Snowshine
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Posts posted by Snowshine
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5cm in Stratford which is a nice surprise, and still very light snow. Hopefully that pivot will give some more later - can't complain though.
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This is a dire situation here (Stratford). There's clearly some splitting going on and we seem to perfectly positioned in the centre of it!
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Given the increased likelihood of a widespread snow event I would expect to see an amber warning issued relatively soon - mostly targeting southern/central areas of the region.
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The GFS and ICON are so far the most favourable for snow across the region, and APERGE/AROME are by far the least favourable. I really just think it is a matter of waiting for later updates to get more clarity on just how far north/south this snow will be.
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Potential for snow later - if it's cold enough, but Sunday looks to be of particular interest. But as we've discovered this year, it's still too early to guarantee anything, still nice to see potential after the miserable week just gone.
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I’d rather that pathetic band of rain/snow doesn’t approach us, because it will probably end up bringing drizzle, or perhaps flurries/light sleet.
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Looks like it's a miss for the vast majority of the Midlands. Localized snow showers is probably the best we will get.
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Nothing falling in Stratford, and the radar doesn't look promising.
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Models are strongly in favour of milder conditions next week. I feel like many posts on the MOD thread focus on what people want to hear rather than looking at the realistic probability of future events (i.e. by cherry-picking favourable model outputs and ignoring the rest).
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Stratford once again missing out by a few miles at most. Sure we got a bit of snow earlier, but it didn't settle at all. Hopefully tonight delivers something slightly further East.
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Models are definitely not promising for snowfall across the region in the short-term, as reflected by the MetO warnings. Perhaps a few flurries at best but even that will be isolated. Having said that, there do seem to be opportunities in early/mid Janaury for snow events!
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No settling snow in Stratford, but at least what is falling from the sky is snow.
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1 minute ago, Adzyy said:
Same old story eh. Not envious at all lol
I think the worst thing is that we have only just missed out on both occasions.
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6 minutes ago, Adzyy said:
We are literally just on the edge and have had some heavy showers. The last one gave a slight dusting on cars and grass but all melted already... too warm?
We've missed out twice now, proper gutted. Nice to see something falling though.
Most of Warwickshire was too far north/east for snowfall yesterday, and too far south today (given that any precip will start turning into sleet/rain as temperatures rise).
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The recent charts are not very promising for the region. It looks like the snowfall event for tomorrow night will target southern areas.
It is starting to rain here, which is really quite unfortunate.
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Models for tomorrow are favouring snowfall in areas to the west of the region, which is rather unfortunate for those who did not receive any today. Having said that, it is only the 6Z run and none of them seem to be very good when it comes to predicting the exact location of snowfall (as was the case this morning). Any snow that does fall tomorrow won't last very long (especially on lower ground) given that maximum temperatures are between 3-6C.
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6 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:
And? The population of the sub central region of London is 1.5m and you can guarantee if everywhere else but them in London got rain and they got 5cm of snow it would still be news.....
The population of the west Midlands is 3m anyway, which is a fairer comparison to greater London. You can deny the bias all you want, but it exists, and it's rather insulting for a southerner to claim it doesn't. Applies to other news not just snow...
To be honest it really doesn't really matter whether or not a snow event is reported on the news. I don't doubt that snow events are more frequently reported when they occur in London, but I wouldn't consider this to be a topic that needs reporting - unless it is widespread and causes notable disruption across large swathes of the country. As for the snowfall itself, it was further west than forecasted which meant that many areas in the Midlands did not receive any notable snowfall.
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Can report an incredibly measley 0cm in Stratford. Based on the radar, we should have received snow but clearly we are too far east and only by a few miles at most. Very disappointing.
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Are you actually serious? The one actual chance to get a decent storm ***** up and instead I end up hearing distant rumbles to my North again?! What a way to top up and already terrible week in Stratford.
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Grey skies and showers here, with the South Midlands clearly missing out once again with storms favouring areas to the North, West, and East.
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Another miserable morning, with light rain showers and a temperature of 17C. Hopefully some sunshine will break through later, regardless of storms.
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1 minute ago, Frosty hollows said:
I don't think it was ever on today for my area. Last night's storm left us with cool air that became saturated overnight....From yesterday's hot and dry profile to the complete opposite. This morning's rain has inhibited everything as the sun never really got going...max of 24c. Not so pessimistic to give up on this year just yet, but think I've had my lot for the day (ie nothing!)
I guess there are still more opportunities for southern and central areas on Sunday and early next week, given that tomorrow looks unlikely to deliver.
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12 minutes ago, Ndc Ozzie said:
Agree 100% although our high at church Lawford was 20.7 at 10am
It’s just dire isn’t it. Reminds me of those overcast miserable July days, and it’s even worse knowing other parts of the country are either sunny or stormy.
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Not impressed with how the South Midlands has done throughout this week given the potential. At the start of the week the storms seemed to form over us and push northwards over the North Midlands, which meant that we only got a few distant rumbles at most. Wednesday delivered a pretty intense rainstorm but it certainly wasn’t one of the best I have seen. And today has been the worst day of the lot, just like one of those miserable July days we had last month. Will tomorrow deliver? I’m not hopeful.
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
in Regional
Posted
I would question the accuracy of the radar currently, because it took longer to start snowing here than it suggested, and it still hasn't stopped despite no PPN showing over us, although it is light.