Barry12
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Posts posted by Barry12
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The cold and snowy theme continues on the models today - get ready, it's coming...
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well im not expecting anything anyway, METO say just rain for my location, lovely blue skies disappeared now though
Its all snow for Ireland/wales so very much doubt it will be rain.
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I know were all scared after basicaly no snow for 22 months, but this is the UK, we will not be snow free forever! This could really be the start of a good spell.
We don't have to wait that long for that, snow for Northern Ireland/SW/Midlands/Northern England at day 1!
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There was still a rather strong warming which would have led to a SSW, if the vortex had not already been split at the time. I think I said at the time that the SSW may not matter because of the volatility of the vortex this winter and that may just prove the case with the Atlantic and Pacific sectors possibly reversing in fortunes. The weakening of the vortex shouldn't be dismissed though Barry just because a SSW didn't occur.
I'm not dismissing it, obviously the vortex is nothing like it was last year and it being weak is certainly helping. There was just a few posts last week of people writing of weeks/months of the winter for cold because there was no SSW.
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Hello
I'm sure you will all get some snow tomorrow, models look great!
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Thursday looking interesting for the Southeast and South West of Ireland, possible snow even in West Cork!!
My parents are in west cork this week on holiday, (my mums irish) and it does seem to snow very rarely there, especially on the coast. But Tuesday is looking interesting.
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The cold and snowy theme continues on the models today, with no mild weather in sight. A week ago today, people were talking about how it was going to be mild and zonal for the rest of January, and were writing of cold as we didn't have a SSW. There is still no SSW and yet we are looking at a week at least of cold and snow, possibly longer than that if the GFS is too be believed. It goes to show how predicting more than a week out in the UK is very difficult, and the people posting day 10-16 charts last week as proof of the mild zonal weather continuing, might finally realize this, can't say holding my breath though
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BBC forecast didn't look good, no precipitation about around here really.
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Can't see any snowfall for yorkshire tommorow to be honest. Looks like a Wales Midlands event and Ireland scotland.
You said the same on boxing day pal.
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No significant changes at this juncture from UKMO albeit clearly development later Weds remains a key uncertainty with regards to wind strength detail/distribution. Ditto PPN phase across S England late Tues; ditto what unfolds later Fri. So little to add until tomorrow.
Whats the snow risk for the north on Tuesday?
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GET READY...BLIZZARDS ARE COMING!
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SW Ireland looks good for snow
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widespread snow for our region Tuesday evening, if gfs 18z is correct
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yeah hopefully spring 2015 is warm and sunny
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I can't see how people find strong winds interesting.
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not sure what to make of Tuesday, looks too far west.
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http://www.meteociel...6&carte=&mode=0
it seems the storm now is much further south so the that could make things interesting to say the least!!!
I'm confused, why do you keep posting perturbation 16?
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Further ahead, 36 of EC members by 25 Jan have W/SW mobility (albeit by differing mechanism and with no discernable signal by then for vigorous cyclogenesis); the remaining minority anticyclonic, centred over or just S of UK. So, for now at least, continued support for the broad theme late Jan yielded in the most recent EC Monthly update.
Plenty of time for change though Ian, since it's 15 days away?
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Unlike other cold spells the models have shown, the met office are firming up on this one during late next week into the weekend. Expect the models to upgrade in terms of cold and snow over the next couple of runs with the jet diving south. Snow to lower levels in the south looks possible.
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No chance of snow below 200m. Even then a wintry mixture between 2-300m.
I've had snow and I'm at 130m
Yeah showers are just not happening. Hardly getting below Cumbria. Barry, ive heard Tuesday mentioned a few times, is it a possible frontal event? Hope so. A repeat of Boxing Day would be magic.
yeah it looks like a frontal event
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It's quite a downgrade from yesterday's 12z. All an all nothing particularly promising in the models tonight. Just the odd brief slushy event for the lucky few.
KAYRO, I REMEMBER ON BOXING DAY YOU SAID THE SAME, SHEFFIELD ENDED UP GETTING 15CM WITH A COVERING LASTING ALL WEEK FOR MANY PARTS IN THE NORTH.
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LOL NO SNOW TUESDAY LOOKS BETTER
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- Popular Post
YEAH COLD IS THE THEME BASED ON THE ECM, GFS, UKMO - MILD WEATHER NO WHERE TO BE SEEN.
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Yorkshire and Lincolnshire - Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
Looking at the NMM4 3-4pm today could be when we get some snow.