Just thought I'd put an update in here:So
Somee may remember I mentioned an old uni contact who was doing their PhD and was focusing on the decreasing number of UK storms, his initial findings are this: I am paraphrasing here and using laymens terms as this is how it was explained to me.
Essentially over the last 20 years most years have had the roughly the same amount of storm potential (CAPE, LI etc) apart from a handful of years. Despite this number of UK storms has fallen rather dramtically for most places. So why is nothing come of this potential? To take El Gordo from last year as a case study, all the ingredients were there, but the cake didn't rise. Having studied the atmospherics (as in charges in the air, jet stream, etc etc) it appears that pressure which needs to drop for the storms to kick off is not doing so. Looking at the isobars etc when these potentials are forming it appears that the low pressure is being dragged southwards towards the equator. This has coincided with draught phases near the equator. Essentially the draught conditions are sucking the low pressure towards them in a sort of osmosis effect. Why this is happening they do not know, but apparently this is why we've seen the potential heading southwards over to France etc and then erupting there alongside the normal factors.
It seems that countries in a similar position to us on in the southern hemisphere are experiencing very similar.
Right I have no idea if that makes any sense or if that's accurate, but that's the jist of what he said.
Any thoughts?