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wimblettben

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Everything posted by wimblettben

  1. wimblettben
    We were looking to be in the area where most of the activity would be happening earlier but not sure if it may end up more West or East of us at the moment.
  2. wimblettben
    It may not be dry everywhere or sunny but its definitely more humid feeling compared to the last few days.
  3. wimblettben
    Yeah! Possible case of storms dying a death as they cross the channel scenario there, how many of those have we had?
  4. wimblettben
    If this is true I guess I am at risk of missing the most of it as well then as I am far south of Wiltshire, which is kind of centre between the east and west just like you. It doesn't have to be overhead for me to be happy though, as long as its within 10 miles of my location then it counts as thundery activity for our area as thats the distance where thunder can be heard.
  5. wimblettben
    Well its looking pretty good for our general area at the moment and I have seen quite a few forecasts emphasising on the intense amount of lightning there could be. Just hope this period goes in our favour and doesn't suddenly shift in the coming forecasts like in the past few occasions.
  6. wimblettben
    Well just like many times in the past, the forecasts are looking good for thundery weather and I am getting hopeful and excited thinking that it will actually happen. But based on the amount of failed events so far, it would be quite a miracle for this to actually develop intense storms, so I must remember to keep myself from getting excited too much as it isn't good for my health when the possible disappointment occurs.
  7. wimblettben
    If thats the case then blimey, Didn't take long for that one to change did it. And don't worry, I know its just a few models but this usually means that signs are there for at least a risk of difference in position and conditions. A difference in position, means us getting no thunder again, so hopefully this isn't a trend in the models thats going to end up verifying.
  8. wimblettben
    True, I need to stop looking at low resolution charts then giving me false hope. But regardless this coming spell is already becoming a bit confusing as its not clear to whether we will be getting a front of storms coming up from the South-Southwest or having to rely on isolated home grown ones.
  9. wimblettben
    A lot of models in the past with thundery events have shown widespread thundery activity only for it to be reduced to isolated events with the main activity further northeast of most locations. Seen it happen numerous times already this year so my expectations aren't very high at the moment.
  10. wimblettben
    One thing I am certain of thats different is that the overall distribution of thunder days is less in the year, but that when there is a storm its a short lived but violent one. Of any storms that have happened here in the last few years, i'm sure they are more intense or the lightning is more powerful then the past when there were milder storms but more distributed and frequent throughout.
  11. wimblettben
    So this would mean that we could stand a chance of getting something later on now then. There are some pretty unstable looking mid level clouds West of here at the moment moving Eastwards so wouldn't be surprised as they look like they are towering more compared to yesterday evening.
  12. wimblettben
    Mostly sunny, warm and humid here although with pretty unstable mid level clouds around in isolated pockets. Can't remember the last time we had such an extended period of thundery looking clouds around never materialising into anything.
  13. wimblettben
    I wish this heat and humidity would produce some storms otherwise if it is going to be settled i'd rather it was no more than 20 degrees celsius with little humidity, This is why i prefer the Autumn and Winter months overall these days because at least in these months you can be guaranteed active weather in the form of atlantic depressions and windy conditions.
  14. wimblettben
    But that warning is from earlier and will probably be gone later as it updates. Latest Emphasis now is more for either southeast England in the morning or Northern England later in the day tomorrow.
  15. wimblettben
    I wouldn't bother keeping an eye out for anything if you go by the latest forecasts. Only southeast England northwards are really expected to get anything now, if the forecasts get it right of course.
  16. wimblettben
    Maybe they don't personally see the coverage or risk being high enough.
  17. wimblettben
    Definite eastwards shift going on now. Will be pretty disappointing if we get nothing as we were suppose to be in the main action zone a few days ago and stupidly I got excited and had high hopes. Really am clutching at straws, if we do get anything then we will have been very lucky and just had the stragglers.
  18. wimblettben
    Less clouds around here now and they are less unstable looking as well. Hopes are not very high for thunder at the moment but maybe I am being a bit pedantic.
  19. wimblettben
    I am hopeful something will happen by lucky chance later tonight but I already feel a sense of disappointment as there is definitely an east and north shift on coverage lately. Like others have said though, the period isn't here yet and I should take the forecasts with a pinch of salt and just wait and see what happens.
  20. wimblettben
    This perked me up a bit but I fear its overly optimistic for storms compared to the other forecasts. Covering much more of the southwest here and more noticeable with higher amounts of lightning.
  21. wimblettben
    If you had looked at the BBC forecast on Monday evening, you would have seen masses of rain with lightning showing across the southwest and moving northeastwards. And I would say that it doesn't even look isolated for our bit now, nothings showing up on the precipitation models, only for the midlands eastwards.
  22. wimblettben
    Pretty much nothing for our area then, its all north!!! Gutted if this model is true, there were suppose to be widespread storms across the south and southwest a few days ago. Thank god I got a good distant light show in May otherwise I would be on suicide watch now.
  23. wimblettben
    Yes there has been plenty of promising looking clouds this evening for possible thunder later. Problem is it doesn't mean that your area will get it.
  24. wimblettben
    There still will be by the looks of the radars as there is not much of a covering across the south at the moment with lightning strikes. Hoping for a more widespread distribution of thundery weather later, and its not even rained here yet by the way.
  25. wimblettben
    Yes exactly! I bet that if the CAPP levels weren't so ridiculously thick last week the hot spell would have ended with brilliant widespread thunderstorms when you think of how much CAPE there was.
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