Summer Sun

Today's NAO update show it at either natural or slightly positive for the rest of the month

The met office have early wind warnings out for this Issued at: 1229 on Wed 11 Dec 2013 Valid from: 0900 on Sat 14 Dec 2013 Valid to: 2359 on Sat 14 Dec 2013 South to southwest winds will increase across many northern parts of the UK on Saturday with gales becoming widespread across Scotland and Northern Ireland along with parts of northern England. There is the potential for severe gales to develop, particularly across northwest Scotland. Gusts of 60-70 mph are likely within the yellow area with a risk of gusts to 80 mph or more across exposed parts of northwest Scotland. Some heavy rain is also likely, particularly in the west. The public should be aware that there could be disruption to travel and other outdoor events. At this stage there remains uncertainty regarding the extent of the strongest winds and so the public are advised to look out for updates to this alert in the coming days. Chief Forecaster's assessment A vigorous depression is expected to run quickly northeastwards passing northwest Scotland on Saturday. As this happens, very strong south to southwest winds are likely to develop across much of the northern UK. At this stage there remains uncertainty in the extent of the strongest winds. It remains possible that more of northern England and parts of Wales could also be affected. The very strong winds may last into early Sunday in places before easing. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1386979200&regionName=uk

They should try playing in this The pitch now is worse than it was last night

UK Outlook for Thursday 26 Dec 2013 to Thursday 9 Jan 2014: Conditions look likely to remain rather unsettled, especially towards the north and northwest of the UK, with the best of any drier and brighter conditions towards the south and southeast. Temperatures probably staying around normal across the UK generally, although there could be some colder nights in the south and east of the UK with a risk of frost and fog in places. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/darlington-darlington#?tab=regionalForecast

UK Outlook for Monday 16 Dec 2013 to Wednesday 25 Dec 2013: Through next week it should be windy across much of the UK. The most unsettled weather will be in the north and west, where there will be a continuing risk of heavy rain and severe gales. Across the south and east the rain should be less widespread and the winds lighter. It will be generally mild although some wintry showers are possible in the northwest, and there will be some overnight frosts. Through the weekend and into the following week there is still likely to be the risk of severe gales and heavy rain. It should still be mild across much of the UK although it may turn colder at times in the north, with wintry showers still possible. However, there will also be some sunshine in places. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/darlington-darlington#?tab=regionalForecast

Cold and foggy in Darlo this morning Currently 3.6c

No change today 6.8c to the 10th 1.8c above the 61 to 90 average

Today's 00z GFS update

Fog Causes Heathrow Flight Cancellations Heavy fog in the southeast of England is causing flight delays and hazardous driving conditions for commuters. Forty incoming and outgoing flights have already been cancelled this morning, a Heathrow Airport spokeswoman said. The Met Office has warned the public of travel disruption, with visibility of less than 50 metres in places causing dangerous driving conditions. Sky News' Harriet Hadfield, in west London, said there were reports of "almost no visibility" on some motorways such as the M25. London's City Airport is also experiencing disruption to inbound and outbound flights, with eight out of 10 flights cancelled or delayed. Among the services axed are British Airways flights to Zurich, Glasgow and Dusseldorf Gatwick is operating without any problems but there are delays at Southampton Airport.Today's flight problems follow last Saturday's major disruption at all airports after difficulties at the headquarters of air traffic control company Nats. Ferry services have also been affected by the fog, with delays to Wightlink Ferries - which operates routes between Hampshire and the Isle of Wight. Customers are advised to check company websites before travelling. The fog, which extends towards the East Midlands and the east of England, is expected to clear at about 10am. http://news.sky.com/story/1180645/fog-causes-heathrow-flight-cancellations

Travel Chaos: Flights cancelled as fog descends on England FLIGHTS have been cancelled at Heathrow and London City Airports this morning as thick fog sweeps over south east England. A spokeswoman for Heathrow Airport confirmed that 40 incoming and outgoing flights have been cancelled this morning, and others have been delayed. British Airways has urged customers to check its website for updates throughout the morning. At London City Airport nearly every early-morning service was either delayed or cancelled. Among the services that had to be axed were BA flights to Zurich, Glasgow and Dusseldorf. A spokespoerson said: "Due to low visibility this morning flights to/from the airport are experiencing disruptions. Passengers are advised to call their airlines for more information. " The Met Office warned the public of travel disruption, with visibility expected to drop to lower than 50 metres in places. Wightlink Ferries, which operates routes between Hampshire and the Isle of Wight, has also reported delays. Lara Gunn, a forecaster at MeteoGroup, the weather division of the Press Association, said: "A dense fog is hanging over the South East and up towards the Midlands and is expected to linger throughout the morning. "Visibility will be quite poor in some areas and so travellers should take caution." Today's flight problems follow last Saturday's major disruption at all airports after difficulties at the Hampshire headquarters of air traffic control company Nats. http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/447991/Travel-Chaos-Flights-cancelled-as-fog-descends-on-England

Settled across EuropeHeavy Snow TurkeyIssued: 0530hrs Wednesday 11 December 2013 Duty forecaster: John Ejdowski Staying Rather Cold across Europe Today Continued cold across much of Europe today with subzero temperatures across Russia into the Ukraine and across much of Turkey. An area of snow and freezing rain expected across northern and western parts of Russia with risk of rain and freezing rain across Belarus, and heavier rain across the Baltic States. Some snow will affect northern part of the Ukraine with the south. Fair and dry in the southern Ukraine. Very windy and cold across Turkey with gales and outbreaks of heavy snow. Very windy across the eastern Mediterranean with heavy showers managing and longer spells of rain. Fine across Italy today with sunny spells. Strong gale force easterly winds will also be blowing through the Straits of Gibraltar. For much of central Europe, it will be dry day with high pressure dominating with a good deal of dry weather from Spain up through France into theLow Countries and across into Germany and Poland. Cloudy but dry day across Portugal. Sunny and mild across England today. Some rain will affect western parts of Norway but for much of Norway, Denmark, Sweden and Finland it should be dry day to come. Lots of dry weather is expected across the Balkans and the Adriatic Region. Thursday A windy day across northern Europe, eastern Mediterranean and in the Straits of Gibraltar. High pressure remains the dominant weather feature across Europe. Cloudy today across Portugal with outbreaks of rain. Dry from Spain up through France into Germany, the Low Countries and into Poland with sunny spells. The weather remains settled and dry as well cross Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Finland and northern Russia. Some rain may affect the Baltic States with an area of rain and freezing rain across southern Russia. Snow will affect the western part of the Ukraine with heavy snow expected across eastern Turkey. Dry across western Turkey sunny spells and dry up through most of the Baltic region and the Adriatic region. Fine, sunny today across Italy, Sardinia and the Balearics. More cloud across Spain today, but it should stay dry. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=204&FILE=eus&DAY=20131211

Stormy Saturday Unsettled Generally mild and often windy http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/reports?LANG=en&MENU=weekahead&DAY=20131211

And compared to the snow at the American football game on Sunday this was nothing

Looking at UKMO high pressure is never far away from the south, a lot of Europe is under high pressure by Monday

Mild, windy and for some wet on this afternoons 12z run

Yesterday the NAO showed a 50 / 50 split today its now going slightly positive before a possible drop towards Jan

Have you ever made a complaint to the PCC?

Liam Dutton tweeted this earlier on INSTALLING 100 DAYS OF HEAVY SNOW... ██ 10% DONE ***Installation failed*** Please try again next year... And year after. #DailyExpress

From Matt Hugo on twitter Latest EC32 highlights a general 'typical' +NAO pattern for Xmas Day with a SW'ly air flow over the UK EC32 850mb temp anoms for Xmas Day currently look around avg. Might not tell the whole story, but not that 'warm'

GFS 06z has a north south split coldest in the north mildest in the south for Christmas day, no 180mph super winds though

Up-to 6.8c to the 9th 1.8c above the 61 to 90 average

Yeah I was thinking that the only "expert" talking about these "super winds" is from Coral

Todays 00z update from GFS And for those of us heading to the boxing day sales, football matches or Horse racing a ridge of high pressure is shown to build

This is getting extremely stupid now and needs stopping very quickly 180mph wind to batter Britain as we face worst Christmas on record BRITAIN is heading for its stormiest Christmas ever, with terrifying 180mph super-winds. And a huge area of low pressure headed for the UK from the Atlantic is set to bring 90mph gusts by the end of next week. Now bookies have slashed the odds to 25-1 for the nation to experience its strongest winds ever as fears grow that the 173mph record set in Scotland in 1986 will be smashed. Weather expert Nicola McGeady, from Coral, warned: “The odds on the worst winter in history continue to tumble as the latest weather reports make for grim reading. “And judging by the amount of bets flooding in, punters are preparing for the worst.†Such high wind speeds could cause massive damage to buildings, blowing roofs off houses. They could also uproot millions of trees. The predictions come after last week’s sea surge and gales of up to 140mph saw 10,000 homes evacuated. Coral has offered 4-1 odds that 2013 will be the wettest year on record, beating the 1,337mm of rain that fell in 2000. And punters were also being given 9-1 odds that it will drop below the -27.2C lowest temperature ever recorded in 1982. But yesterday the Met Office predicted days of mild, relatively calm weather before any storm. They forecast 11-13C temperatures for much of the UK this week. Forecaster Dan Williams said: “Temperatures are going to be average or above for much of the nation, and we could see a positively balmy 13C.†http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/354998/180MPH-wind-to-batter-Britain-foresees-worst-Christmas-on-record

The latest update was issued yesterday Christmas 2013: Changeable weather? The Weather Outlook says High pressure continues to dominate the weather but it is looking as though a change to more mobile and unsettled conditions will develop in the next 10 days. This is likely to mean more mild weather in the south, but possibly lead to colder incursions in the north. Christmas day is now also in range of the GFS/GEFS computer model and it seems to be favouring quite an unsettled pattern. How does this impact the Xmas forecast? The fourteenth update reduces the chance of a White Christmas marginally for the north and significantly for the south. With a more mobile pattern looking more likely nationwide the highest chance of brief colder incursions will be in the north with the south generally quite mild. Enjoy counting down the days to the big day and check regularly for updates. Also check out what 'The computer says' in its daily update below! Probabilities of snow falling on Christmas Day North of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 18% South of Yorkshire / Lancashire: 14% Forecast issued Update 14, 09/12/2013 The computer says [issued 10/12/2013 07:00:42] The regional Christmas weather predictions are updated daily using medium and long range forecast data. They may indicate very different prospects to the TWO forecast above. Who will be right?It's expected to be too mild for snow in the south.It's expected to be too mild for snow in Wales.It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Midlands.It's expected to be too mild for snow in the north.It's expected to be too mild for snow in Scotland.It's expected to be too mild for snow in Northern Ireland.It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Republic of Ireland.It's expected to be too mild for snow in the Netherlands. http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/forecast/Christmas-weather-forecast