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Gavin Hannah

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Everything posted by Gavin Hannah

  1. Gavin Hannah
    Found this in the GEM suite..... what am i looking at lol..
  2. Gavin Hannah
    That kind of setup (2nd image) would introduce cold yet more mobile weather in the north. Not the jewel in the crown but far from mild for those in Scotland at least. Plenty of wet snow potential.
  3. Gavin Hannah
    I predict a GEM of a GEM 12Z lol.
  4. Gavin Hannah
    Sheeesh, so much negativity in here today. I know the charts aren't pretty for us coldies to look at, but keep the faith (as Bon Jovi said), good things come to those who wait. The GEM could be the only model heading in the right direction so before we get hung up on the next two weeks trends, lets wait a few more runs to see which model gives way.
  5. Gavin Hannah
    If the energy diving south into the Atlantic amplifies enough, it should help promote the GEM solution. The fact that the GEM hasn't back away from it means that it's still up for grabs. Some models will present a solution for a run or two before falling back in line with the majority. The longer the GEM goes against the grain, the more hope I will cling on to.
  6. Gavin Hannah
    Anyone up for starting a GEM only thread for us coldies??
  7. Gavin Hannah
    I see the GFS 06 is rolling out. Will be interesting to see where this run goes. Will it stubbornly stick to whats been shown in the last few runs, or can it tred to GEM??
  8. Gavin Hannah
    GEM t.240 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=gemglb&run=00&stn=TT850&hh=240&map=eur&stn2=TT850&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&hh2=240&comp=1&fixhh=1〈=en GEM sticking to it's idea of HP to our north/north-east. Now in the 1000 club!!
  9. Gavin Hannah
    Might I offer this idea, if the GFS and ECM can not decide how they want to play over the next few weeks, might we champion the GEM and all it's wintry glory as the model leading the way..? Just going to add that I'm surprised my internet is still up lol... it's pure blawin' a gale here!
  10. Gavin Hannah
    Model filth lol ...... Where's the drooling icon when you need it lol.
  11. Gavin Hannah
    Can we please order a dose of the GEM? The split PV looks just awesome!
  12. Gavin Hannah
    We really could get that bridge this year.
  13. Gavin Hannah
    That HP needs to backup further with each subsequent run. If not, then I fear we are looking at a milder Euro HP establishing itself by mid week next week. If the LP in the mid Atlantic would sweep underneath into the med, then it would give us a good shot at getting the HP in the right location. As it is, the LP is progged to phase into the LP to our NW near Greenland.
  14. Gavin Hannah
    The biggest differences on the 18Z is the alignment of the Euro/Scandi HP at t.120. On the 18z, it is much more North and South. On the 12Z, the bulk of the HP was aligned West and East. 12Z 18Z
  15. Gavin Hannah
    I prefer to think that the poor synoptics are there to lull us all into a false sense of security and the Beast will sneak up on us and we won't even see it coming.
  16. Gavin Hannah
    Lest we forget that this could all change on the pub run or tomorrows runs. Lets hope we can consign these to this....
  17. Gavin Hannah
    If anyonevwanted to, they culd do animated gifs of dec 62 and this dec. Would be the best way to do an anomolie comparrison. I aint as im at uni and on my phone and have study to do rather than get caught up chasing the dragon.... Oops, t o late lol
  18. Gavin Hannah
    Well, the 90s this aint, and i refuse to belive recent winters were flukes and one offs that just happened to arrive like busses at the same time lol.
  19. Gavin Hannah
    Scottish skiing tends to be at its best Jan - May. However, the Alps they are not. The two best periods recently were Winter 09/10 and winter 10/11. Last two years have been hit and miss pre xmas and decent post xmas.
  20. Gavin Hannah
    If the NAO and AO both go negative in the 2nd / 3rd week of December, we could be in for a good Xmas. The Negative NAO and AO will only serve to allow an Easterly to flow. Will we benfit as per 2009 and 2010 and march 2013? Only time will tell.
  21. Gavin Hannah
    I think the temps may be a little 'over-amped'. I wouldn't be too surprised to see some of the 850's diluted a bit more as we approach the weekend.
  22. Gavin Hannah
    A failes northerly would be a complete backtrack to a different pattern ala the beasterly of last december.... And by their natutre, northerlies tend to be brief and useless at inland snow prospecta apart from the north of scotland. This one could be quite good for snow for a decent area, but, it will be brief.
  23. Gavin Hannah
    At t186 on the GFS so far and the Atlantic is looking far more amplified than the 12Z.
  24. Gavin Hannah
    18Z showing an ever so slight upgrade with the cold shot. Slightly further west with the cold uppers, but the differences are so minuscule, it will hardly be noticeable. Looks like the the cold shot will last two days max (three at a push) starting with some stormy weather for the north of scotland bringing blizzard conditions especially to the high ground. The -5 uppers start leaving the UK the early hours of sat morning.
  25. Gavin Hannah
    The northern coastline of Iceland has very low concentrations of sea ice according to some charts. So the water is def cold enough.
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