally Mild Cooling Off Later http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20140422

Next week looks quite unsettled though in brighter spells it should feel warm away from windward coasts Ensembles show hints of something slightly more settled into early may, pressure looks like it will be at its lowest between the 27th and 2th

ECM continues with its cooler outlook for next week.....

Interestingly UKMO doesn't look as unsettled by Sunday compared to the 00z run The uncertainties continue

Cumbria holds the highest temperature today as of 2pm BBC Weather on twitter At 2pm the temperature had reached 19.8C at Cambridge but the warm spot is Bridgefoot in Cumbria with 20.2C. 21c is the highest temperature so far this year

Very respectable Easter weekend here in the NE yesterday was the cloudiest day of the 4 day weekend nice and sunny here in Darlo now and feeling warm in the sun

The cloud has thinned and broken up since around 11am Nice and warm in the sun @ 13.8c and rising

9.7c to the 20th 2.3c above the 61 to 90 average

After a cloudy start its starting to brighten up a bit now 11.2c currently

Unsettled Western EuropeBecoming Warmer In the EastIssued: 0530hrs Monday 21st April 2014 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Cooler and Showery across Spain Today A few showers to come across England today. Western parts of France should be mainly dry but an area of showers, some heavy are expected across eastern France into Belgium, Germany into Poland, the Adriatic Region and the Balkans. Some of showers will be locally heavy. Some heavy showers with the risk of thunder are also possible across Italy today. Much of Scandinavia will be settled under high pressure. This will give a dry day with sunny spells to Norway, Sweden, Finland, Russia, the Baltic States and Belarus. Heavy showers develop across the Ukraine with a dry day expected across Romania, Bulgaria, most of Greece and western Turkey. Eastern parts of Turkey will see some heavy showers as will Spain and Portugal. Tuesday It continues cool across much of Spain and Portugal with a strong westerly wind blowing through the Straits of Gibraltar area. It continues to warm up across eastern parts of Europe and the Balkans along with the Adriatic Region with temperatures climbing into the mid-to upper 20s in places. Some rain to come across England today. A rash of heavy showers with the risk of thunder are expected across France, Belgium, Holland into parts of Germany, western Poland and across the Adriatic Region. These will be interspersed with sunnier, drier periods. A chilly day to come across Scandinavia but it looks mainly dry with sunny spells across Norway, Sweden and Finland. Most of Russia should be dry except for a few showers in the west and across into Belarus. A dry, mostly sunny days expected across the Baltic States and most of the Ukraine. Expect a few showers to come across Romania today but it looks fine across Greece into Turkey. A few sharp showers may affect the far north of Italy, otherwise it looks fair and dry. Scattered heavy showers may be found east of the Balearics towards Sardinia. Across Spain and Portugal look for a mix of sunny spells and scattered showers, but showers will be fewer than yesterday with more the way of sunshine. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?MENU=EuropeanSummary

Dry and cloudy with a chilly wind 10.7c

Mild then cooler? Unsettled Rain and showers http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20140421