And no wonder the models are predicting all this. For over a week now, they have been showing some very strong warming from 1hPa down to 10hPa, and for the last 3 or 4 days, it has been showing this warming moving down to 30hPa (just where we want to see it). And the warming at 30hPa has been showing consistently now for more than 4 days so I really hope this moves toward the reliable timeframe. [Hope I haven't cursed the stratosphere by pointing that out....]