I imagine GFS is over estimating the northern extent. It’ll probably end up shifting south over the next couple of updates, eventually in line with the BBC forecast ending up as rain in the channel/S.coast.
We can live in hope though! ??
If the GFS 06z does verify, it pretty much nailed this scenario 5 days ago.. 16th Dec vs 21st Dec. Performing much better than the ECM of late anyway..
Yeah, last winter was great for us! We had a fair few snow days. I think 28th Dec was my favourite. Snowed really heavily all morning, ended up with about 14-15cm of snow that day and it stuck around for a bit too.
Oh, it’s snow again! Maybe lowered the snow line now the heavier PPN has arrived. Seems transient though, probs won’t be long before it’s rain again. Current temp:1.4c dp: -0.8c