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Everything posted by wimblettben
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st June onwards
wimblettben replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Agree! Have to say we have been quite unlucky for storms here this summer with only a few rumbles the last time and two short-lived periods of intense storms in May and June. Personally hope the risk does move further west as I wan't something to come from all of this extended unpleasant heat. -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
wimblettben replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Brilliant lightning displays and good rumbles from mid-level storms!!!!!- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
wimblettben replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Was outside in the field seeing well developed cumulonimbus clouds with dark bases and loads of rumbles. Then got drenched running back to the house which was fun.- 3,835 replies
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Storm Georgina - Atlantic Storm 7
wimblettben replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looks like we peaked at 45mph right before the squall came through. -
Storm Georgina - Atlantic Storm 7
wimblettben replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Pretty fun morning here with very gusty winds. Many gusts in the 30s mph and there may have been higher in more exposed spots in the garden. Very squally rain just passed as well. -
Wednesday evening into Thursday Storm
wimblettben replied to The PIT's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
It probably did cause the most damage for more eastern and Northern areas of England with many 60-80mph gusts but for us here in the southwest it was the same as the winds we had just after Christmas. Nothing unusual here as we look to have had 40-50mph gusts. We have already had that level of gusts a few times this Winter, I got 46mph in the garden last night, and had recorded two 47mph gusts a few weeks back from another low pressure system. However it is clear that the three areas worst effected were southeast england, East Anglier and especially Norfolk were 80mph gusts hit which is pretty powerful compared to the typical peak gusts we get from storms in winter down here of 30-50mph. -
Model output discussion - mid-winter
wimblettben replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Definite downgrade trend happening now with this system. Wouldn't be at all surprised if it ends up being just a typical wind maker this time tomorrow or moves so far south the centre ends up over the channel.- 2,572 replies
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Hope it doesn't end up so far south that it doesn't even effect us here in the southwest. Was looking forward too some more blustery fun windy weather after the relatively quiet bland period weave had.
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Hope the low system doesn't move any further North as it would be nice to get the winds that the models are showing now as it would be perfect with it being not too strong and not too light. Earlier model runs would have probably been a bit too strong for my liking and cause some damage. 50-55mph gusts for mainland stations usually gives us winds in the fun blowy 32-46mph range.
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Storm Eleanor - Atlantic Storm 5
wimblettben replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Turned out to be windier yesterday here then the storm on Wednesday with many gusts in the range of 35-45mph. had two top gusts of 47mph so was pretty windy to be honest and much more then I was expecting, thought the worst was going to be yesterday but max gust was 42mph and that was also just a one off. -
After it gusting to 30-40mph this morning with a top gust of 43mph it has died down now with light rain or snow and winds of 5-15mph. Looks like most of the worst of the winds are affecting the coastal areas as the winds here only lasted for about an hour or so.
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Looking at the latest model outputs I would be getting slightly annoyed if I was the met office thinking that we may have to change the warnings and warning areas within a day or two. Mind you I have never known a time where the models have chopped and changed as much as they have this Autumn and Winter.
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Only one of the models show this, many others don't, although it could chop and change a bit more though of course. The tight isobars are just south of the centre, and if the precipitation is where the centre is and its now shifting south, then there winds will be moving south as well. The southward trend if correct will take most of the winds out to the channel, not rocket science!
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Just like Mapantz said it didn't really produce here either with just a top gust of 36mph in the evening and 25-32mph gusts throughout the day which is what we get quite often on days that don't have a warning out.
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Been out last few days so wasn't able to post. Highest gust we had on Wednesday was 36.1mph in the evening. Most gusts during the day were between 25-32mph. So it was a typical windy day but I was expecting more with inland 40-60mph gusts forecast. Rain wasn't to much of a problem either. Just light bits throughout the day and moderate bursts in the evening which were short-lived.
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Some of the wind gust charts show 50-60mph gusts quite a way inland, so its going to be quite a blow tomorrow if these are true. Might catch some by surprise given how calm its been recently!
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Yes I know. Where is the Atlantic storms thread that should be up about now with the discussions. It is quite a breezy evening here already.
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Model Output Discussion 01/09/17
wimblettben replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Seriously I don't think I've ever known the models to change so much as this before! Even the chopping and changing that occurs during the summer months is nothing compared to this. In all honesty though I wan't the charts that are showing the atlantic to fire up next week be correct as this Autumn has been rather boring for Atlantic storms so far and its becoming rather dull.