Summer Sun

Remaining very unsettled at t192 with the potential for severe gales in the north at times

Not sure on the pressure 940's? Its not much easier to see with the clear chart

Lately the EC32 has become consistent (certainly the past 3 updates) we must remember it had an update a few weeks back so it may be more reliable now, as ever time will tell

No doubt about it Christmas day currently looks like it will be unsettled, whether its cold enough for snow away from high ground remains to be seen the GFS ensemble

There is a lot of regional and even local variations in the temperatures this month here in Darlington today is the 8th day of double figure temperatures The average high here up-to the 12th is 9.2c

Parts of North west England are back under a yellow warning now for tomorrow, north west wales is also under a warning as well Issued at: 1055 on Fri 13 Dec 2013 Valid from: 0600 on Sat 14 Dec 2013 Valid to: 2100 on Sat 14 Dec 2013 South to southwest winds will increase across many northern parts of the UK on Saturday with gales becoming widespread across Scotland and Northern Ireland. There is the potential for severe gales to develop, particularly across northwest Scotland. Gusts of 60 to 70 mph are likely within the yellow area with a risk of gusts to 80 mph or more across exposed parts of northwest Scotland. Some heavy rain is also likely, particularly in the west. Large waves caused by the very strong winds could also lead to wave overtopping on exposed coastlines of western Scotland, particularly around high tide. The public should be aware that there could be disruption to travel and other outdoor events. Winds should ease late on Saturday. At this stage there remains some uncertainty regarding the extent of the strongest winds and so the public are advised to look out for further updates to this warning. Chief Forecaster's assessment A vigorous depression is expected to run quickly northeastwards passing west of Scotland on Saturday. As this happens, very strong south to southwest winds are likely to develop across much of northern UK. At this stage there remains uncertainty in the extent of the strongest winds. It still remains possible that more of northern England and northwest Wales could also be affected. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1386979200&regionName=uk

Stormy Saturday Unsettled This Week Generally mild and Often with Gales http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131213

6.6c to the 12th 1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

The PCC can't do anything about it unfortunately

Freak storm to batter Britain: 100mph winds and downpours to cause chaos ANOTHER freak storm is set to sweep Britain next week as our topsy-turvy weather continues. Torrential rain and 100mph gales are expected to topple trees, bring down power lines and damage buildings. And forecasters warn that this time there will be no let-up until Christmas. As parts of the country were still struggling yesterday to clear up the damage caused by last week’s storm and devastating tidal surge, there were reports of 80mph winds next week with 100mph storm-force gusts likely to lash areas of the North. After a few days of relatively calm, foggy weather, Leon Brown, forecaster for The Weather Channel, said a shift in the jet stream would turn things more unsettled over the weekend. He warned Britain could feel the full brunt of the storm by Wednesday with gales continuing until Christmas. “There is a 30 to 40 per cent risk of severe gales for central and southern Britain on Thursday as a deep area of low pressure tracks east to Scotland,†he said. http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/448402/Freak-storm-to-batter-Britain-100mph-winds-and-downpours-to-cause-chaos

Wintry across EuropeHeavy Snow, Severe GalesIssued: 0530hrs Friday number 06 December 2013 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Fine and Dry across Iberia Today A cold today come across central and eastern parts of Europe is some zero temperatures spread west into Poland and all of Scandinavia. It will feel even colder with gale to severe force northwest winds expected from Germany eastward to Russia which will be producing outbreaks of snow and heavy snow showers across Germany, Denmark, much of Scandinavia, Poland, the Czech Republic, the Baltic States and across Belarus, Ukraine and Russia. For Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, most of Romania, Bulgaria, Greece and Turkey it will remain dry with sunny spells. Continued dry as well across Italy through Sardinia into Spain and Portugal with sunny spells. Most of France will again be dry with a few rain showers across Belgium and a few wintry showers across Holland. It will also be quite windy through the central Mediterranean with strong easterly winds through the Straits of Gibraltar. Saturday It remains cold, windy and wintry across much of central and eastern Europe today with further outbreaks of snow expected across Germany, Denmark, Austria, parts of Poland and it becomes heavier across the Baltic States into Belarus, the Ukraine and Russia. Heavy snow showers will affect western parts of Norway with eastern Norway, dry. Cold but sunny across Sweden with snow expected across Finland. Some heavy snow showers will affect northern parts of Romania with the south dry and a few wintry showers may also affect the Czech Republic, but mainly dry across Serbia, Croatia, Slovenia and Bosnia-Herzegovina. A few rain showers are possible around the coasts of Greece otherwise mostly sunny and dry across mainland Greece. Some rain and snow is forecast for the extreme western part of Turkey with most of Turkey fair and dry. Cloudy across Belgium and Holland with outbreaks of rain. It remains settled and sunny across most of Portugal, Spain and across the Balearics into Italy. Fine as well across most of France. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20131213

Yep, If CFS was correct we'd be seeing lots of northern blocking now look at all the updates that showed this during Autumn and infact right up to the end on November but here we are in December and so far its failed to develop. CFS is no better or worse than any other model

Yes the sun is now setting at its earliest in the UK including here in Darlo where it sets at 15:41 it will set 1 minute later next Friday (20th) and then the process of getting the lighter nights back in gets underway with us gaining around 1 hour per afternoon / evening each month till June 21st

A Stormy Day on Saturday Unsettled This Week Generally mild and often windy http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131212

Does anyone know whats happened to Philip Eden owner of climate UK he's not updated his website since November 24th (data goes up-to the 23rd) http://www.climate-uk.com/

The met office have removed the yellow warning for strong winds from North east England and North west England All of Scotland and Northern Ireland remains under a warning Issued at: 1054 on Thu 12 Dec 2013 Valid from: 0600 on Sat 14 Dec 2013 Valid to: 2359 on Sat 14 Dec 2013 South to southwest winds will increase across many northern parts of the UK on Saturday with gales becoming widespread across Scotland and Northern Ireland. There is the potential for severe gales to develop, particularly across northwest Scotland. Gusts of 60-70 mph are likely within the yellow area with a risk of gusts to 80 mph or more across exposed parts of northwest Scotland. Some heavy rain is also likely, particularly in the west. The public should be aware that there could be disruption to travel and other outdoor events. At this stage there remains uncertainty regarding the extent of the strongest winds and so the public are advised to look out for updates to this alert in the coming days. Chief Forecaster's assessment A vigorous depression is expected to run quickly northeastwards passing northwest Scotland on Saturday. As this happens, very strong south to southwest winds are likely to develop across much of the northern UK. At this stage there remains uncertainty in the extent of the strongest winds. It remains possible that parts of northern England and parts of NW Wales could also be affected. The very strong winds may last into early Sunday in places before easing. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1386979200&regionName=uk

Down to 6.5c to the 11th 1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

Heathrow flight cancellations continue after fog Around 45 flights in and out of Heathrow have been cancelled because of knock-on effects from fog which grounded 280 planes there on Wednesday. There also delays at Gatwick and cancellations at London City. Bad weather in Europe and disruption to flight schedules on Wednesday were behind the delays, the airports said. The Met Office expects fog in London and south-east England to lift later on Thursday morning. "There's been no cancellations from fog today but there could be some from the disruption yesterday," a Heathrow spokeswoman said. 'Totally jammed' At London City, which on Wednesday morning faced cancellations or delays to every flight, a spokeswoman said: "It's misty but visibility wise we're okay, it's the knock-on effects from yesterday." She said bad weather in Europe was also having an impact. Alexis Erskine, who was due to fly from London City to Milan said her plane was three hours late and the airport was "totally jammed". Around 30 London City flights - arrivals and departures - were either late or cancelled. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25344576

Hi Paul, will you be adding the t144 chart from UKMO at some point?

The comments are well worth a read http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/448115/Christmas-weather-forecast-Winter-storms-warning-as-snow-gales-and-floods-threaten-UK You'll get a laugh

Heavy Snow TurkeyMuch of Europe SettledIssued: 0530hrs Thursday 12 December 2013 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Staying Cold across Europe Today A windy day across northern Europe and across the eastern Mediterranean and Turkey. High pressure remains the dominant weather feature across Europe. Cloudy today across Portugal with outbreaks of rain. Dry from Spain up through France into Germany, the Low Countries and into Poland with sunny spells. The weather remains settled and dry as well cross Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Russia. Some rain may affect the Baltic States with an area of rain and freezing rain across southern Russia. Snow will affect the western part of the Ukraine with heavy snow expected across eastern Turkey. Dry across western Turkey sunny spells and dry up through most of the Baltic region and the Adriatic region. Fine, sunny today across Italy, Sardinia and the Balearics. More cloud across Spain today, but it should stay dry. Friday An area of rain will stretch from England down through northwest France across Biscay into northern Spain and Portugal for southern and eastern parts of Spain and across the Balearics through Sardinia into Italy it will be fine and dry with sunny spells. Most of France, the Low Countries, Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic will be dry with sunny spells but also some dense morning fog possible. High pressure will also keep the Balkans, the Baltic States and the Adriatic region dry. Heavy snow is forecast for northern Russia the band of light snow southern Russia through eastern parts of the Ukraine into eastern Romania and Bulgaria. Western parts of Turkey will be dry but heavy snow is forecast again across eastern Turkey. Lots of heavy showers still to come across the eastern Mediterranean today and here it will also be quite windy. Cold but dry with sunny spells across Norway, Sweden and Finland. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?MENU=EuropeanSummary

t240 sees cooler air moving across the UK once more as it remains unsettled with the potential for Gales in the north

t216 sees milder air pushing into the SW once more as it remains unsettled Its a case of close but no cigar at the moment for getting cold air into the UK for a lengthy time

Christmas day still looks windy, not cold enough for snow though away from the far north west of Scotland

My guess of 5.0c is looking too low Just typical when I go for a high CET it comes in below when I go for a fairly low one its probably going to be a good bit higher Sods law