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Damp and dreary

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Posts posted by Damp and dreary

  1. Good morning my lovelys! I moved from Eastbourne to Polegate (just up the road) last year and now i cannot seem to find anyones weather stations online for round this way. Anybody know of any? Have plenty for Eastbourne, but you would be suprised the temperature difference a few miles can make. Of course i know i should have my own but oh well!

    Enjoy your weather watching and keep away from all that horrid arguing like on some other forums pages! ;-)

    Jason

  2. Sorry but the ECM has definitely taken a step towards the GFS in the short range this morning, the initial movement of the shortwave is now east not south east, which means less cold for the uk. Yes it does then take it south east as before but that is past t96 so is FI at present. It's the initial eastwards motion that is telling and that is as per GFS. Writing on the wall now I fear for this cold spell, but still time fir things to change, desperately need a slightly stronger more northerly Scandi high to prevent that eastwards movement, still time for this to change.

    Huge coup for GFS though having stood alone last night and been rubbished by all and sundry.

    Jeeez, seriously everyone, not just the above quoted poster but 90% of you. How can a model be proved right when you are talking about the future? The codswallop that is being spouted in here recently is beyond belief. At least in the Summer there are less of these 'experts' posting such drivel. Seriously if you dont really know what you are on about model wise, don't pretend that you do. There must be many more people that are not so clued up getting very confused on here. Oh and please no more talk of Shannons bloomin' Entropy. Its not big and definitely is not clever! Love youuuu. air_kiss.gif

  3. I can't see where the slight upgrades are.

    If we take the 12z output so far (UKMO and GFS) up to 144 hours compared to the 0z, then we have a faster breakdown of the cold spell and less chance of snow.

    All and all a step in the wrong direction so far.

    Karyo

    But we should not be comparing separate model runs, as said soo many times before (which im sure you will know) compare this 12z with the last 12z run, the same with the 0z etc.

  4. Hi quote from UKMO via Ian Fergusson:

    Days 8-10, Sun-Tues: Unsettled and often windy with bands of rain crossing the UK, with clearer/showery interludes in between. Still a risk of some snow over high ground at times in the N, mainly Scottish mountains. Temperatures mainly close to average, occasionally mild in the S, but with still a risk of overnight frost in clearer, quieter interludes. EXTREMES COMPARED TO CLIMATOLOGY: Nil CONFIDENCE: High confidence for cyclonic SW’ly type. Low to medium confidence for the heaviest spells of rain to be across the S and W.

    Days 10-15: broad continuation of conditions and synoptics described above with little change expected."

    Yes they do.

    Was this taken from today or yesterday though? Just wondering if these 'slight' model changes have made any difference to the M.O outlook?

  5. Heads up here but I think the radar is really struggling tonight, not sure why but the snow maybe not helping matters?

    Its been having troubles in the London area most of the day actually thinking about it.

    Same here Darren, its been nigh on impossible to track whats comming for the last few hours. Still snow all the way here tho.

    Actually Net Weather site has been the same the last hour too!

  6. Not so sure for SE coasts.Currently 1.5c and dew of -4c

    Sorry sleety but that does not take into account all of the south east coast. not much further up from you in the whole scheme of things and it is zero here and -5.4 dewpoint. it has always been forcasted to be more marginal the further West you are. Hope that didnt sound too grumpy my friend but we dont want less learned members to start worrying.

    OOOps edited East to West, duuuur!

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