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Snowshine

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Everything posted by Snowshine

  1. Snowshine
    Why?! Looks like if the storm hits the Midlands, it will be about 3-4am, and I will miss it - Either by falling asleep, or the storm going too far East if I'm awake !!!
  2. Snowshine
    I hadn't seen the 12z model (until now), but quite suprised how it downgraded the CAPE significantly across most of the West / Midlands, so the 18z is an upgrade. I was actually referring to the previous 0z and 6z models. But, still about another 5 model runs until we get a better idea of what will happen, so I'm not too enthusiastic at this moment
  3. Snowshine
    Previous GFS Run's had shown CAPE and LI values to be high among most of England, not just the highest values limited to the East. But, to be fair the CAPE values in the West/Central England are still very high.
  4. Snowshine
    Highest CAPE Values decide to shift East once again. Potentially another let-down.
  5. Snowshine
    Hopefully this all comes directly into the South Midlands and not just the edge of the storms, as usual.
  6. Snowshine
    I can only wish for the charts below to be the outcome for Saturday, however after previous downgrades to storms this year, I have little hope in the storms being as extreme as forecast models currently show.
  7. Snowshine
    Heard some VERY distant thunder, probably from the South where the storms are brewing.
  8. Snowshine
    3 Loud Rumbles, a few distant, not really constant
  9. Snowshine
    Torrential Showers this morning, no convection so far.
  10. Snowshine
    March 29 2014 - Suddenly went very dark at around 2pm, thunder slowly bagan at about 3pm then it suddenly started raining torrentially. Thunder was so loud it shook cars and lightning was close up, thunder went off about three times a minute and lasted around 20 minutes, quite an impressive amount of time for the intensity of the storm. I wonder how intense the storm would have been if the CAPE was higher (>500) and LI was lower (<-3). More recently June 8th also was a soaking, although I don't remember hearing any thunder but there was reports of it. The rain may just have been louder though (82mm/hr). Apart from these events, I have been unlucky with other recent ones.
  11. Snowshine
    Sounds great... Now have to accept that is year is not my year. Storm looks to be weakening slightly.
  12. Snowshine
    I'm in, and for a long time...
  13. Snowshine
    Jeez, the storm doesn't look to be heading North... Reading looks to be getting the storms very soon, but Im finished.
  14. Snowshine
    Thunderstorms keeping South, CAPE levels not too high, but high enough for a few storms. My area is really not a hot spot for storms, the showers love avoiding here.
  15. Snowshine
    I think the Central Midlands deserves a decent storm. I recorded no thunder crashes last month and before the settled period, which was very unlucky. Hoping for a few rumbles to make up tonight. The worst case would be if the thunderstorms went slightly too far to the East or West, I dont care if they hit an area miles away, just as long as they dont 'just' miss us.
  16. Snowshine
    Thundery Storms in the West Midlands, as usual, not CENTRAL Midlands!!!
  17. Snowshine
    Yes, with the exception of CENTRAL Midlands, such as my area. The storms on Saturday missed this area, literally just missed by 5 miles. Today the storms took a similar path, except a bit further West. The East & West Midlands has had more luck with storms than Central.
  18. Snowshine
    Gosh, storms really hate the Midlands, they always find the alternative route, I mean they kicked off too far west and then suddenly just north of us?!
  19. Snowshine
    One Torrential Downpour, more than the whole of yesterday.
  20. Snowshine
    I don't see further Electrical activity occurring anywhere, with the exception of the South East where CAPE levels are highest. Where there is electrical activity, it wont be particularly impressive. The squall which was producing lightning this morning is no longer electrical. The rainfall covering a large portion of England at the moment is getting lighter. I cannot stay positive because there is little chance of further storms elsewhere this afternoon, perhaps the odd heavy shower; without thunder or hail. There isn't much point keeping up anymore, next time I wont get over hyped until the day before the storm. Expected CAPE shows CAPE of under 200j/kg and LI of only -1 for most of England, certainly missing an ingredient that ruined the storms today.
  21. Snowshine
    Your lucky you got anything... I mean, look at Stratford on that map, BANG ON at the edge.
  22. Snowshine
    Electrical Activity is dropping everywhere, I don't know why some people are saying that development has hardly begun; because it has and is due to end in about 2 hours for most of us. The BBC forecasted the storms incorrectly this morning stating that there would be thunder, all I see is rain.
  23. Snowshine
    The CAPE is not going to be high enough to strengthen storms, perhaps in the East there will be decent CAPE values. Central / Northern England probably have seen the last of storms, Eastern England has better chances.
  24. Snowshine
    Heavy shower... No electrical activity, pretty lame.
  25. Snowshine
    I have a bad feeling about the next storm after the last one. The last one broke into two halves with the Midlands in between, then it re-joined when it left the Midlands. This one looks like the same is going to happen :/
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