Summer Sun

Plenty of dry weatherCold in eastIssued: 0530hrs Tuesday 10th December 2013 Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson Sunshine in the Mediterranean, Turkey cold Tuesday High pressure remains dominant on Tuesday across much of Europe with plenty of dry and fine weather. Portugal may see variable cloud but is dry, whilst more sunshine is on offer for Spain. The Balearics and Italy are also dry with sunshine with pleasant temperatures. A scattering of light showers may affect Greece, whilst more cloud and outbreaks of rain and snow affect Turkey. France is dry with sunshine, although some morning fog may be stubborn to clear. Dry conditions in Switzerland and Austria too, although chilly with some fog. Germany is expected to see more low cloud, but is dry. Feeling really cold in eastern Europe, some wintry flurries in Ukraine, but mostly dry in Poland and the Czech Republic. Some patchy rain and drizzle for Sweden , with snow in Finland. Norway will see some brighter spells, but with rain and mountain snow in the north-west. Wednesday Cloudy skies in Portugal may produce some rain and drizzle in the west with a strong southerly breeze. Dry weather extends through the Mediterranean, with sunny spells in Spain, Italy and much of Greece. Wintry showers affect northern Turkey accompanied by cold and strong north-easterly winds. Chilly in Cyprus too. Dry with light winds for France, Germany and the Alpine states, but with some stubborn fog patches possible. More cloud in eastern Europe, and feeling cold again. Snow affects western parts of Russia and Belarus. Breezy but dry weather in Sweden and Denmark. North-west Norway will see persistent rain and mountain snow along with blustery winds. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20131210

Unsettled Milder This Week Often Windy http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131210

ECM ensemble supporting a deep low at t216 and t240

t240 shows something colder moving into the west Given its 10 days away the usual cautions apply everyone should know now how quickly things can change as last week proved

ECM still keen on developing something more unsettled as we move into next week though it never gets overly cold

GEM also looking stormy at t240 though its not overly cold GFS at t240 This mornings ECM at t240 also showing some stormy weather The Daily Express are already reporting on this saying Britain is on alert for another battering from fierce storms next week It will bring 70mph gales to many areas next week, with 90mph gusts threatening exposed northern regions.

Some concerning rainfall totals for NW Scotland showing currently Getting on for 125mm by the 17th for some and another 80mm to 100mm from the 18th to 25th

Yeah again going against the ensemble still at 16 days away we don't anything to worry about just yet we all know what GFS is like for its fantasy lows Certainly needs to be watched as the met are hinting at a more unsettled period developing

I'm amazed that Nathan Rao is still on twitter considering some of the replies he gets from these stories

Its a hot night in Sydney the current temperature at 02:43am is 27c

Today's NAO update shows anything could happen from the 16th onwards pretty much a 50 / 50 split

Miles away from whats its ensemble has

Front page of today's Express

Yeah I was watching the FA Cup on ITV yesterday afternoon from Tamworth and the sunset was amazing

The computers says was updated yesterday, the detailed forecast has not updated The computer says [issued 09/12/2013 11:03:02] The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.Cold but dry conditions are expected in WalesIt's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.It's expected to be too mild for snow in Scotland.It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland.It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland.Cold but dry conditions are expected in the Netherlandshttp://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast

Rain the west Generally mild Becoming more unsettled http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131209

GFS ensemble for Christmas day has the high staying close by that low will no doubt be gone by the end of today's 12z run

Snow Storm Brings Misery To Much Of US A powerful storm has dropped snow, freezing rain and sleet on the Mid-Atlantic and the East Coast, blanketing some NFL playing fields and forcing thousands of flights to be cancelled. The storm coated parts of Texas in ice, and struck the East Coast with unexpected force. It left travellers stranded, slowing traffic on roads and leading to a number of accidents, and caused some power outages. Arctic air plunged temperatures in much of the country, with the record low of -42F (-41C) reported in Jordan, Montana, on Saturday. The storm turned NFL playing fields in Pennsylvania into winter wonderlands. http://news.sky.com/story/1179773/snow-storm-brings-misery-to-much-of-us

As of last night paddy power has London 9/4 Cardiff 3/1 Dublin 9/4 Manchester 2/1 Glasgow 2/1

Thankfully its in deepest FI and has about 2% chance of happening

6.5c to the 8th 1.5c above the 61 to 90 average

The latest GFS rainfall charts show very little in the way of rain for the south and east as all of England and wales remains well below normal to Christmas day

Overnight low was 10.7c Currently its 11.1c and sunny with no wind A pleasant day shaping up by the looks of it

Foggy central EuropeRain in northIssued: 0530hrs Monday 9th December 2013 Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling Foggy central areas, but some rain to the north Monday A large area of high pressure brings a dry and fine day to Spain and Portugal. Lots of sunshine and dry weather. Fair through the Balearics with more sunshine. Staying fair for Italy, but some fog in the north. Dry and sunny again in Greece and Turkey. Fog affecting much of France, this slowly clearing. Further fog in the Low Countries, but this clearing to sunny spells. Breezy with cloud and some outbreaks for rain northern parts of Germany. Southern Germany will be dry as will be Switzerland, Austria and Hungary. Dry for Finland and chilly too. Cool and dry in the Baltic States. Cloud and some outbreaks of rain in western Norway and Denmark, turning to sleet and some snow in eastern Poland. Tuesday A fine day to come across Portugal and Spain. Lots of sunshine across the Balearics too. Some fog patches in northern Italy but far across central and southern Italy. More sunshine in Greece and in Italy too. Fog may be slow to clear from France and Switzerland. The Low Countries should be fair with some sunny sells. Germany and Poland may become quite foggy, and the fog could extend into Austria and Hungary. Drizzle and low cloud affecting the western coasts of Norway and Denmark. Sweden will be dry with some sunny spells. Cloud and some drizzle affecting Finland and the Baltic States. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20131209

Here we go again A white Christmas? Expect storms returning with 90mph gales and torrential rain BRITAIN is on alert for another battering from fierce storms next week as experts warn of a Christmas deluge. Gales of up to 90mph and torrential rain threaten chaos into the New Year. Another deep depression, ­similar to that responsible for last week’s storm, is poised to rip across the country after the weekend. Some regions face a repeat of the ­hurricane-force gales that wrecked buildings and tore down trees. Jonathan Powell, forecaster for ­Vantage Weather Services, warned that a ­swirling “Catherine wheel†of low ­pressure over the Atlantic was charging towards the UK. It will bring 70mph gales to many areas next week, with 90mph gusts threatening exposed northern regions. Leon Brown, forecaster for The Weather Channel, said this week will remain calm and settled before the next storm system roars in. He said: “We do expect the weather to become more unsettled again in the week running up to Christmas, with the risk of stormy weather to end December as the jet stream moves southwards again. “Friday will be a cold and bright day for the South of the UK, but a warm front moving across the North will bring a cloudy afternoon with a spell of sleet and hill snow in Scotland.†Netweather said this week will be mainly dry and settled before turning wet and windy by the weekend. http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/447551/A-white-Christmas-Expect-storms-returning-with-90mph-gales-and-torrential-rain