leicsnow
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Posts posted by leicsnow
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yes sadly, its game over for leics to. Its been a bit of a shocker less than 24 hours ago the met office seemed to have the band missing us to the north east down through birmingham into the sw. as its turned out its been a good 100 or more miles further south
I'm quite distraught about how we've missed out. The lack of snow cover means higher daytime temperatures in the sunshine tomorrow than the Met Office originally forecast, as well as higher minimum temperatures too for tomorrow night. There goes the potential ice days on Friday or Saturday.
Anyway, time for me to hit the sack now. Byez.
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Yes, a big blob east of us over Lincs could potentially strike us and give us a little dump of snow.
edit:
Actually looks to be lining up with Northants not leicester.
Do you mean this?
And typical of tonight that it looks to be benefitting Nortants instead of Leicester.
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Does anyone think there is any luck for my location benefitting from any bands of precip again tonight? I want to put my mind at rest there before I hit the sack!
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Does anyone think there is any luck for my location benefitting from any bands of precip again tonight? I want to put my mind at rest there before I hit the sack!
Anyone??
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Does anyone think there is any luck for my location benefitting from any bands of precip again tonight? I want to put my mind at rest there before I hit the sack!
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Does anyone think there is any luck for my location benefitting from any bands of precip again tonight? I want to put my mind at rest there before I hit the sack!
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Just remember Northamptoners, you may have stolen the snow from us, but you owe us big time. Just remember that when it comes to next winter.
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Can't see how. But i think there was one time, was it winter 2008/9 or 2009/10, when an event seemed to be over, then some new precip pepped up out of nowhere behind the band, and gave an unexpected decent snowfall (maybe 10cm). So not impossible i suppose..
Hmmm I just have the feeling were way out of the league of those winters if you get my drift.
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I think it's freezing rain over here now!
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We were, it was an intense but localised area.
Looking at the radar again, I may be wrong thinking that was the end of it. There's some precipitation up near Derby that seems to be heading our way. And with patches intensifying without warning I wouldn't like to make a prediction.
Don't despair in the West Midlands...I feel things could now be developing. Next couple of radar frames will tell.
..and now we now that the uppers are on our side!
How would say say I stand in west Leicestershire?
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Game over for Leicester, Warwickshire, Coventry, Nottingham and Derby, mark my words.
I guess you're going to be right -_-
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I guarantee this slides East past Leicester and Nottingham before it heads South West, if I was a betting man i'd put big money on it.
I wouldn't give up yet Andy. I was originally getting rather frustrated but I feel more confident now. There is still all night for things to turn in our favour, as it just might turn west again. It doesn't look shabby just from looking outside now!
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Heavy snow here now (in Barlestone)
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Finally started here!!!!
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The snow has definitely arrived here. It's not just really light snow, plenty of flakes, most of them only 3 or 4mm but some are 1 maybe 1.5cm in size and falling steadily. Slowly getting more intense.
This is getting unbearable now. Still none here! Barlestone!!!! Now!!! Lol... :L
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Andy snow flake alert wafer thin but it's a start
Yay!
Not hit Barlestone yet but a good sign!
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Is this some kind of cruel joke by the snow gods? Tamworth now has snow *20 miles to my West* Stratford Upon Avon has snow *about 50 miles to my South* Nottingham has snow *30 miles to my North*, Peterborough has snow *35 miles to my East, but still nothing falling from the sky here?!
I know how you feel Andy. Jeez this is taking the p now!
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Nothing here. In fact getting brighter.
Really? Cloud has thickened over in Barlestone.
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Nothing here in Barlestone yet, but the 16:50 wunderground update has East Midlands under light snow, must show something.
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Forecast for Leicester upgraded again. Heavy snow 6pm, 9pm, light snow 12am and now also at 3am. I'd like to know where they are getting this from because I look out my window and see nothing, i'll wait till 6pm and see whether there forecast holds up. Heres hoping !
I do actually have a good feeling about tonight for our area. Not sure where from, just the radar looks good and MetO have been very good lately and have put out a good forecast for here, that UKV model must be working wonders.
I hope your right man.
What concerns me is how thin the cloud layer is here. I can see some blue sky if I look at the sky!
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It's generally a reference to those "sunshine and snow showers" setups with towering cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds. During the winter quarter most convection is generated by cold airmasses flowing over the comparitively warm North Sea. In a north-westerly flow it is mainly western areas that see the showers, while in a northerly flow it tends to be north and east-facing coasts, and in a north-easterly or easterly we get showers heading inland off the North Sea. Once we get into late February, though, the sun becomes strong enough to generate homegrown convection as the lowest layer of the atmosphere is heated up, generating a strong thermal contrast between the surface and upper atmosphere. In unstable northerly types this can result in snow showers developing across inland areas. Into March solar heating is capable of generating heavy and thundery showers as some of us noted on the 19th March 2007 and during Easter 2008.
There is, though, a common view that snow in late winter and spring is "useless" because the stronger sunshine, while generating convection, also helps to raise the surface temperatures enough to initiate quick thaws, and a lack of understanding of the fact that some enjoy the "enhanced homegrown convection" aspect.
Thanks, a very imformative post.
I think when we get snow in spring people are satisfied with the idea of just short-lived temporary snowcover, like in April 2008 when 4cm was reported widely even though it thawed by the next day.
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As mentioned over in the model thread, going by the latest ECM, GFS and UKMO runs, particularly the latter two, there is still a fair chance of seeing a slightly sub-0 CET month, considering the agreement of the three models for a northerly is currently quite good. However, I'd say at this stage it's more likely that the CET will be above 0c. As you say, it's most likely to end up between 1.5c and 2.0c, which makes my original punt (as thread hoster) of 4.5c unlikely.
Also, February will probably be statistically the coldest month of 2012, unless we see a repeat of December 2010 at the end of the year.
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I reckon we could see a good 3-6 hours of snow from this, probably light-moderate with some heavier bursts mixed in. I'd say 5cm looks likely if the precip doesn't act stupid and split over Leicester like it has a habit of doing :lol:
Thankfully my village is often a sweet spot in Leics for good depth!
Is it just me or is the precip further South than it should be at this time?! It's knocking on the door of Nottingham and I didn't expect it to reach Nottingham until about 3pm :huh:
Does that mean it could reach us soon
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Since I joined this forum I've heard a lot about "convective snow showers" and how they can benefit us from mid-February onwards in particular. What's the deal with them and how does this theory work?
LOL
The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 6
in Regional
Posted
Me too Andy, I had been looking forward to the snow all day yesterday too! I went to bed thinking the bulk of precip over Lincoln could finally deliver but no! I guess you were right about it being 'game over' for us.