Froze were the Days
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Posts posted by Froze were the Days
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2 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:
Is it? i checked out the stats for my home town of Chelmsford..August is on average 2.3c wamer than June and on average sunnier just..and the same regarding rainfall
Yes I can't remember too many chilly ones either of recent years even though the CET figures haven't been that great for England but there must be a big diversity from the south east to the north for those depressed CET values in general and probably more of an Atlantic influence affecting central and northern areas as opposed to here.
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25 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
What a strange day...? 27C, only a few miles' up the road, and a strong cyclonic s'werly blowing!
Exactly!...can't remember ever experiencing temps that high (nearly 26c here) in such synoptics...times are a changin'
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I'd say to date summer 2019 has been slightly above average IMBY, temps above average and since the end of June consistently warmer than average with many dry days with partial sunshine and only the odd unsettled day. August until today has hardly had any traceable rain here in the SE corner and been warm/very warm.
June was poor but I've known worse summer months, but of the last 5/6 years or so not any on that scale. 6.5/10 overall
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9 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:
Some intense echoes moving towards W London shortly. Lightning too. Your area might get these showers overnight. Did you construct your Stevenson screen? Impressive to have that in your garden
Yep - constructed it about 10 years ago and has British Standard sheathed bulbs (Max/Min) which are supposed to be the doggies do dahs, only problem is it wouldn't pass MetO standards for readings though it's facing north it's on the back of a shed and not the 20m from any trees...it will do. You can actually buy the louvered boxes now from MetCheck instruments plus the bulbs which are twice as expensive now as they contain gallium as opposed to mercury but won't do your wallet any good. Really good site.
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1 minute ago, stainesbloke said:
It is a bit unusual, for sure. It’s good to hang onto some warmth. Where are you located? Definitely warmer this afternoon to the E and N of London. Somewhat cooler to the S and W (23 the max here). The winds are starting to increase dramatically here, had some brief heavy showers, too.
Burnham on the Essex Riviera (just north of Southend)...looks like we'll miss out on any showers which look like you're experiencing or shortly going to, breezy here but nothing untoward currently.
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1 hour ago, stainesbloke said:
Is that IYBY or an official reading? Seems a touch high, but nonetheless, quite nice to have some warmth with the wind and heavy showers
So unusual though associated with low pressure and what 'warm' sector there was I think went to the east of us, well it is an IMBY quite literally as the reading is from my back garden (Stevenson Screen) but BBC forecast at lunch had Norwich at 26c so could be widespread across East Anglia/South east. Max of 25.7c today.
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Holy camoly!!...25.4c in a cyclonic south westerly, God help us!
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Seems like most times when we have Atlantic storms/deep depressions (even at the time of year) we miss most of the 'bad' conditions, certainly for wind/rain, recorded 3.8mm of rain this morning and going by the forecast that will be about it - but going by the ECM looks like there could be a wet Wednesday/Thursday in the offing.
One thing we don't miss out here though is the humidity...feels really muggy out there.
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25.1c here today, third time at least 25 degrees has been made this August, not bad considering the synoptics. So far coolest day has been 22.3c
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Wow!...and so much was made about the May-early July period last summer due to the continuous warmth and wall to wall sunshine yet the month ended up only 0.9c warmer than average...worrying in other aspects!
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10 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
Quite fascinating that the CET is only a degree or so lower than at the same stage last year, when we were still in full-blown heatwave mode.
Still that month managed to get back to average by the end, so little chance of this month being any better on current charts.
Really!?!...August last year started hotter than this years? If so can't recall it being that warm, personally felt that temps and conditions were on the slide after Wimbledon last summer but then I looked at July 2018 CET and wow!
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9 hours ago, stainesbloke said:
Met Office are predicting maximums of 24 tomorrow and the same on Friday, though it probably won’t feel all that warm in the strong winds and heavy showers. Then downhill from there with gales on Saturday. Next week looks a bit more like October with GFS going for more deep Atlantic lows and gales. ECM not showing anything so dramatic, but maximum temperatures expected to scape a mediocre 20-21C at best. Maybe better to come again later in August? August hasn’t started too badly in the SE, at least, unlike other parts.
Yes have to say doesn't look great for the next week/10 days...seems to be rather typical of Augusts but this looks to be on a bit of a different level and even here in the south east looks like we're not going to escape frequent belts of rain (which has not been the always the case in past Augusts). As you say this month has started well but nothing too dramatic or noteworthy just consistent warmth and hardly any traceable rain in these parts.
I fancy a return to more settled conditions later in the month and into September and return to positive temp anomalies, just a hunch as a few other posters have alluded to.
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15 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:
Warmer than which forecast? The BBC? The Met Office have been pretty accurate
BBC I should say - forecast maxes of 22/23 this afternoon at lunchtime, but this coastline always does well temperature wise in the summer under SW or W direction winds, local Beeb stations predicting near 25 in the south east on Friday in the yuck to come.
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Reached 24c here today AGAIN warmer than forecast and the Beeb said at lunch tomorrow will be warmer...looks like being certainly a warm start to August in the south east and even on Friday under the rain and wind highs of 23c are predicted.
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Driest my garden has been all summer including that dry spell in July, grass has stopped growing...since the last week of June we've had many dry fairly sunny days and continuously warm (other than the hot snap) just with the odd rainy day. The odd breezy day as well but noticeably muggier in the last week or so. Even though the weather since the end of June has largely been Atlantic oriented it shows just how little effect fronts have on the more southern and eastern counties...
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Yet another warm one here too, max temp today here on the Essex coast 24.4c though breezy - again warmer than forecast at the weekend!
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Can't help feeling that could be reflective of last winters largely epic fail from the teleconnections/low solar minima and models pointing more favourably to colder conditions. Looks like the QBO still stuck in a positive phase is the ongoing issue (if you like cold) but we still have the good ol' CFS v2 on our side!
Well that will go down about as well on here as Gemma Collins at a Royal gala
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On 03/08/2019 at 15:19, shotski said:
Someone’s seen Two’s winter forecast
They haven't got a preliminary forecast out already!?!
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Another warm day out there, apparently a cold front came though an hour or so ago (just some cloud and the odd drop of rain) now fairly sunny, current temp 23.4c...amazing how little precipitation we get out here on the coast on a westerly at this time of year.
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hhhmmmm...looking like typical August fare, Atlantic influenced and rather unsettled, the further south and east the warmest and probably the driest. Strange that recent Augusts have been so similar particularly synoptical.
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25.6c here this afternoon from a 'col' synoptic, astounds me of recent years just how easily we get to 25 degrees or higher under non-plume events...worrying!
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Sunshine breaking though, temps on the rise particularly in the south (no surprise) over the weekend...models don't look fantastic for the foreseeable but again probably warmer than average in the south and increasingly unsettled and cooler the further north and west you live...sort of sums Augusts up in the last 10 years in general.
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Wow!...what an exciting ECM run this morning if you like low pressure anchored out to the west/west north west for the foreseeable and according to the 0z even further. I should think going by that many southern and eastern areas would be largely dry and fairly warm though, the typical NW/SE split - yawn!
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Should have reduced his '0' down in size me thinks worrying all the same.
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Southeast and East Anglia weather discussion
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Froze were the Days
hhhmmmm...windy yes, life threatening? no. Yes debris about but you more or less expect that in summer, no branches or boughs down around me and we have some big maple trees and nothing down in the near by park. If I had to guess I'd say the wind is generally fresh to strong.