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Panayiotis

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Everything posted by Panayiotis

  1. Panayiotis
    We have -8c 850hpa across most of the UK for over 72 hours from the east, that’s quite an event. And although most of the models do show the spell ending, that is over 144hrs away so there’s time for change especially when the UKMO is onboard for continuing the spell
  2. Panayiotis
    144hr ECM 12z a bit of downgrade compared to its 00z , we lose the heights in the Atlantic , something which we need for an extension of this cold spell
  3. Panayiotis
    Before the 144hr chart comes out from the ECM, I think this is the time frame to look out for regarding an extension of our soon to be cold spell. Things to look for : • Increased heights to the north in the Atlantic • The incoming low pressure to take on a negative tilt/less bowling ball kind of look
  4. Panayiotis
    When it’s the GFS vs the rest, then the GFS rarely comes out on top, especially when it’s due to sending energy SE as in this case. Get worried when the UKMO is not on board..
  5. Panayiotis
    The stuff over the channel looks a lot more heavier, let’s see if we can get it over here when it gets dark however we do run the risk of it also introducing milder air
  6. Panayiotis
    Well wasn’t I wrong! Didn’t think it was going to be snowing in Cardiff today. Settling on cars, grass and roofs for now. I have a bit of elevation how’s the rest of Cardiff doing?
  7. Panayiotis
    This is the sort of pattern I expect from our SSW. Glad we are finally seeing it down well into the trop
  8. Panayiotis
    I don’t think our snow chances will come on Saturday or Sunday (except high ground). Currently observing a potential trough early hours of Monday which will likely produce snow if we get it
  9. Panayiotis
    Snowing here in Cardiff, settling on cars but not ground
  10. Panayiotis
    Yes this looks good (if it survives)
  11. Panayiotis
    Just a note: Although we’ve seen from past events that these systems trend south nearer to the date, its interesting that the band which gave us snow last night moved a lot more north and west than expected pivoting over the West Midlands.
  12. Panayiotis
    Around 3cm, not much but nice to see it settled
  13. Panayiotis
    Models indicating some possible surprises from next Friday. It’s a long shot but keeping an eye on it. We got snow for most places except the coasts under -4c 850hpa - although marginal you just need a good airflow to drop those dewpoints to below 0c
  14. Panayiotis
    Snow has a really high albedo meaning it reflects a lot of light hence the reason why everything seems brighter when there’s snowfall especially near lampposts
  15. Panayiotis
    Unless the showers behind organise into something more substantial then you might catch the odd heavy shower but that looks to be it especially as the second area of precipitation has weakened significantly and looks to be staying over sea
  16. Panayiotis
    Yeah I don’t think the professionals did well with getting the word out there for this snowfall especially for Cardiff where most places are seeing over 3cm.
  17. Panayiotis
    Coming down nicely here now, some big flakes mixed in
  18. Panayiotis
    Snowing lightly now here in Cardiff
  19. Panayiotis
    Great, looking forward to it!
  20. Panayiotis
    Nothing yet for east Cardiff
  21. Panayiotis
    I don’t think it would happen in daylight, we’re lucky it’s night!
  22. Panayiotis
    Similar to me here in Cardiff. Starting to see more organisation behind the main front...
  23. Panayiotis
    Well if it’s snowing and settling in the far west then surely it looks really good for the rest of us?
  24. Panayiotis
    That’s promising given that you’re in the far west! Are you near the coast or have a bit height?
  25. Panayiotis
    I’m watching for those pockets of showers behind the main front to form a more larger band of ppn as the front starts to tilt, I do believe this is where the ppn duration will come from
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