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Seasonal Trim

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Posts posted by Seasonal Trim

  1. 8 minutes ago, smhouston said:

    I know that isn't a reply to my post but it could be applied, so how can you post something to disprove someone when things haven't happened? It's just known that things so so far out don't verify, so going crazy about them stating the other experts are already wrong is misleading to other newer members who don't know that 

    In upcoming cold spells the general rule of thumbs is T72-T120 take with a huge dose of skepticism, T120+ have a laugh then chuck away. Unfortunately cold spells in the UK are notoriously hard to model hence why we've had one at T48 scrapped despite model unity quite a few years ago. Although, to be that close to then be scuppered is a very rare thing indeed

    Anyway, started sleeting ever so slightly here. Does feel very cold though which is a nice seasonal change. I do find the netweather forecast interesting though....apparently I might be due some torrential fog next week 

     

    image.thumb.png.ec291d3daebbd7b6a11adff3552fb4d6.png

    And to flip that, how can you ridicule the mod thread for discussing said charts when the actual weather hasn't happened yet.

    I think some people view the mod thread incorrectly. It isn't a forecast thread, it isn't there for 100% accuracy of what is about to take place. It's there, purely and simply to discuss the models and what they are showing. Be that a bit of wind tonight, or snowmaggedon in 10 days time. If it's in the charts it's open for discussion.

     

    • Like 3
  2. 4 minutes ago, Portsmouth Sun said:

    No, just having a belly laugh at how people clutch at straws. 

    Well why don't you go into the mod thread, find some charts and then post why you don't agree with what's  been posted?

    Or is it that your only contribution to this forum is to moan about other members contributing to the forum?

    Some of you in here really need to give it a rest. This is not the "moan about other members thread". Weather only!

     

    • Like 1
  3. 1 minute ago, Polaris said:

    There’s no moaning (as you call) about any posters 

    I’m merely commenting on the very fact that we can post post post inspirational posts on 10 day charts... that never materialise, to the same posters you say to stop whining about. 
     

    Struggling to see your point 

    You are clearly complaining about posters commenting on model charts in the model thread. This is not the place to do that.

    If you have a problem with any posts in the model thread, report said post, pm the poster or put them on your ignore list.

    This is all I have to say on the matter, so as not to disrupt this thread anymore than it already has been.

  4. 52 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

    Don't worry, not long until we get a post from someone complaining that the increased sun strength and longer days will hamper a cold / snowy spell. ⛷️

    I Don't think posts like this help. Especially from a MOD. It just stirs the pot which breeds negativity on the forum, something you should surely be trying to steer clear of.

  5. Love when the clocks go back. I know some of you hate the dark evenings, but for me it brings in the best time of the year.

    I work nights so, the drive to work in the dark evening, with cold mists hanging in the air. Leaving work in the early hours during a cold frosty morning. It's magical for me. Wouldn't change it for the world.

    • Like 4
  6. Just now, sebastiaan1973 said:

    Latest calculations from Glosea5. Very strong La Nina. Quite a large area with an anomaly of  -2c or less.

    Is this realistic?

    2cat_20201001_sst_months24_global_deter_public.png

    Out of all the charts being posted lately, as it's showing the outcome we least want, it's probably the one that's going to prove to be on the money.

  7. 3 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:

    well done you don't even live in N America im talking about forecasting agencies and amateur seasonal forecasters not baffons who hang out in weather forums

    In your original post and the subsequent posts that followed, you never mentioned forecasting agencies or amateur forecasters. You specifically asked why no-one on here talks about North America! 

    • Like 1
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