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Eskimo

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Everything posted by Eskimo

  1. Eskimo
    Birmingham can be really naff in easterlies. The long-land track doesn't help in direct easterlies as East Anglia adds just that little bit more land. The Wash can help the West Midlands providing the wind direction is more ENE...which will be the case for a time. Not expecting much here, so if anything does crop up, it's better than anticipated.
  2. Eskimo
    Doesn't matter with dew points like that.
  3. Eskimo
    -5C!?!
  4. Eskimo
    As forecast, temperature rising ahead of the front. Temp has risen to +3.3C.
  5. Eskimo
    You mean, does that mean coalville will be even more bad?
  6. Eskimo
    I think it would just be nice to get a covering of snow that will last all week.
  7. Eskimo
    Metoffice yellow warning issued for the West and North Midlands and Wales down through the SW.
  8. Eskimo
    Won't pick up snow showers as it's not a high resolution model. Will only model the precipitation from frontal waves.
  9. Eskimo
    I don't think we need to worry too much - yes the east will see the most snow in this setup, however on a very stiff easterly wind, these showers will penetrate well inland.
  10. Eskimo
    I remember the days where the GFS rolled out normally and you could bet your house on a 10:45 finish.
  11. Eskimo
    The ECM in a nutshell...
  12. Eskimo
    The GFS para is what I feel will happen (not because it's more favourable for us). I cannot see a low just barrelling through dense, cold air like a hot knife through butter.
  13. Eskimo
    The GFS really drags its run out these days. I remember when by 9:45 it would already be up to 72 hours.
  14. Eskimo
    Those showers modelled in the North Sea won't just dissipate as soon as they hit land like that. ICON has serious issues with convection on its low-res view.
  15. Eskimo
    Not necessarily, the Greenland high will do its job at keeping lows further south.
  16. Eskimo
    This pattern should have us locked in for quite some time.
  17. Eskimo
    Welcome to the forum Bill, I'm glad you've familiarised yourself rather quickly with the dynamics of this forum. "A model is only as good as it's last stella run" should be the official motto.
  18. Eskimo
    Yeah..so about those 'downgrades'
  19. Eskimo
    If I hadn't looked at the output for a few days, I'd be forgiven for thinking the outlook had suddenly switched from an easterly to a b******t unanimously across all the models. I would think at that point, "yeah, fair enough, that's pretty disappointing!" Most of us are chasing nirvana, and yeah it doesn't look as fantastic as it did a few days ago, but the outlook looks far from 'home'.
  20. Eskimo
    As I've said before, the ICON in the national view switches to a weird low-res problem after the 78hr mark. It's not worth looking at it post 78 hours.
  21. Eskimo
    Settling here on anything organic. Slighly different to last week! Temp 0.7C.
  22. Eskimo
    Lashing down with rain now. You get some bursts of snow here and there but overall its pretty grim.
  23. Eskimo
    Sort of drifting between snow and sleet here. Pretty dreich morning.
  24. Eskimo
    Taking its sweet time to turn here!! EDIT: ITS TURNING
  25. Eskimo
    MetOffice precip chart showing Birmingham being the best place to be (assuming conditions are favourable). A brummie is never more than a couple of miles away from 200m+.
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