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Dan the Man

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    Storm & Convective Discussion - 01/06/15 onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    These potentially "severe" thunderstorm setups can tease frustratingly, even in the most hospitable of environments, so any predictions will probably need to be taken with a slight pinch of salt until much closer to the event.

     

    I remember being in an office in the Ohio Valley, almost a year to the day, with the midweekly severe thunderstorm setup predicted by the NWS. Although predicted extensively in the days running up to it, the storm never seemed to show up until far later than predicted. I remember looking out of the office window to see bright blue sky and not a CB in sight... well, right until it was time to go home and soaked and pelted with hail in the parking lot! Also getting the TV severe thunderstorm warning "beeps" on the TV was quite a surreal experience. Also quite strange to also be sitting in the same office a week later, with the air raid sirens going off for a tornado warning, but no one else in the office reacting at all!

     

    Looking at the charts - warm, continental, humid air coming in from the SE battling it out against a cold front, with a strong jet overhead, huge CAPE values and lifted indices surely equates to quite a powerful and potentially dangerous scenario surely? Wouldn't surprise me if a strong(ish) tornado by UK standards is seen somewhere in the SE of England.

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    Model Output Discussion - 16th Jan 12z onwards - Smile While You Post!

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    If only this would come to pass, can you imagine...the entire country enjoying snow

     

    This place would be either bedlam, or quiet as we'd all be out dancing around like crazed kids waving hands in the air and zig zagging down the roads yelling and laughing. 

     

    knowing my luck that would be the exact moment the local mental assylum van drove past and I'd be picked up and carted off to a crazy home before I'd even made my first snow woman :-)

     

    gfs_2_348_png_12.png

     

    A bit pointless posting this isn't it? Showing heavy snow all the way down to Gibraltar, Costa del Sol, Northern Morocco and Algeria.

    Pigs will fly first.

    • Like 13

    Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Commentators at the Cricket at Canterbury on Sky Sports 2 just mentioned a "tornado" nearby. They were broadcasting from a room somewhere instead the ground taking shelter. Match has been abandoned so they've now gone off air.

     

    Was always a strong possibility that something like this would occur, especially south of the river. Any chance of a tornado warning? I don't think so.

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