This is what I like to call the worst possible chart in Winter. Genuinely. Raging south westerlies at least bring warmth, this will bring nothing but cold rain whilst the truly deep cold is inches away.
The GFS still ends with high pressure in charge which is positive. However, the position of any high controls the difference between endless grey, cool murk and snowy nirvana.
Probably the fewest amount of posts during a GFS run I have ever seen - especially during the pub.
Sums it up really. Maybe we are seeing the building blocks towards sustained cold with high pressure in abundance and a tired looking PV towards the end...but not much interest with regards to weather on the ground for the next 2 weeks according to that.
We've had light snow, the proper stuff, not the large wet flakes and it's settling everywhere.
The frustrating thing is that we'd have had a an absolute pasting had the precips been much heavier.
This is something we don't want to see - a low stalled out west of the UK drawing up southerly air due to high pressure over southern/SE Europe. If it were to pan out like this, hopefully temporary as the atmosphere shifts around.