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MrSunshine

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    Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Eyes down for the last GFS of the year- lets hope its been on the mulled wine

     

     

    HAPPY NEW YEAR Posted Image

     

    Happy New Year Steve and indeed all Net Weather members. Some how I can't see these models changing any time soon, we just seem stuck with cool, wet & at times windy weather. I think we've been spoilt over the last 3 or 4 winters. I hope I'm wrong and that we have a belting last two thirds of winter 2013/14.

    • Like 3

    Why doesn't someone sue the papers?

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by DaveMac82

    just laughed my head off when I read a Tweet in response to a Daily Express Tweet about this Winter being the worst in living memory, I've pasted both Tweets below enjoy! Posted Image

     

    SHOCK CHRISTMAS WEATHER WARNING: Worst winter storm in HISTORY to hit Britain within weeks: http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/448115/Christmas-weather-forecast-Winter-storms-warning-as-snow-gales-and-floods-threaten-UK â€¦

     

    @Daily_Express Even we wouldn't dare print bo**ocks like that

    • Like 2

    Model Output Discussion - 30th November onwards

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    Don't know why you're dragging me into it and stating I'm saying what people want to hear? I've never given an analysis based on 'what people want to hear'? The UKMO 144 hrs chart is not bad....look at the NH plot and tell me that cold is not possible down the line from that. If you can tell me that is 100% a sinker then you're deluding yourself and misguiding the newer members on here who may not be as clued up (and more impressionable) as some experienced posters are.

     

     

    Well said CC. Posted Image

    • Like 3

    Model Output Discussion - 30th November onwards

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    I can understand why those along NE facing coasts, NW Facing coasts and Scotland are getting excited about the snow prospects for 6-9 days time, but I struggle to see why anyone else other than those who live on elevated areas in lets say N .Wales and Midlands ...are getting excited. 

     

    I have not really seen a single run that would give the VAST majority of us anything decent in terms of snowfall. 

     

    It's well known that a direct northerly or NNW feed creates a wish bone effect and snow showers simply run along the West and East coasts and tend not to penetrate very far inland. 

     

    Although it's a slightly IMBY I'm still looking into Mid December and hoping something shows up that would provide a decent spell of cold weather that would deliver most of us snow and not just the usual places that always get it regardless of what direction it comes in (I.E Scotland , the NE and NW Facing coasts).

     

    Here's a good example shown by Netweather's Own charts ..

     

    Posted Image

     

    I don't understand why so many people seem to think that somehow on the day itself things will somehow change and (for example) someone living in the South East gets disappointed; when they don't get any snowfall.

    feel free to delete this post it's it's not model related enough, It's just that every year people fall into the same trap, get their hopes up and then feel let down when they don't get snow. 

    80% of us will not see snow falling from the sky by next Monday from this sort of set up

     

    Maybe where you live you won't see any snow but for where I live (North West England), Scotland & Northern Ireland this is the perfect setup for snow, I for one can't wait. :)

    • Like 3
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